dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, psv88 said: You may want to re calibrate your weather station. There aren’t any dews near 20 anywhere near the area, like 100 miles Check again brother. Jfk is at 23, the park is at 20, lga is at 22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, weathermedic said: DP of 24 here in Sheepshead Bay 24 is about right, 20 is too low. I can’t find anything under 22 south of the Catskills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: 24 is about right, 20 is too low. I can’t find anything under 22 south of the Catskills Central Park is at 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Check again brother. Jfk is at 23, the park is at 20, lga is at 22 Weird must have been looking at old obs. My bad. Either way it’s good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, psv88 said: Weird must have been looking at old obs. My bad. Either way it’s good Very good, hope it drops more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: All of Northern and most of Central NJ are part of the NYC metro. Also included is far NE PA and NY state going back to Ulster and Sullivan Counties. I prefer to say "immediate metro" which doesn't include NEPA, Sussex or even Monmouth and Ocean, in my view ( the sociological boundary is much more expansive, even including "metro" areas of its own, like the Edison statistical area, itself a sub-city ) it's just a flat out big area population wise, so the weather is gonna be a little different in some parts. When its cloudy or rains who cares ( well I know you do ) but snow amounts are a different thing. Last year I had just shy of 4 inches when areas to my west had double digits. 20 minute drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 RGEM is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 RGEM crushes nyc metro, LI jersey shore with 6-8”, less NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Again, about 1"QPF, all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 RGEM is basically best case scenario for NYC/LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: I prefer to say "immediate metro" which doesn't include NEPA, Sussex or even Monmouth and Ocean, in my view ( the sociological boundary is much more expansive, even including "metro" areas of its own, like the Edison statistical area, itself a sub-city ) it's just a flat out big area population wise, so the weather is gonna be a little different in some parts. When its cloudy or rains who cares ( well I know you do ) but snow amounts are a different thing. Last year I had just shy of 4 inches when areas to my west had double digits. 20 minute drive. Dude don't you know that anything above Dyckman St is upstate and west of Fort Lee is never never land? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigBeard Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Does anyone know when it will begin snowing? I live in Westchester county and want to visit someone right over the George Washington bridge, but I will cancel is travel will be too hazardous early in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Seems about right in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 43 minutes ago, lee59 said: Long Island will definitely need a heavy precip event so dynamic cooling can take place. Temperature here already hitting 40 degrees. That's very common in March snow events, even under colder air masses the BL could warm through the 30s. Dews are decent though plus we'll have additional cooling once the sun sets. That combined with the precip arriving will cool temps off fairly quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrapin8100 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The Rap for what it's worth has been showing a nice 8-10 band from the city north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, terrapin8100 said: The Rap for what it's worth has been showing a nice 8-10 band from the city north. Makes sense. HRRRRRRRRRRR also with 1" QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I think this is primarily snow. 6-10" for most in immediate NYC metro. This is more like 3-6" over the forks, south shore and southeast Jersey coast where you mix. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Hi res RGEM also impressive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 30 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Seems about right in my book. 6-10 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
messier77 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 What is the predicted onset time of SN+? Looks to be around 6-ish PM from what I can tell. Got a flight landing today in Newark at 4:45 PM and not sure if they’ll divert or cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 GFS has all rain for the coast while the Para has 4-6 inches for the coast and CMC has several inches also. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, messier77 said: What is the predicted onset time of SN+? Looks to be around 6-ish PM from what I can tell. Got a flight landing today in Newark at 4:45 PM and not sure if they’ll divert or cancel. I think you’ll be fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, wdrag said: NAM signature: One visual for 06z/4 attached from the 06z run. Pretty darn consistent and nice stretch now... Not sure where you see EC banding? NAM very consistent. This will definitely build amounts along and north of this black band, above qpf 10-1 relationship. I didn't see snow ratios... but a caution... not much cold air at the sfc, so I dont think more than 10-1 ratio along I95. Another I95 caution, am hoping UVM can overcome the +32F aloft... NAM prob of frozen is below 80% PHL-NYC on I95. Your or anyones counter comments welcome, with some science support I hope. Thanks. Walt Thanks for all the assistance with this storm. Question - is it true that banding typically falls just to the north of where models specify normally? I could be mistaken. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GFS has all rain for the coast while the Para has 4-6 inches for the coast and CMC has several inches also. Fv3 is gorgeous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 HRRR is very similar to RGEM with 8 to 10 inch amounts for NYC and LI. GFS looks as if it's struggling to see the dynamic cooling. Wouldn't worry about that model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks for all the assistance with this storm. Question - is it true that banding typically falls just to the north of where models specify normally? I could be mistaken. Thats my experience. We shall see - the idea is that its slightly colder just north, allowing larger dendritic growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
messier77 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: I think you’ll be fine Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 lol good for sh*t up to its usual crap. anyway its time for the short term models now and radar watching as we are 7-8 hours away from arrival. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 HRDPS also has 6-10 for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 @BxEngine @Rjay he’s backkkkkk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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