wdrag Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Power problems? I95 at midnight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Someone is going to get dumped on tonight with 1" - 2" an hour rates. That will be your jackpot zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 NAM is about 1" liquid. NYC all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: NAM is about 1" liquid. NYC all snow. Yup, best NAM run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swataz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 51 minutes ago, Doorman said: Be careful what you hug... I don't see six on here in the metro... enjoy the fast melt of March my hardcore weenies I’ll take the NAM totals for $500, Alex... Is this a trend or an outlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 NAM is miles better for most, especially LI wow - and I’m referring to Kuchera map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, swataz said: I’ll take the NAM totals for $500, Alex... Is this a trend or an outlier? The the old NAM run, current run is much colder and snowier for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, psv88 said: NAM is miles better for most, especially LI wow - and I’m referring to Kuchera map Got an image? I'm curious about new kuchera map although it doesn't really matter IMO, 1" QPF all snow at night is telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swataz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: The the old NAM run, current run is much colder and snowier for everyone Yeah, I was just running the latest NAM on Tidbits and was wondering where those numbers came from. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Got an image? I'm curious about new kuchera map although it doesn't really matter IMO, 1" QPF all snow at night is telling. City is around 6-7”. Don’t expect a foot of snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Got an image? I'm curious about new kuchera map although it doesn't really matter IMO, 1" QPF all snow at night is telling. Yes I need to take a look at that map myself. The snowfall map I'm looking at shows me getting 6-7 inches with 1"QPF. I don't think so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Most recent hrr is 6-9 western & nw nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said: Someone is going to get dumped on tonight with 1" - 2" an hour rates. That will be your jackpot zone. 12Z HREF will probably continue to support that, looking at the various NSSL 12Z runs so far. Another + for 1-2"/hr rates is the 6-6.5 C/km lapse rates aloft as the 850-700mb circulation shifts by to the S. Convective precip will be likely as a result. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Animal said: Most recent hrr is 6-9 western & nw nj More. 1" QPF, all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Will the next Nam run back track ? Does it matter ? We are in HRRR and other short range models time no ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3k Nam has also 5-8 inches for the metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: 3k Nam has also 5-8 inches for the metro area Doesn't make any sense for a 10:1 map considering QPF should be 8-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Doesn't make any sense for a 10:1 map considering QPF should be 8-10" Temps are going to be iffy on the south shore. This storm is going to be close to an all snow event. We also have to see where the heavier bands will set up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Long Island will definitely need a heavy precip event so dynamic cooling can take place. Temperature here already hitting 40 degrees. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, lee59 said: Long Island will definitely need a heavy precip event so dynamic cooling can take place. Temperature here already hitting 40 degrees. Check your dewpoint temps. Down to 20 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, lee59 said: Long Island will definitely need a heavy precip event so dynamic cooling can take place. Temperature here already hitting 40 degrees. Focus on the dew point not the 2m temp. Right now dews are mid to upper 20s area wide. This is good. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Focus on the dew point not the 2m temp. Right now dews are mid to upper 20s area wide. This is good. High clouds are filtering in. Good sign 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Dew point 23 here. I would guess dew points will be near 30 out here when precip starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Precip just into W VA, Southern and Western Ohio and racing ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Check your dewpoint temps. Down to 20 here You may want to re calibrate your weather station. There aren’t any dews near 20 anywhere near the area, like 100 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, psv88 said: Focus on the dew point not the 2m temp. Right now dews are mid to upper 20s area wide. This is good. Correct and even lower for me... Currently at 21 for DP with a temp of 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, psv88 said: You may want to re calibrate your weather station. There aren’t any dews near 20 anywhere near the area, like 100 miles DP of 24 here in Sheepshead Bay 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: You may want to re calibrate your weather station. There aren’t any dews near 20 anywhere near the area, like 100 miles Wrong. 36/24 here and there are some lower dp's in Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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