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WxUSAF

March 3-4, 2019 Snow Discussion and Obs

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6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

4.6" total 

Moderate snow 31/31

Had 90 minutes of really heavy returns overhead.  Great storm here .

Congrats! Mix line never left me just straight sleet since 8pm

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2 minutes ago, mappy said:

Congrats! Mix line never left me just straight sleet since 8pm

Same here.  Google maps says I'm 16 miles south of the MD/PA line, probably 8 miles too far south for this one.

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Light rain for the past hour. at one point might have had 1.5, before the flip back to sleet then rain.  Already significant melting taking place.  In the end, I got exactly what I predicted I'd get, though I didnt think it'd turn into a rain storm.  

Crappy end to a crappy winter.  I guess it is fitting.

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Just now, winterymix said:

Same here.  Google maps says I'm 16 miles south of the MD/PA line, probably 8 miles too far south for this one.

Oh well. 

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.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Low pressure over the Carolinas will makes its way northeastward
off the Virginia coast tonight. Precipitation is tapering off
from west to east this evening, with the bulk of it aligned
along and east of the Blue Ridge. Warmer air aloft won out this
afternoon and evening with the rain/snow/sleet line shifting
further northward than projected, crossing into north central
Maryland and extreme northern Virginia. The 00z IAD upper air
sounding measured a warm nose between 800-850mb, with a max temp
of 3.4C at 825mb. The warmer air and northward shift of the mix
line resulted in lower snow totals. A cold rain has prevailed
to the south and east into the metros, as temperatures this
evening are in the low to mid 30s.

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After several hours of snow earlier this afternoon (leading to a whopping 1 inch),  the rest of this "storm" has featured rain mixed with occasional sleet.  And to think that I was under a Winter Storm Warning this morning.

HUGE BUST!  Dolly Parton would have been proud.

 

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1 minute ago, jayyy said:

See you all for the March 12-14th storm to end winter. 

One last hurrah. We can do this. Hope anyway. Not ready for an 8 month hibernation yet. I mean severe storm tracking is fun, but somehow it still leaves me with any empty feeling. 

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10 minutes ago, jayyy said:

York PA clocking in at nearly 7”. Sheesh. 

All that amazing snow on last night’s RGEM went to PA instead. Maybe I’ll be at Roundtop tomorrow evening. 

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Ended here just NW of FDK with about 2" or so...better than most, but a huge bust per the models.  

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9 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Sheesh this storm was barely even a deal in this subforum if you got screwed too.

Parr’s ridge did alright, I think.

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Huge bust so far out here as well --- all we got was snow TV all morning, then sleet/rain for hours with occasional bursts of heavy snow.....nothing but an icy crust on the ground. I'm starting to think the 1"/hr rates from 3PM-8PM might not be happening after all.....:fulltilt:

That warm nose was brutal and deadly. Been a long time since we've had one bust this bad out here during the actual event -- LWX had us in WSW for 4-8", models showed 6-10" with none having less than 4". 

 

 

 

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11 minutes ago, Fozz said:

Parr’s ridge did alright, I think.

Looks like we'll finish around 5. Hit low end of warning criteria and was plowable. No complaints here. Puts me at 37.0 for the season which is right at climo. Take away the 6 inches I got from the November storm and I still broke 30. That storm still was the single highest storm total this year for us up here which is pretty odd. This was the case with the October storm in 2011 however much less snow followed in that winter.

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4 minutes ago, MountainGeek said:

Huge bust so far out here as well --- all we got was snow TV all morning, then sleet/rain for hours with occasional bursts of heavy snow.....nothing but an icy crust on the ground. I'm starting to think the 1"/hr rates from 3PM-8PM might not be happening after all.....:fulltilt:

That warm nose was brutal and deadly. Been a long time since we've had one bust this bad out here during the actual event -- LWX had us in WSW for 4-8", models showed 6-10" with none having less than 4". 

 

 

 

It is wild that the cutoff was just west of the Blue Ridge. You guys usually do well with your elevation.

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1 minute ago, Ji said:

What did psu get?

He’s right up the hill from Highstakes so probably 5-6.

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5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

It is wild that the cutoff was just west of the Blue Ridge. You guys usually do well with your elevation.

Yeah this one was really weird -- I can't remember the last time Charles Town did better than we did. Maybe the angle of the precip or the BR ended up as one of the main battleground areas with the warm nose bleeding through just enough west to ruin the event for us. Normally your reports are a pretty good benchmark for what's incoming our way during events since I'm on the ridge just about due east of you. This time I was thinking you might have had one too many beers when you were posting obs....

Kids are going to be devastated to wake up tomorrow to a pile of slop after being told 4-8". :lol:

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13 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

Looks like we'll finish around 5. Hit low end of warning criteria and was plowable. No complaints here. Puts me at 37.0 for the season which is right at climo. Take away the 6 inches I got from the November storm and I still broke 30. That storm still was the single highest storm total this year for us up here which is pretty odd. This was the case with the October storm in 2011 however much less snow followed in that winter.

Nice. I was hoping for that but that last minute north jump messed it up for those of us closer to the city. A solid storm with marginal temps looks amazing on the trees. Luckily I’ll be able to ski tomorrow so it should be a very nice drive on the way.

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3 minutes ago, das said:

Nope.  0.5" in Clarksburg.  All rain and IP for the last 7 hours.

But you’re on the southern end of Parr’s ridge.

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Had a winter storm warning here for 3 to 5 inches, more forecasted just to my North  ( up to 8 inches )

Currently at my location heavy rain and nothing on the ground, what a bust. A huge bust at that !  

And a bust of forecast for just 6 hours ahead.  Incredible dissapointment for a lot of the kids in my area hoping for either a 2 hour delay or even a possible cyber day.   

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34 minutes ago, Solo2 said:

Ended here just NW of FDK with about 2" or so...better than most, but a huge bust per the models.  

I hate being within 30 miles of the R/S  line for  a large portion of the storm.  This is almost always the result. Same thing happened in March 2017

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