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WxUSAF

March 3-4, 2019 Snow Discussion and Obs

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1 hour ago, Amped said:

I gave up watching the HRRR during snowstorms, it's the best way to drive yourself crazy.

Ha, I wish I could quit it. It definitely does drive you crazy, that's for sure.

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11 minutes ago, mattie g said:

That’s an abortion of a map.

Yeah it definitely isn’t a DC storm.

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10 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

They already had this event, and it was during peak winter.

If the storm turns out as advertised, then I’ll be pretty satisfied with this winter, especially with the coming cold stretch afterwards.

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21 minutes ago, mattie g said:

That’s an abortion of a map.

100% Chance PWCS are cancelled Sunday!!

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1 hour ago, mappy said:

I’m still leaning 4-6” here. 

You're gonna get 6-9. You are very close to the Mason Dixon. Thats about 50 miles north of Baltimore.

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2 minutes ago, Jebman said:

You're gonna get 6-9. You are very close to the Mason Dixon. Thats about 50 miles north of Baltimore.

The M/D line is actually 25 miles from Baltimore, but I agree it’s a great spot for this storm.

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It’s going to come in hot and heavy and overwhelm the column. Then we are going to get 6-12 inches of fatties at 33.2 F. Book it

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18 minutes ago, Jebman said:

You're gonna get 6-9. You are very close to the Mason Dixon. Thats about 50 miles north of Baltimore.

And I am gonna hit up oregon ridge monday morning at 8:00 AM for sleigh riding with my kids!!! Thats in the same general area as mappy... I am thinking they should hit pay dirt.

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2 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:

It’s going to come in hot and heavy and overwhelm the column. Then we are going to get 6-12 inches of fatties at 33.2 F. Book it

i like it. sign me up. where can i book my trip to fantasy land?

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25 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

You think I'm wrong?

It was a reference to the speculation earlier that you and ji are the same person. 

  • Haha 2

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11 minutes ago, PDIII said:

And I am gonna hit up oregon ridge monday morning at 8:00 AM for sleigh riding with my kids!!! Thats in the same general area as mappy... I am thinking they should hit pay dirt.

It’s not quite that far north but still looks to be in a good spot. Hope you enjoy!

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0z NAM looks wet and warm...if it's right, DC and most SE of 95 likely see no accumulation at all.
Better than dry and warm. DC might have to take one for the team
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Just now, Ji said:
5 minutes ago, snowfan said:
0z NAM looks wet and warm...if it's right, DC and most SE of 95 likely see no accumulation at all.

Better than dry and warm. DC might have to take one for the team

Sure, but if the NAM is right you're prob not going to see much either.

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44 minutes ago, Fozz said:

If the storm turns out as advertised, then I’ll be pretty satisfied with this winter, especially with the coming cold stretch afterwards.

Maybe I am being pessimistic, but I think you are setting yourself up for disappointment. The margin of error is razor thin. White rain in the mix. Bad ratios. We've done this old song and dance before with snowquester. Those accumulation maps won't verify.

I'd honestly be stunned if this is anything for than 1-2 slushy inches on the grass from Baltimore to Philly.

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Yeah, not a fan of this run. We’ll see what the 3k shows.

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14 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said:
1 minute ago, Ji said:

Nam 3k went way north

Yea but it’s the NAM. Probably out to lunch

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4 minutes ago, Mdecoy said:

Maybe I am being pessimistic, but I think you are setting yourself up for disappointment. The margin of error is razor thin. White rain in the mix. Bad ratios. We've done this old song and dance before with snowquester. Those accumulation maps won't verify.

I'd honestly be stunned if this is anything for than 1-2 slushy inches on the grass from Baltimore to Philly.

Yes, I’m well aware of the temp issues. I’ve seen marginal events turn out both ways.

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6 minutes ago, Ji said:

Nam 3k went way north

Woah gets the rain/snow line all the way to my door for a time. Yikes. I wanted more amped. Not that much more lol. 

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