Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Damaging sunshine, patches of blue sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Up to 10F Dim sun. I'd have to check but probably in the top 5 coldest days of the winter. My 2-3" going to be pure fluff. Snow depth just over 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Are they associated with WAA? Seem to be lining up quite nicely with max area of 850 WAA/850 fronto This is pretty much all WAA f-gen driven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Bright sunshine in Neponset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 You can see there is some deeper moisture (light blue) moving north towards SNE now. That will help later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: You can see there is some deeper moisture (light blue) moving north towards SNE now. That will help later. That should lead to the deeper moisture soundings in the DGZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That should lead to the deeper moisture soundings in the DGZ That was already modeled to be fine, this is more to calm to worries of those that can still see the sun despite snow in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 I was thinking most meaningful snow wouldn't be falling until evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That was already modeled to be fine, this is more to calm to worries of those that can still see the sun despite snow in the forecast. The HREFs of the SPC, Scott N's favorite HIRES model, shows a 24-hour max of around 8-10" with a 12-15" max about 30 miles east of CHH. I was wondering, could we get intense banding to develop off the ocean moving westward from the east? We have low-level easterly flow develop later tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 49 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Steady , light snow here at the office . Way earlier than forecast. Imo, positive signal for tonight on Sw extent for those snows starved weenies in SW CT Where is your office? Bristol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 27 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: This is pretty much all WAA f-gen driven. That was actually a really dumb question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The HREFs of the SPC, Scott N's favorite HIRES model, shows a 24-hour max of around 8-10" with a 12-15" max about 30 miles east of CHH. I was wondering, could we get intense banding to develop off the ocean moving westward from the east? We have low-level easterly flow develop later tonight? I wouldn't get too psyched over the max product. The NSSL and ARW members go a little nuts with the OES. But the PMM (probability matched mean) snowfall is probably a good sense of your personal upper bound. 6" with 2-4" from synoptic plus ocean enhancement is a fair high end goal post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: That was actually a really dumb question Nah, it's good that you're looking to see what forcing the current radar matches best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 I'm kind of excited to see snow falling in a streetlight at the new place. I haven't been able to enjoy that in many, many moons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I wouldn't get too psyched over the max product. The NSSL and ARW members go a little nuts with the OES. But the PMM (probability matched mean) snowfall is probably a good sense of your personal upper bound. 6" with 2-4" from synoptic plus ocean enhancement is a fair high end goal post. Excellent, I love the weather, allows learning something new every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Excellent, I love the weather, allows learning something new every day. Those type of models are like if the HRRR snorted lines of Adderall and amphetamines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 17 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Where is your office? Bristol? Farmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Nothing here snowfall wise and radar looks uninspiring. Snow is supposed to start here until 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 18z Nammy really likes eastern MA areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 18z Nammy really likes eastern MA areas Congrats Chatham to Truro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 18z Nammy really likes eastern MA areas High res Nammy similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 18z Nammy really likes eastern MA areas SE MA has been in the sweet spot for a long time now. Should get some OES enhancement too which will help...esp for those areas somewhat close to the coast. The question for elsewhere is where that best ribbon of fronto occurs. Been pretty consistently between the pike and the N MA border but some guidance is a little south and some is skewed a little north of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: SE MA has been in the sweet spot for a long time now. Should get some OES enhancement too which will help...esp for those areas somewhat close to the coast. The question for elsewhere is where that best ribbon of fronto occurs. Been pretty consistently between the pike and the N MA border but some guidance is a little south and some is skewed a little north of that. The OES enhanced stuff could be uber fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: The OES enhanced stuff could be uber fluff. Yeah definitely. It's like -10C in the OES zone of 900mb...that's prob equivalent to like -14C or -15C in non-OES conditions given all the salt nuclei in those spots with the onshore flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Snowing in Waterford now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 NWS Taunton upped the snowfall forecast for me, now 5" with a high amount of 6" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 57 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The HREFs of the SPC, Scott N's favorite HIRES model, shows a 24-hour max of around 8-10" with a 12-15" max about 30 miles east of CHH. I was wondering, could we get intense banding to develop off the ocean moving westward from the east? We have low-level easterly flow develop later tonight? who is performing the measurement on the whale's backside? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, SJonesWX said: who is performing the measurement on the whale's backside? Lol just fun to think about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 February 27-28th 2019 Clipper Snowfall Map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Written from basement on a hill in Weymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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