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Midweek event, Yah or Nah? February 27-28th Clipper


USCAPEWEATHERAF
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6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Last event that was modeled to have a “weenie band “ was a SWFE and had good moisture stream from SW 

this one is N stream dominant , correct

dont be shocked when models see the dry fast flow and shredderola this next 24 hrs

down to an inch or so

if this was a SWFE I would be feeling different 

s/w isn't getting shredded like last time tho 

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1 minute ago, ma blizzard said:

s/w isn't getting shredded like last time tho 

Last time was a SWFE and it had a much better moisture influx, this is much drier and not a SWFE (unless I’m looking at stuff wrong) 

Screaming flow , pure n stream ....

maybe this will be the first N Stream system not to dry out in last 60 hrs lead up to event this year of compressed flow 

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14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Last event that was modeled to have a “weenie band “ was a SWFE and had good moisture stream from SW 

this one is N stream dominant , correct

dont be shocked when models see the dry fast flow and shredderola this next 24 hrs

down to an inch or so

if this was a SWFE I would be feeling different 

I wouldn't be shocked if it does. There is confluence to our north which will try to rip this to pieces. The other models look good though.

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This is a classic open wave isentropic lift event...there's no hard fast rules on them about whether they trend stronger or weaker as we get closer. I've seen both happen. 

It just depends on how the actual shortwave itself trends. Flip a coin. 

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9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Poor Pickles. Kid is just lost right now. Tough to see happen 

You should have literally 65-70 inches based on all your calls for snow this year.

well see what happens 

just looking for discussion other than snow cheerleading , I’ve seen 10 N stream “systems /events “ shredded . Bad  Luck

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16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

All you do is downplay everything 

And to be honest I criticize myself as well. Like I don’t look at things close enuf before posting sometimes. I asked if this was N stream only bc if so imo It would be shredded , but there appears to be some interaction with a s steam disturbance spawning a low Well south of benchmark

i would beleive we need to see this southern energy or there would be no onshore flow in C.J. town

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