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stormtracker

The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

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3 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Fv3 still moving in right direction 

Saw that too.  This might be good snow tv

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19 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Fv3 still moving in right direction 

I thought it moved the wrong way. 12z had more energy hanging back like the euro. Yea the storm ended up suppressed but it was a better storm. This run was more just a wave on the front. No one is getting a big storm from that.  It took a step towards seeing some flakes but away from the setup for a big storm. 

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4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I thought it moved the wrong way. 12z had more energy hanging back like the euro. Yea the storm ended up suppressed but it was a better storm. This run was more just a wave on the front. No one is getting a big storm from that.  It took a step towards seeing some flakes but away from the setup for a big storm. 

Agree.  It’s the setup at h5 that degraded even though there was blue over the region.  Still fun to track but unlike January this tracking is just for laughs at least for me. 

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9 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Agree.  It’s the setup at h5 that degraded even though there was blue over the region.  Still fun to track but unlike January this tracking is just for laughs at least for me. 

Too bad this was not setup in Jan and Feb

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6 hours ago, Snow88 said:

Just to talk about the weather

Free country

Dude, your posts are not uber informative but they are better than 50% of the posts on here.  I agree..post where you want to post as long as it's region relative...  Never really understood the "crackdown" on out of region posting.  Weird....just like this hobby I guess. 

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What DT actually meant when he said it was gonna be dry for 10 days is that he wasn't gonna drink for 10 days. Well you see how that went.

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Euro caved to the Gfs. 

Becoming a habit. HP is not as stout today lessening its movement south with the colder air for next week. 

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Euro caved to the Gfs. 

Yes ...and the Eps followed but I'm giving it a couple more days.  Today's threat didn't become clear until 72 hours out ...at the 120 mark most models were very progressive and look now at the buckled look and I know you know that but just saying ....Being centered close to  day 5 still this is far from set. 6z Gfs already looks different at h5 compared to 0z . Fv3 actually is somewhat close to something.  Hey...we're in the bonus anyway :scooter:

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6z FV3 at hour 126 . Close to something at h5 . A look like this at 5 days out ..I'm definitely still tracking.  Not like there's anything else lol . No doubt a last hurrah if it materializes 

fv3p_z500_vort_us_22.png

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Yes ...and the Eps followed but I'm giving it a couple more days.  Today's threat didn't become clear until 72 hours out ...at the 120 mark most models were very progressive and look now at the buckled look and I know you know that but just saying ....Being centered close to  day 5 still this is far from set. 6z Gfs already looks different at h5 compared to 0z . Fv3 actually is somewhat close to something.  Hey...we're in the bonus anyway :scooter:

We’re not close to done. Still have this to track. 

F8C59C59-BA72-4CFF-B25F-FD3E283ECAA9.thumb.png.d9a081a0dc7d91a2b41e5850b57cab57.png

with the new FV3 we could be doing this to July. 

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2 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

Yes ...and the Eps followed but I'm giving it a couple more days.  Today's threat didn't become clear until 72 hours out ...at the 120 mark most models were very progressive and look now at the buckled look and I know you know that but just saying ....Being centered close to  day 5 still this is far from set. 6z Gfs already looks different at h5 compared to 0z . Fv3 actually is somewhat close to something.  Hey...we're in the bonus anyway :scooter:

Wow, when you meant the EPS followed you really meant it. Not a single member with snowfall over an inch for anywhere outside the mountains.

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16 hours ago, Ji said:

Dt says your on crack lol511502605bf052ee211afea24567000f.jpg

On Sunday he posted this.....Data this morning keeps it dry through March 24....thats 14 days.  River levels will drop that MUD in your backyard will become solid.   Less than 84 hours later we have flooding rains in Virginia........ March 24 is Sunday just to remind you.......    thats a BUST

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

On Cue lol

Gefs with a nice little shift at 6z 

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_22.png

gfs-ens_mslpaNorm_us_22.png

0z

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_23.png

It’s going to keep it just close enough to tease us right to the end. 

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Funny, euro finally caved to the GFS cold front solution and now the GFS trends away from it in the next two runs  ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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FV3 tracks a low right under us with a high in NNE/Quebec but it’s late March so it’s rain.  Would have been nice in winter.  

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14 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said:

:D

cmc.JPG

Deer Whisperer approves of this snow map.  Although I am sure the snow depth change looks a little worse lol

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How are y'all still hoping for snow? Isn't everyone ready for spring lol where you can actually enjoy time outside?

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1 minute ago, Subtropics said:

How are y'all still hoping for snow? Isn't everyone ready for spring lol where you can actually enjoy time outside?

Let me know when the 70s and sun reappears and stays... won't be for a while

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5 minutes ago, Subtropics said:

How are y'all still hoping for snow? Isn't everyone ready for spring lol where you can actually enjoy time outside?

a month ago today's event would have been at least mixed precip.  Other than that cant complain about 40s and rain.  If you squint it looks like snow.  Overperformer for sure.

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8 minutes ago, Subtropics said:

How are y'all still hoping for snow? Isn't everyone ready for spring lol where you can actually enjoy time outside?

If the alternative is 45 and downpours then gimme snow.  We don’t get nice weather anymore so might as well snow until it switches to summer. 

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