Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand


stormtracker
 Share

Recommended Posts

30 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

 

What are you even talking about!??

I bring up Charlottesville once and you freak out like a child lol. 

Chill

 

 

54 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

Lookin tasty! Especially for those of us near Charlottesville, and DC points south 

 

 

3 hours ago, Snowchaser said:

DC points south need to watch Monday closely!  Especially Charlottesville, Richmond etc :thumbsup:

 

14 hours ago, Snowchaser said:

Even the NAM shows some wintery weather in Charlottesville:wacko: 

 

 

On 12/6/2018 at 8:32 PM, Snowchaser said:

I do think it bold. 4-8 for me in Charlottesville seems high. but yes we will see.

 

On 12/6/2018 at 7:41 PM, Snowchaser said:

DT is calling for 4-8 for Charlottesville haha

 

On 12/6/2018 at 11:25 AM, Snowchaser said:

Accuweather snowfall forecast made 30 mintues ago

Charlottesville 3-6 locally 8''

 

 

On 12/5/2018 at 10:36 PM, Snowchaser said:

NOAA

ISSUED 2050Z

1.00 QPF Charlottesville

 

 

On 12/3/2018 at 10:14 PM, Snowchaser said:

Great update from DT!! here it is in short.

''around 3 inches in Washington to Baltimore is most likely, with the chance for 8-9 inches,

and a good chance for a historical snowfall from Charlottesville down into south western Virginia" 

 

 

On 12/1/2018 at 12:03 AM, Snowchaser said:

charlottesville looks like the winner

*thus far*

 

  • Like 4
  • Haha 31
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not sure where to put this... but I guess in here is good so that all can see... it is in regards to the FV3:

8 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Implementation of the FV3 has been delayed due to two primary issues:

-The snow depth and the water equivalent of snow depth at the surface have unrealistically large values when precipitation occurs in environments with low-level temperature profiles close to freezing. Techniques that use either of these variables for deriving snowfall will exhibit excessive snowfall values.

-The model forecasts exhibit a cold bias in the lower atmosphere that became more prominent after late September 2018.

https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/scn19-12gfsv15.pdf

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

IMO it’s kind of a tightrope walk with the Monday deal. If Saturday’s system amps to much we are suppressed but if it’s weak sauce we won’t have enough cold and it’s probably a 95 north and west at best kind of deal. Wednesday could still trend back in our favor but appears to be more of a Miller b type that favors the NE if anyone. Saturday’s system will set the stage for Monday and Monday sets the stage for Wednesday. Still a long way to go. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, MD Snow said:

IMO it’s kind of a tightrope walk with the Monday deal. If Saturday’s system amps to much we are suppressed but if it’s weak sauce we won’t have enough cold and it’s probably a 95 north and west at best kind of deal. Wednesday could still trend back in our favor but appears to be more of a Miller b type that favors the NE if anyone. Saturday’s system will set the stage for Monday and Monday sets the stage for Wednesday. Still a long way to go. 

Maybe there will be greater space inbetween Monday and Wednesday/ Thursday SWs. Lets see what the Euro shows shortly. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • WxUSAF unpinned this topic

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...