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2/20-21 Thump to Ice Winter Storm Threat

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5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

EE rule ftw.

Moderate snow now coating 30F.

4" looks doable for our central region now and 5 maybe 6" loli's northern sections 

 

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4 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

I was thinking you were out rolling in the snow. :lmao:

It's like a fire hose of moisture available on the sat -

 

goes16_ir_nwatl-ir-02202019.gif

No straight jacket muttering 33F and rain for me this year yay

  

 

 

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Hrrr continues the trend now past 6 runs to delay the change from sleet to plain rain til after 7pm most of SE PA. Change from snow to sleet still looks 3-4pm specific area dependent.

hrrr_T2m_neus_fh8_trend.gif

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FWIW the hrrr has continued trending towards a borderline significant fzra event late this afternoon into tonight for NW areas. Snow to sleet to freezing rain to maybe rain now.

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Rates good out here in southern ChesCo.  Easily approaching 2" and it's coming down. Temp has dropped to 26.  Only took me 45 minutes to travel 5 miles to get home.  Please be careful out there, roads have caved!

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1 minute ago, KamuSnow said:

Just measured 2.3" here, a little over an inch in the last hour. Temp. up a degree to 27F.

Yea!!  Good for the snow pile!

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6 minutes ago, RedSky said:

1.8" already MOD SN

Getting hammered practically

 

Open your blinds, rip off that straight jacket, bust down the padded door, and embrace the unicorn! Your top 2018-19 winter event has arrived! 

 

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11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

FWIW the hrrr has continued trending towards a borderline significant fzra event late this afternoon into tonight for NW areas. Snow to sleet to freezing rain to maybe rain now.

Had installed the latest bufkit and have been fooling around with it (had it a bunch of years ago so have to relearn it again).  The latest HRRR skew-T data that I pulled into it shows what appears to be snow @ 4pm and a shift to rain by 5pm -

 

hrrr-skew-t-02202019-for-4pm.PNG

hrrr-skew-t-02202019-for-5pm.PNG

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13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

FWIW the hrrr has continued trending towards a borderline significant fzra event late this afternoon into tonight for NW areas. Snow to sleet to freezing rain to maybe rain now.

Yeah I just checked and you're not kidding. I could see Berks/Lehigh Valley get .1-.25" of freezing rain this evening and tonight when things switch. Usually these maps are overdone, but any ice isn't good. In fact I'm not sure why plows are coming out to clear. I'd rather drive on crusty snow than pure ice but I guess it's their job.

zr_acc.us_ne.png

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Heaviest precip of the day associated with the waa and 700mb lifting looks to be just about thru for all intents and purposes. Just some embedded pockets of moderate/heavy stuff now. Light snow even intermittent at times should continue over the next several hours before transitioning to sleet then freezing rain. Could be another 'burst' of heavier precip later as we begin to transition. Then as per latest mesos Wrfs and hrrr NW areas hang on to freezing drizzle and freezing rain thru the evening and early night time hours before moving out later tonight. Far S and SE areas will see flip to plain rain later this afternoon and early evening. Would think maybe SE PA areas can eek out another 1" of snow before changeover. 

Just hit 1" snow here in Warminster. Holding at 30f.

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20 minutes ago, Lady Di said:

Yea!!  Good for the snow pile!

Yes! Looks like we might get into a relative lull before the sleet/rain moves in later, that's my window for shoveling it appears. Temp. up to 28F, still moderate to heavy snow.

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9 minutes ago, anthonyweather said:

What a sad looking radar. At least up my way. Looks to be over soon. 1.5” maybe


.

It won’t be “over” up there soon.  Lighter yes, but not over

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