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February 18th - President's Day Overrunning Snow Event Nowcast/Obs


USCAPEWEATHERAF
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Look on the bright side.  You could be us down here Wednesday.  We might miss two events NE and SW in a span of 72 hours.   I would still feel okay tonight the closer you get to the coast away from the Cape and south coast areas.  I would be increasingly worried if I was NW of a BOS-ORH-BDL-DXR line that this might underperform 

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NAM actually seems to have pegged the positioning of the banding very well (I was certainly wrong about that going back to a previous post), though we’ll see if it’s as hefty as advertised. It’s bit your typical band of heavy snow...looks like some heavier echos within. Looks like S CT sucks on subsidence this go around 

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2 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

Radar looks like crap in southern areas.  Would like to see a more filled in presentation overall.

Hrrr has it filling in after 6z, it still gives us 3-4 inches despite the crappy radar now. We shall see, as of now things aren't looking very good.. 30.4/23

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

03z RAP shows the dryslot currently in S CT back to SE NY very well and has it filling in between 06z and 09z. 

RAP actually goes pretty gangbusters on the 03z run. It's been ramping up every run. 

Sweet spot may be between I 84 and the pike...at least until OES kicks in later.

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