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February 19-21, 2019 storm threat


Danajames
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First time the euro has 6 inched my area. It is starting to come south slightly. For me the bottom line is there is a ton of juice heading into a really good cad. We all know how we usually do in these setups. Nice thump for everyone then we lose the column se to NW. Still think my 5-8 call area wide is good.

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21 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:

I like the trends overall. It looks like we finally have cold air that has some cajones. 

This is more a bootleg cold.  Today’s temps will be 40s/50s so there isn’t a lot of antecedent cold. We just happpen to have a cold high pushing in at just the right time as moisture screams in. This is a needle threading a needle type storm

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This setup is a little more sketchy than some of our best slug of precip into CAD IMO. I’d feel better to see a more sw - ne movement of the precip than is being shown. I think temps are really good but would feel better with a train if moisture coming from the sw than I am with a northward moving finger of precip passing through.

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