CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Was the mid-November event all snow? No it flipped to rain. Except for a squall we’ve had no events that have been all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Ive been tracking rain all winter...time to buy a place in NH, and if i play the scratch tickets, Mammoth Mtn... It’s sucked in a lot of places though. As soon as you move we’ll be buried. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 10 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Ive been tracking rain all winter...time to buy a place in NH, and if i play the scratch tickets, Mammoth Mtn... Is it really any better in North Haven? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just once it would be nice just to get even a few inches of all snow. Instead, it’s diarrhea of the clouds from this abysmal season. God it can’t end soon enough. the way that translates up here is "just once could we have snow on snow, instead of repeated melt outs?" This winter is like a good winter in the Delaware Valley where I lived 40 years. It was a great winter to have 40 inches in early February and it was normal to melt out after storms. But up here ths winter is 2nd in terribility to 09-10 I expect this thing to trend warmer today and and heavier and warmer rain this weekend and then a snow storm to show up next week and then another melt. Is there any compelling believable reason that we will get a new england-wide non-mixing snow storm that will stay on the ground a while and get more snow on top of it? Seems unlikely even if models show something in th 7-10. I do expect a March April -NAO though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2019 Author Share Posted February 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No it flipped to rain. Except for a squall we’ve had no events that have been all snow. And the squall was a bust for me. Had about a 5 min flurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Wtf happened in here? It hasn’t changed much since yesterday.. Not sure. Unless anyone was expecting >6" in our zone then not much has changed. It's gonna be a 5 or 6 hour burst and it just depends how hard it comes down for us. Could be weak sauce 2-3" or it could be 5-6" if it is able to really rip for 3-4 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 NAM w/o sleet then with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Is there a concern for a significant ice accretion in central and northern CT like a few weeks ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 13 minutes ago, TheCloser24 said: Is there a concern for a significant ice accretion in central and northern CT like a few weeks ago? no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 so what's with the warm tongue all winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2019 Author Share Posted February 11, 2019 23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not sure. Unless anyone was expecting >6" in our zone then not much has changed. It's gonna be a 5 or 6 hour burst and it just depends how hard it comes down for us. Could be weak sauce 2-3" or it could be 5-6" if it is able to really rip for 3-4 hours. Ginxy told us to expect a region wide 6-10". Jerry said 8 muthafukas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: so what's with the warm tongue all winter? It's a SWFE. They happen in almost every single one. Don't you remember years like 2007-2008 and 2008-2009? We had a lot of front enders those winters. This one is no different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Ginxy told us to expect a region wide 6-10". Jerry said 8 muthafukas. Those are optimistic numbers in this setup. They can happen but you typically want to see omega a little stronger than shown right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It's a SWFE. They happen in almost every single one. Don't you remember years like 2007-2008 and 2008-2009? We had a lot of front enders those winters. This one is no different. OK, I just thought this winter was more pronounced, I guess we've had no true NEster ... I was in California 2007-2008 so missed it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 NWS aggressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just once it would be nice just to get even a few inches of all snow. Instead, it’s diarrhea of the clouds from this abysmal season. God it can’t end soon enough. I'm sorry Scott. I'm with you big time this. As I posted from an earlier post from the weather people in Taunton, we can get front enders but even then those are not that great. The chance of maturing Lows going to our south are remote in this particular winter/set-up. Yes, there's time for a March 1956 like storm or something to hold out for but for the most part this is what we have been seeing since that Novermber 12 snow which by the way, we haven't seen as much here in the heart of our viewing area yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2019 Author Share Posted February 11, 2019 I have a feeling this will have a shredded look to it, with the primary so far west, and we are left with weak lift and low ratio snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's a SWFE. They happen in almost every single one. Don't you remember years like 2007-2008 and 2008-2009? We had a lot of front enders those winters. This one is no different. Maybe it's just my perception, but they seem more "aggressive" this year. The IP at -2° last month was a new experience for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: NWS aggressive! They will bust as they almost always do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, tamarack said: Maybe it's just my perception, but they seem more "aggressive" this year. The IP at -2° last month was a new experience for me. Jan 20 was definitely one of the more impressive ones I've seen. Though the one on Jan 29-30 was kind of meh and the November one also ran into a lot of resistance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I have a feeling this will have a shredded look to it, with the primary so far west, and we are left with weak lift and low ratio snows. So the radar will look like shit then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2019 Author Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: So the radar will look like shit then? For decent accumulating snows down here is SNE, yes. Up your way as the secondary gets going better I feel more confidence in better totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 44 minutes ago, TheCloser24 said: Is there a concern for a significant ice accretion in central and northern CT like a few weeks ago? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 idk...0.10"/hr for 4-8 hours is a decent thump. It's just that a portion of that will be tainted with sleet. I think the radar will look fine pre-dryslot...then you get into the showery look with SHRA near the shore and ZL/IP over the interior depending on latitude. I'm not sure the low levels will be cold enough for ice crystal development once the dryslot hits so it's probably a liquid deal for most at that point...again whether it's freezing on contact or not depends on the location. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Those are optimistic numbers in this setup. They can happen but you typically want to see omega a little stronger than shown right now. So the Big Thump idea is gone now...lol. That's what we were all hoping for in SNE.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well.. another zr storm after a few inches of snow for CT. Amazing how going with persistence and repetitiveness this winter has been the way to go It's gonna be Sleet..not Freezing Rain for us. ZR is minimal in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 That's a nice thump look for some of you that jumped off the cliff on the 12z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: So the Big Thump idea is gone now...lol. That's what we were all hoping for in SNE.... Not sure it was ever on the table in your area...at least for amounts over 6". For north of the pike though it still cannot be ruled out but I've been favoring 4-6 for days here despite some of the 7-8" totals appearing from time to time on a few runs. NAM has been giving pause but it's coming in really strong at 12z for areas like KBED up to Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: That damn November snowfall caused this! Always does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, Whineminster said: Always does If only we could've cancelled the November snowstorms in 2012-2013 and 2014-2015...imagine how much snow we would've gotten that winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now