40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Latest from BOX I like that map...matches my thoughts well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I like that map...matches my thoughts well. I think they stole yours for their range version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I think they stole yours for their range version Well, I hope they didn't steal my seasonal numbers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Looks like boston is finally on the good side of the gradient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Latest GYX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 37 minutes ago, dryslot said: Pivotal not as friendly, Outside its window though. What the hell is with the stagger effect along the coast? That has to be wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 ii think they will expanded the watch later tonight to northern ct . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 40 minutes ago, weathafella said: Latest from BOX A definite improvement from their morning update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 I like the look of the Euro and GFS, but I'm always nervous when the meso models show so much warming aloft. I know this event is still a bit beyond the NAM's wheelhouse, but it can't be discounted, especially the way so many storms have gone this winter. Besides it's pretty common for SWFE to trend warmer as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 HoistedMEZ020-111030-Androscoggin-Including the cities of Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot,Turner, Auburn, and Livermore Falls317 PM EST Sun Feb 10 2019...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGHWEDNESDAY AFTERNOON....TONIGHT...Mostly clear this evening, then becoming partly cloudy.Lows around 8 above. West winds around 10 mph. Wind chill values aslow as 1 below..MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. Northwest winds around10 mph. Wind chill values as low as 1 below..MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 4 above. Northwest windsaround 10 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable..TUESDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then mostly cloudy with achance of snow in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 20s. Light andvariable winds, becoming northeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.Chance of snow 50 percent..TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow. Heavy snow accumulation. Not as cold withlows around 19. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to25 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent..WEDNESDAY...Snow likely with sleet in the morning, then a chance ofsnow in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30s. Chance ofprecipitation 80 percent..WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow in the evening.Lows around 20. Chance of snow 50 percent..THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s..THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20..FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Highs inthe upper 30s..FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain and snow likely. Not as cold with lows in themid 30s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent..SATURDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of rain70 percent..SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partlycloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s..SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s.$$Naturally we must have the possibility of sleet. 50% of storms this year are tainted. Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, I hope they didn't steal my seasonal numbers. Or your arrows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 20 minutes ago, rimetree said: Latest GYX Yup, Fits in perfectly with what i'm expecting, 8-12", 10" is pretty common in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 10 minutes ago, The_Global_Warmer said: What the hell is with the stagger effect along the coast? That has to be wrong? lol, that would make me melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Thump and a half on gfs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: I like the look of the Euro and GFS, but I'm always nervous when the meso models show so much warming aloft. I know this event is still a bit beyond the NAM's wheelhouse, but it can't be discounted, especially the way so many storms have gone this winter. Besides it's pretty common for SWFE to trend warmer as we get closer. At least two Boston area tv Mets (so far) agree with you. Their snowfall maps seem to reflect that concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, The_Global_Warmer said: What the hell is with the stagger effect along the coast? That has to be wrong? Has to be something with that algorithm that's causing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 That 18z GFS run is 12"+ for a good chunk of folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Thump and a half on gfs! Even the typically conservative snow depth change clown map is quite gung ho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 We (SNE) really need to maximize the front end before the warm tongue gets in. Mechanism is there so one can hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 GFS has been consistently the most gung ho on the bent back WF in the midlevels so it's been really ripping the rates out in front. Euro hasn't been far behind. NAM has looked putrid for the most part and doesn't have the bentback look nearly as defined. Hopefully it trends that way as we get closer more in its wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 gfs is juicier before we taint around here, dumps allot of frozen.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 The clown map looks nothing like the Nams............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Or your arrows. They usually point to the correct solution, so that wouldn't be so bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Has to be something with that algorithm that's causing that. Its probably adding 3 or 6 hourly snowfall based on instaneous ptying...you end up getting discontinuities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 20 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Naturally we must have the possibility of sleet. 50% of storms this year are tainted. Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Still think as it stands right now we should stay mainly snow except the immediate coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Its probably adding 3 or 6 hourly snowfall based on instaneous ptying...you end up getting discontinuities. Makes sense with that step look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Makes sense with that step look. Yeah snip will look like that in our gfe grids with 3 hour model data and running an instantaneous ptying tool every 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 40 minutes ago, dryslot said: Still think as it stands right now we should stay mainly snow except the immediate coast That'd be me in So PWM. Will take my 6-8" thump and run. I think my largest event on the season was 7, and that was in Nov. Still keeping pace with AVG this season so can't complain too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, tunafish said: That'd be me in So PWM. Will take my 6-8" thump and run. I think my largest event on the season was 7, and that was in Nov. Still keeping pace with AVG this season so can't complain too much. Unless we get that secondary to track a little further east you look to taint some question is how soon that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 RGEM doubled down and went with even less snow and an Advisory event in NNE lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now