BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, RDM said: Ok - reasonable for inside the beltways (both of them). What's your threshold for a HECS and BECS? Propose something on the order of 24"+ is HECS territory and 30"+ is a BECS... Add winds over 30 kts to the mix and drop the thresholds 6" each Let's create a voting thread. lol Imo, 8-12" = SECS, 12"-15" = MECS, "15-20" = HECS, 20"+ = BECS for DCA eta: My first comment was wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Am I the only one who thinks arguing over the weenie classification of the Jan storm is completely ridiculous? It was a long duration double digit snowfall over several million peoples yards. It was a significant and uncommon storm so stfu and discuss how many sleet pellets I get before copious rainfall. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Am I the only one who thinks arguing over the weenie classification of the Jan storm is completely ridiculous? It was a long duration double digit snowfall over several million peoples yards. It was a significant and uncommon storm so stfu and discuss how many sleet pellets I get before copious rainfall. We're about to get washed out. Who cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: Hoping for a surprise but I made sure I did my homework You are a kid? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Let's create a voting thread. lol Imo, 8-12" = SECS, 12"-15" = MECS, "15-20" = HECS, 20"+ = BECS for DCA Drop it dude. Nobody gives a crap about what weenie acronym is used to classify any storm. It's a completely made up and subjective rating system and arguing over it in a storm obs thread is beyond dumb. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Am I the only one who thinks arguing over the weenie classification of the Jan storm is completely ridiculous? It was a long duration double digit snowfall over several million peoples yards. It was a significant and uncommon storm so stfu and discuss how many sleet pellets I get before copious rainfall. I was wondering that too. I’ve just been ignoring the banter and trying to figure out if I will have any frozen before my yard is a mud pit again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: You are a kid? At heart 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeYourScreenname Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 8 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: You posted the 10% chance of higher snowfall...where do you see a max of 7” for Bel Air? Tonight Snow after 7pm, mixing with freezing rain after 4am. Low around 28. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Monday Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 1pm, then rain and sleet between 1pm and 4pm, then freezing rain and sleet after 4pm. High near 35. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Monday Night Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 4am, then freezing rain and sleet. Low around 30. East wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tuesday Rain or freezing rain, becoming all rain after 1pm. High near 38. East wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 recent 850 mb temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeYourScreenname Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 Harford and Cecil 2 hour delay 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 10, 2019 Share Posted February 10, 2019 6 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: At heart That we can all relate to! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeYourScreenname Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just increased ** only through 10am tomorrow ** Does not include round 2 TWC is calling for 5-8 total for N-NE MD 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Looks like NE Maryland is getting their pummeling... good luck guys. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Lwx has my yard in 1-2"? That's pretty bullish imho. I can see .2 - .3 qpf fall as snow but not accumulation. I'll hug it though... The one thing I can see happening to give dc/nova more snow than expected is heavy enough precip rates to cool the midlevels more than modeled. Very unlikely but possible. I don't even have a bar with this event. 1" is a boom scenario imo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 32.9/11 Ready for the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 10 minutes ago, Snowlvr said: Just increased ** only through 10am tomorrow ** Does not include round 2 TWC is calling for 5-8 total for N-NE MD Max map is identical strangely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Lwx has my yard in 1-2"? That's pretty bullish imho. I can see .2 - .3 qpf fall as snow but not accumulation. I'll hug it though... The one thing I can see happening to give dc/nova more snow than expected is heavy enough precip rates to cool the midlevels more than modeled. Very unlikely but possible. I don't even have a bar with this event. 1" is a boom scenario imo 35/15. I am pulling for the northern and west crew and hoping and hugging 1-2" for my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 32/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Real light flurries here. I can barely tell if it's that or energy lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 First flakes here. Medium size dendrites. 31 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Radar actually looks juicy to the west. Probably weenieism though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Real light flurries here. I can barely tell if it's that or energy lol. Super res radar shows light returns up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Man, it sure would be nice to have that qpf all frozen! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2019021023/hrrr_apcpn_neus_9.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 38.3/-2.6 Anyone know why a pws dewpoint reading would be so low? It's obviously erroneous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Started lightly snowing and sleeting here 10 minutes ago. 33 degrees. I appreciate at least getting some frozen! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Moderate sleet. 38. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: DC getting a foot is a MECS. You getting a foot is a MECS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 40 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Drop it dude. Nobody gives a crap about what weenie acronym is used to classify any storm. It's a completely made up and subjective rating system and arguing over it in a storm obs thread is beyond dumb. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 We may all need to shelter inside soon. Gang of lows is coming to kick some serious ass here shortly. I'm a little skerrd. At least they're only MS1012 gang members. If it was a bunch of 990s I'd pack the truck and gtfo of town. 4 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Winter Storm Watches out for Mason/Dixon (Frederick, Carroll, Northern Baltimore/Harford) from 4pm Monday to 10am Tuesday Quote * WHAT...1 to 3 inches of snow is expected through Monday morning. There is the potential for 5 or more inches of snow and additional freezing rain Monday night into Tuesday, especially near the Pennsylvania border. Snow will overspread the area through 9 pm this evening. Snow will change to a mix of sleet and freezing rain between 1 AM and 4 AM overnight, and that will continue into Monday morning. Precipitation may mix with or even change to rain late Monday morning and afternoon before changing back to a wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain Monday night and continuing into Tuesday morning. * WHERE...Frederick, Carroll, Northern Baltimore and Northwest Harford Counties in northern Maryland. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 10 AM EST Monday. For the Winter Storm Watch, from Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The morning commute will be impacted by snow covered and icy surfaces. Plan on slippery road conditions and possible power outages due to snow and ice Monday night into Tuesday. Travel may become extremely difficult during this time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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