BristowWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Odds of that happening is slim to none! we've matured quite bit over this past winter. I cant imagine any freaking out and wanting to jump off a cliff over, let's say, e7 from the GEFS. steady as she goes for this bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Yum Guidance finally shifting the trough east. Blocking. Lots of chances during the transition week before this too but it’s way too complicate to key on and one wave. The weekend affects the storm Monday which affects Wednesday which affects the weekend after.... but there is wave after wave with highs around and cold lurking and the mjo and soi in favorable phases now. I’ll take my chances. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 This is all nicely following the progression of the Pac forcing along with the expected movement in the MJO. Models are seeing it now finally. Would not take much for the 19th to the 21 st to trend colder. For us here in this forum. When you watch the last 25 model runs the trends are impressive and maybe still trending IMHO, Highly speculative of course, but if we get the bigtime -NAO and following the typical progressions you could enter a window where a intense coastal storm could form and effect the Mid Atlantic in early March. We have not had any of those yet. Talking about a BM storm and a colder version than what we normally see in these parts for early March. and here as well ..... ( bottom animation ) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Significant changes on the storm for this upcoming weekend on the 12z EURO. From a low in Indiana at 120 (00z) to a piece of energy sitting over Kansas at 108 (12z) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Significant changes on the storm for this upcoming weekend on the 12z EURO. From a low in Indiana at 120 (00z) to a piece of energy sitting over Kansas at 108 (12z) 120 has a 1000mb SLP over the AL/TN border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2019 Author Share Posted February 11, 2019 Oh wow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Incoming on the Euro for the weekend. Low in Northern AL at 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Significant changes on the storm for this upcoming weekend on the 12z EURO. From a low in Indiana at 120 (00z) to a piece of energy sitting over Kansas at 108 (12z) Wonder if the boundary is going to shift South and track it at a lower lattitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Significant changes on the storm for this upcoming weekend on the 12z EURO. From a low in Indiana at 120 (00z) to a piece of energy sitting over Kansas at 108 (12z) perhaps these op changes will be more prevalent as they calculate the effects of the expected changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 120 has a 1000mb SLP over the AL/TN border I'm soooo ready for some PBP from you. Been like fr evrrr... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, LP08 said: Incoming on the Euro for the weekend. Low in Northern AL at 120. Looks like a miss north at 144 with the best snows... but looks close to what the 12z UKIE showed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, frd said: Wonder if the boundary is going to shift South and track it at a lower lattitude I cant see it, but it sounds like the cutter may be doing its dirty work and forcing the boundary in time for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Temps marginal for Saturday night but nice to not see a west track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: I'm soooo ready for some PBP from you. Been like fr evrrr... he is the best PBP guy especially when things look good...always thought that...the best Jerry 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 It's not a miss. Snowing at DCA up to BWI at 132. Mixing in CHO. It's light but there. 140 same deal. Cold enough to stick too (barely) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 its like we are Seattle or something 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Another long duration light snow event on the euro. We like them this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, poolz1 said: Another long duration light snow event on the euro. We like them this winter. Yeah...always amps up as it gets closer this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, leesburg 04 said: its like we are Seattle or something Is this even meteorologically possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: It's not a miss. Snowing at DCA up to BWI at 132. Mixing in CHO. It's light but there. 140 same deal. Cold enough to stick too (barely) @#@$%@ing Yoder 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: he is the best PBP guy especially when things look good...always thought that...the best Jerry Its funny how I've come to enjoy them during good periods... Tells us just what we need to know to chart a path to victory (or defeat), but my glass is half full today so.... Now that weve got stuff coming from the south, it may be a matter of time until it happens. We all need it for sanity's sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: @#@$%@ing Yoder I meant north in my post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Another long duration light snow event on the euro. We like them this winter. As long as there's not a 1036 high over GA or a 990 low over Detroit I like the setup. Could easily improve later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: @#@$%@ing Yoder still the best...waiting for a "DC crushed"...can never hear that too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: I meant north in my post Well get ur sh!t together, cause your PBP services may be needed soon enough. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 I like the multi wave/boundary progression on the euro. Light snow verbatim but there's 2 embedded features that have potential. I can see how this misses south too. Not saying I think it will but these setups are narrow. Nice new development on guidance today and fits the things that PSU has been talking about IRT MJO/forcing etc. Models are in fact playing catchup. Not a surprise. At least not to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: still the best...waiting for a "DC crushed"...can never hear that too much You hear that very often during football season! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I like the multi wave/boundary progression on the euro. Light snow verbatim but there's 2 embedded features that have potential. I can see how this misses south too. Not saying I think it will but these setups are narrow. Nice new development on guidance today and fits the things that PSU has been talking about IRT MJO/forcing etc. Models are in fact playing catchup. Not a surprise. At least not to me. Yes...like the trends we've seen in the past day or so. To be honest, I wasn't even looking at or thinking about this weekend, focusing more on middle of next week. But this is quite a change now in the next few/several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Yes...like the trends we've seen in the past day or so. To be honest, I wasn't even looking at or thinking about this weekend, focusing more on middle of next week. But this is quite a change now in the next few/several days. agree. although now I am wondering how potentially Satnight/Sunday will affect Tuesday being that it all connected. probably overthinking it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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