jaydreb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: You arent kidding. Next Tuesday looks great for the MA Lol somehow DC only gets 3” from that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Going to be a lot of tracking starting this week lol Wonder if temps cooperate whether we could get a 10 day window where we get snow on snow . And, I dont care about sun angle and all that. LOL It can happen if it is cold enough and the snow depth thick enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: Lol somehow DC only gets 3” from that storm. GFS and Euro both indicating the fly in the ointment will be temps, GFS has a lower pressure where we would want a high pressure in Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: Lol somehow DC only gets 3” from that storm. I'm just looking for trends in the new regime were about to enter. I think this one may trend better for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'm just looking for trends in the new regime were about to enter. I think this one may trend better for many of us. DC and up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 FV3 has a similar look for Tues/Weds except looks a little warmer. Snow to rain. Big storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hyphnx said: DC and up Yeah, likely wont hit everyone flush, but seeing storms under us is a good sign. it's been a while. Will be fun to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Gfs with the weenie run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 12z UKIE looks intriguing for the weekend -- note the SLP locations and track... looks to go under us. Looks a tad like the GFS I think? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: 12z UKIE looks intriguing for the weekend Can you post, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 And GFS follows it up with another storm on the 22/23. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 12z GFS making me not miss what’s happening today in northern MD. Lots of possibilities on the horizon for almost everyone. Fingers crossed that this is actually the real deal pattern that we’ve been waiting for. No more Charlie Brown’s please. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 CMC has the Tuesday storm but track is bad and it’s rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Can you post, thanks Edited my post to add the images Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Looks like more cold rain, perhaps with a half inch of snow before or after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs with the weenie run. Looking forward to the ensembles. Expecting they will look pretty sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Scraff said: 12z GFS making me not miss what’s happening today in northern MD. Lots of possibilities on the horizon for almost everyone. Fingers crossed that this is actually the real deal pattern that we’ve been waiting for. No more Charlie Brown’s please. Lol. Just be patient. Ops are showing a lot of moving parts in a fairly tight timeframe and that = lots of uncertainty. The bottom line is we really have no idea which (if any) shortwave turns into something. Could be one of those times where we're tracking a phantom that all of a sudden vaporizes but something that nobody was paying attention to turns into a storm in the mid or even short range. Need to survive most of this week without a major setback in the upper levels. Looks good right now but I'm expecting plenty of WTF posts here shortly. lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Relooking at the EPS snow maps from the 00z run through Day 15... been a long time since the members have been showing a majority of 6"+ hits for DC proper... I counted about 33 of the 51 members showing that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, snjókoma said: Looks like more cold rain, perhaps with a half inch of snow before or after. I was thinking three quarter inch before and four tenths after. Stop posting. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 14 minutes ago, snjókoma said: Looks like more cold rain, perhaps with a half inch of snow before or after. Keep us posted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 That is a parade of storms! Wow! If we get the blocking these are going to be forced under. Next weekend into the following week could be an epic way to end winter! May delay my departure - I am OK with this honestly as long as I am not at the airport discovering this! =) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Some nice hits for next Tues/Weds on GEFS. Some rainers in the mix but a bunch of good storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 24 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Just be patient. Ops are showing a lot of moving parts in a fairly tight timeframe and that = lots of uncertainty. The bottom line is we really have no idea which (if any) shortwave turns into something. Could be one of those times where we're tracking a phantom that all of a sudden vaporizes but something that nobody was paying attention to turns into a storm in the mid or even short range. Need to survive most of this week without a major setback in the upper levels. Looks good right now but I'm expecting plenty of WTF posts here shortly. lol Oh I hear ya. As soon as Dr No comes along, this place will go back to hell in hand basket mode. Lol. Eta: And my horses are being held too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 10 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: That is a parade of storms! Wow! If we get the blocking these are going to be forced under. Next weekend into the following week could be an epic way to end winter! May delay my departure - I am OK with this honestly as long as I am not at the airport discovering this! =) Don’t you mean an epic way to start winter? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 I'll take e8/e10 from the 12z GEFS and call it a winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 11 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Some nice hits for next Tues/Weds on GEFS. Some rainers in the mix but a bunch of good storms. It's about 50/50 for something working out or just more of the same with west tracks inside of day 10. Not a lot of support for what the op showed d5 or so. My best guess is things won't get right until after next weekend at the earliest. It's a good GEFS run though. We're going to have to pass time as best as possible over the next week and not freak out over any op run. GEFS shifts back to too much trough in the west and too much ridge in the east d10-12 or so and then flip back to pretty good. Looks like a roller coaster for now. I'm leaning towards things getting half decent by d8-10 and staying that way but that's just a guess and can easily break the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: We're going to have to pass time as best as possible over the next week and not freak out over any op run. Odds of that happening is slim to none! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: I'll take e8/e10 from the 12z GEFS and call it a winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 @yoda E10 is a west track d8-10. False signal. GEFS is very good at that with its crappy algorithm. E8 is ideal though. I didn't see anything to get overly excited about on the GEFS for early next week. Equal split of good and bad. Snowmaps are misleading as usual. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Hmmm... truewx shows it potentially snowing at 141/144 across N VA into DC into MD on 12z UKIE 135/138 for west of BR as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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