terrapin8100 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 37 and rain in Ossining, central Westchester County. Temperature has been steady since 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Moderate rain in the Bronx waiting for a change over soon. Definitely got colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: It seems the coastal boundary has inched just a little east as my winds in Jersey City have shifted from the east to the west/southwest Temps are starting to slowly fall as well. Yep within the past hour and a half or so my winds on Staten Island have gone from SE to SW. Not ideal, but better than off Lower NY Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Light, annoying, dreary cold rain continues on Staten Island. Interestingly, temp has dropped from 41.1 as of 6:50PM to 38.8 now, and winds are now out of the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Looks like mixing line is just about east of SI...we shall see what happens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pequest Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Pics are about an hour old. Closing in on 4 inches now here in Oxford, NJ (Central Warren County). 29 degrees 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Temp starting to drop pretty fast here, down to 37 from 40 just 15 mins ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Wantage NJ 8 s of High Point. 725 PM 3.7". 27.7F NYC and LI should pick up 1/4-1" of snow 10P-2A time frame, from what I can tell from the hrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, wdrag said: Wantage NJ 8 s of High Point. 725 PM 3.7". 27.7F NYC and LI should pick up 1/4-1" of snow 10P-2A time frame, from what I can tell from the hrrr. What do you suspect is the reasoning for this massive "dry slot" on this particular run of the HRRR? Something inherently flawed with the model? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 6 minutes ago, Mark McIntyre said: What do you suspect is the reasoning for this massive "dry slot" on this particular run of the HRRR? Something inherently flawed with the model? Look at the radar... after this rain, there's an area of light precip/not much then a thin band of snow which is hitting WNJ now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 I've no answer except possibly subsidence on the back side of the FGEN banding near the CF. I think from what I can tell its trying to develop as modeled. We'll know more soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, wdrag said: I've no answer except possibly subsidence on the back side of the FGEN banding near the CF. I think from what I can tell its trying to develop as modeled. We'll know more soon. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Temp is up to 36 and it's still pouring rain but the wind has moved around to SSW. From the radar it looks like the snow line is about 4 miles to my WNW. At this point I just want it not to change to snow and to stop precipitating before the front moves through. If it does change to snow the ice will be terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 35, light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Temp now down to 36 with light rain, and west wind 6 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 3.7 OTG so far. Moderate snow falling currently. Heaviest rates occurring so far. 29/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 5 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Temp is up to 36 and it's still pouring rain but the wind has moved around to SSW. From the radar it looks like the snow line is about 4 miles to my WNW. At this point I just want it not to change to snow and to stop precipitating before the front moves through. If it does change to snow the ice will be terrible. I guess the r/s line is basically along the Hudson River Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 42 and raining. The band of rain about 25 miles to my west appears to be getting quite heavy, almost a squall line look to it. Could be related to the modeled subsidence behind it as Walt pointed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 A balmy 40F and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 28 and heavy snow continues in mid-hudson valley. Approaching 6 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Down to 35.2 at 7:58 PM Border of Middlesex/Union County NJ - Snow beginning to mix in at times with light /moderate rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: I guess the r/s line is basically along the Hudson River More like right along the Taconic spine from southern Putnam County then it goes east just south of the Dutchess line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, gravitylover said: More like right along the Taconic spine from southern Putnam County then it goes east just south of the Dutchess line. I'm just to the west with my 3.7. I was in goshen about an hour ago and it appears there's roughly around 5" OTG it was also 26 degrees there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 HRRR bang on so far. Was 39F at 6 pm, then 37F at 7 pm and just down to 34F at 8 pm, with snow mixing in as of 8 pm. Question now is how much QPF is left and how much snow melts - I think we'll likely get 0.2" QPF, but maybe only an inch or so of accumulation. Will find out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Nice band I95... that should nail you along the coast as a transition snow acc on grass but very little streets of NYC I think you might snow even to 1 or 2 am in NYC. Dont give up... hrrr is all you have and we have to make the best of it. It's better than what we had 3 years ago...much better! Thank the modelers worldwide and researchers throughout the world education systems. They allow great confidence in projections, provided you look out there window for initial ground truth. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark McIntyre Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 32 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Look at the radar... after this rain, there's an area of light precip/not much then a thin band of snow which is hitting WNJ now. You’re right, got pretty much zilch going on right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Wantage NJ solid 4" at 815P. I think we might top out 4.5 or so here. My last report will be at 845P. Have a good night and thanks for participating enmasse. Winter far far from over. (my season total as of 815P 19.8" heading for 40 or 50 by April 15, I hope.). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, wdrag said: Nice band I95... that should nail you along the coast as a transition snow acc on grass but very little streets of NYC I think you might snow even to 1 or 2 am in NYC. Dont give up... hrrr is all you have and we have to make the best of it. It's better than what we had 3 years ago...much better! Thank the modelers worldwide and researchers throughout the world education systems. They allow great confidence in projections, provided you look out there window for initial ground truth. What would cause a rebuilding of precip? Back edge appears 1/3 of the way through NJ with only light returns after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 i dont see nyc snowing precip is nearly over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 3.3" here invof Millbrook. Total mashed potatoes job, clinging to every twig and pine needle... love that look. Lose a lot of depth to compression, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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