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February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread


Stormlover74
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JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15.  I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have.    Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone.

btw:  SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks.

 

 

The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability.    Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance!   Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!!

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9 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15.  I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have.    Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone.

btw:  SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks.

 

 

The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability.    Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance!   Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!!

He might be right. The Mjo still looks great this morning by mid month with high amplitudes into 8 and then 1.

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8 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15.  I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have.    Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone.

btw:  SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks.

 

 

The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability.    Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance!   Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!!

and you probably believe SD the same guy that cancelled March last February - him and Henry make a good team :facepalm:

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24 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

JB still hawking his 2/15-3/15.  I am convinced he is mentally ill, with a condition boxers, football players and wrestlers whose head has slammed the canvas too many times have.    Either that or he is able to 'lie passed the truth', better than anyone.

btw:  SD just canceled anything for March, as he pointed out a SSCE is starting and will be tighten up the PV for good in 3 weeks.

 

 

The GEFS has produced 75 traveling '16 day periods' which had less than an inch of Snow each in reality, but never ever, even showed something like 2" or 3" with a low probability.    Once it reached 17" and a 70% chance!   Must have been fed some heaping bad hootch, for that one!!

JB always hangs on to the bitter end.   In Feb 2012 he was still barking that it was coming even though it was obvious by then it was not.    Maybe we get a window end of month, but Pac Jet and no Atlantic help bother me.   Need an over running pattern.   Any decent storm will cut....

-

also, when you see it snowing in Seattle, that's usually not a good sign for us...

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13 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

Icon shows 6 hours of light snow for our region Sunday night into Monday morning 1-2 inches

In all seriousness, while the 12z GFS qpf is paltry, that would likely be a slightly snowier solution than depicted based on the low-mid level moisture, some weak fronto, and some not-so-weak DPVA in the upper levels. The case could be made for throwing out a C-1" call for Monday am.

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Just now, HVSnowLover said:

Its got less qpf overall so yes the far NW areas may get a bit less snow/ice in the flatter scenario but overall it benefits the majority of the area to have the flatter solution.

Flat and thread the needle - good luck the real test is when we get within 84 hours when things started to fall apart with all the other systems this winter....

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9 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

I’d rather get a colder solution with less snow than heavier wet snow to heavy rain come on guys. We’re a team

Yes especially it's not like anyone is getting really screwed, the GFS gives everyone a solid snowfall the highest amounts are actually still up in Ulster and further north but it keeps basically everyone except parts of LI all snow/frozen.   

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