caviman2201 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Here's a good zoomed total QPF output from 12z FV3 https://www.weathernerds.org/models/fv3-gfs.html?&inittype=zoom&initfield=Precip_36_hr&initcycle=determine&initfhour=042&initimdimx=1050&initimdimy=611&initrange=39.852592592625:280.259936507912:37.154740740769:285.826603174557&initcx1=237&initcy1=195&initcx2=752&initcy2=486&initcross=False&initsound=False&initsoundx=232&initsoundy=190&initloop=False&initoverlay=False&initlstart=000&initlend=384&initlint=6&initol1=Precip_36_hr&initol2=null&initol3=null&initol4=null&initol5=null&initcities=On&inithgwys=On 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 FWIW, LWX added another potential 1" for SE FfxCo on this graphic, since early this A.M. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Part 2 Wednesday looks fun on 3k ...has a mini squall line with 45 mph gusts around 18z with temps upper teens low 20s Let's go 2 for 2 Check out the soundings on that squall line in N MD on the 3k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodbridge02 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, vastateofmind said: FWIW, LWX added another 1" for SE FfxCo on this graphic, since early this A.M. Bring that line 2 miles south and then we can lock it in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I almost always set a realistic bar by now. This event is killing me. I've wanted to just go 2" for a couple days and let it ride but I've yet to have any confidence that I actually get 2" so I'll just go ahead and say 1" or bust and hope for a boom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 My bar is 1" where I will be and 1" at my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I don’t think ground temps will be much of an issue. It’s cold today and forecast to be well below freezing tonight. So if we can get some decent qpf with the FROPA it could be a fun little event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danajames Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I think 1-3" for any area is about right. Maybe southern MD/Eastern shore will have a hard time finally transitioning to snow and still getting an inch or two. One thing is for sure- the GFS's last few runs have been getting colder and colder which may negate much if any rain for locations north of Baltimore. We'll see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 My bar is 2". Hope this works. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 ill take the middle ground and say 1.5". anything more than an inch would make me smile tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 24 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: My bar is 1" where I will be and 1" at my house Sounds like a horribly inefficient snow chase to me 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I lead the league in having the lowest snowfall totals in the region most years so I'm going opposite. I'm setting the bar at 2.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 We are about to get Euro'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 My bar is 2 inches. I’m south of DC. I think DC North could be in line for 2-4 which would be a solid “storm”. Especially considering we will be entering the ice box afterward 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Looks like UK drops about 0.3" for DC/Balt. 0.1" line is out by Winchester. 0.4" east of the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 My bar is 0.6". Would put me at 14" on the year. 0.4" would put me at 12" on January alone, so that works too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, ravensrule said: We are about to get Euro'd. If anyone can talk dirty on this forum, it's you. Give us the details... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: Looks like UK drops about 0.3" for DC/Balt. 0.1" line is out by Winchester. 0.4" east of the bay. Only real snow accumulation is north of DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, nj2va said: Looks like UK drops about 0.3" for DC/Balt. 0.1" line is out by Winchester. 0.4" east of the bay. pretty obvious shift east with qpf on UKMET also... GFS held but just about everything else shifted the axis of the best qpf east again from 0z. That has been a pretty consistent trend the last few days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 All I ask is that the fv3 come true. Even the reg gfs for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: If anyone can talk dirty on this forum, it's you. Give us the details... I was talking about the European models that are waiting for me. I'll let Bob give you the dirty details of the 12Z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: I was talking about the European models that are waiting for me. I'll let Bob give you the dirty details of the 12Z run. I have 30 minutes free 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Euro sucks...next 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Deck Pic said: Euro sucks...next what next? the 1/2" Friday before we torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 How bad is it? Down to flurries? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Deck Pic said: Euro sucks...next Yea, good news is it's colder in the mids @ 18z tomorrow. Bad news is it stole half of our snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 JB has me in 4-8"!!!!! What could go wrong? 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Glad I kept my bar at 0.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Just now, Deck Pic said: Looks worse for DC then Baltimore and north. Still sucks. Thanks for the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now