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Post Arctic front snow Tuesday, Jan 29


Cheeznado
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1 minute ago, LithiaWx said:

Dat nam tho....

When the NAM drum beats the same idea consistently it has a tendency to be correct.  The Euro wasn’t exactly awful for you last night unless you took the QPF verbatim.  It mysteriously dried everything up as the boundary moved east.  The mid and upper levels though didn’t really support that idea 

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Looks like most of the models, including hi-res nam shows the precip coming through around 7-10PM Tuesday evening.  Limited amounts of QPF..maybe some convective bursts.. 
If it comes through that early, that will also give a lot of time for drying before it can freeze on roads.  May have some residual slick spots here and there Wednesday morning.

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4 minutes ago, FLweather said:

If you look at the Sim Radar. It appears to develop a weak LP center SW GA to Wilmington. With a "NW snows" on the backside.

Yes, and the globals can miss these small scale features that could provide local areas with enhanced precip. Is the NAM right? I would like to see this show up consistently on future runs before committing either way. I will say that a wave developing and some lee-side enhancement is not out of the question by any means. At this range I start to rely more heavily on the higher resolution guidance than on the globals. 

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Just now, PackGrad05 said:

Looks like most of the models, including hi-res nam shows the precip coming through around 7-10PM Tuesday evening.  Limited amounts of QPF..maybe some convective bursts.. 
If it comes through that early, that will also give a lot of time for drying before it can freeze on roads.  May have some residual slick spots here and there Wednesday morning.

Also gives a full day of heating!

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