CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: someone start a thread for that motherfocker Don't be that motherfukka starting it too soon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Ya, let's wait on the thread idea for a couple more days...long way to go with that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Might be time to break out The Weenie's Prayer. We could use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Amazing season at Mammouth continues with a Atmospheric River Cat 4 event incoming. The outputs are insane 402 mm is 15 plus qpf. Will be interesting to see what their snotel sesame study at 11 k shows for a final depth. Just starting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Need to watch Wed too. Verbatim the trough gets shredded (of course it will be the only gulf storm this winter to do that), but the origins of that give me pause. Looks like some snow on the GFS anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Mammoth gets that level snow a lot. Basically who gives a shit if we’re not there....although I remember one year they had to clear paths for the chair lifts snow was so deep. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: In the words of George Clooney from Perfect Storm...."She's not gonna let us out". As long as that EPO ridging keeps reloading, we will be sucked back into threats and there will be no real warmth outside of cutters. 1980s pattern if that happens. Hopefully we just get on the good side of the gradient for a few storms....and hopefully the PNA ridge starts popping as guidance is trying to show now near month-end. I'm starting to like the Monday threat though. Wishful thinking huh? This is my 5th winter up here and I don't think I have seen a true Spring yet, except in February the last 2 years lol. I guess I should just get used to it and expectations should be held for May, not March. GEFS have a bit of a PNA ridge developing, hopefully they are right. But like you said, as long as Canada is cold, it will keep dumping it south with the -EPO hanging around.... Dare we say a widespread 4-8, all snow event for the holiday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Funny how that seems seasonally endemic... the snow pack retention vs failure. Some years yes... the pack ain't goin' nowhere. Other years, just seem to go out of their way to melt down the snow pack to bear Earth before "allowing" it to snow again.. .heh. Kidding but it does seem like if snows 4" ... if takes 20 days to melt it off, it will wait 20 days before it snows again... If it takes 10 days to melt it off... it snows on D11 ... It's like an agenda NOT to have snow sustain across two disparate events. Fascinating... but this year appears similar to this latter ilk. I have had this 4" combination of sleet/snow/gunk at four distinct different times now, and the season did not produce anything else until each one was down to mud and frozen bear Earth. If trend persistence was the singular indicator ... my bet would be that Monday or whatever new threat-meme is is hot right now ...won't do shit until whatever we call this glacial remains from this last event is scoured clear and clean of the soil. Haha... Yeah, it's probably all coincidence that things have worked out this way... But, I have actually noticed that similar antic in previous years... where there does seem an uncanny tendency to not snow until whatever's in the pack is gone. interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might be time to break out The Weenie's Prayer. We could use it. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Would need more amplification on the Mon-Tues deal up here, But the one that follows could be a good one too depending on what the first one does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 We need Rev Kev to get back behind the wheel of the Weenie Bus... whoever has been driving it this season... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Would need more amplification on the Mon-Tues deal up here, But the one that follows could be a good one too depending on what the first one does. I'm still holding my breath on the Friday warmth/rain. It looks like we avoid anything really bad but I still worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, mreaves said: I'm still holding my breath on the Friday warmth/rain. It looks like we avoid anything really bad but I still worry. I'm not, P/C has some lt snow here with a high of 39°F, Not much qpf with that one, Been like that for a few days now, The big cutter with floods to QUE shipped sailed several days back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We need Rev Kev to get back behind the wheel of the Weenie Bus... whoever has been driving it this season... Pretty sure its blizzard24...and doing so while unbuckled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 12z Ukie looks a little north of where the GFS has that low tracking for Monday, To bad we don't have 6hr or even 12hr panels to see where it went............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 56 minutes ago, weathafella said: Monday’s growing stronger legs. We snow. But far southern regions nearer NYC may have issues. Yeah we probably get missed south by the first and may get rain from the second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 23 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm not, P/C has some lt snow here with a high of 39°F, Not much qpf with that one, Been like that for a few days now, The big cutter with floods to QUE shipped sailed several days back. Our club has our annual poker run this Saturday and the trails here were just a complete skating rink. This 7"-8" will groom out nicely and I want them to stay that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 40 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yes. Look how passionate Ray is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, mreaves said: Our club has our annual poker run this Saturday and the trails here were just a complete skating rink. This 7"-8" will groom out nicely and I want them to stay that way. I don't believe you have much to worry about honestly, I would think that may be snow over where you are, No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 GEFS look nice Monday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I don't believe you have much to worry about honestly, I would think that may be snow over where you are, No? Snow hills, light rain in the valleys. BTV has bumped down the high temp for Friday though. It was 41° yesterday and now 34° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z Ukie looks a little north of where the GFS has that low tracking for Monday, To bad we don't have 6hr or even 12hr panels to see where it went............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Basically snow breaks out SNE Sunday afternoon and it’s out by Monday morning sometime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Looks like it hands off to a secondary that slides east of NJ on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 That lead southern wave over the weekend that misses us is critical to SNE. It beats down the SE Ridge and there is enough spacing for heights to rebound before the next wave rolls in on it's heels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 The Euro just will not give up on this SE ridge flex it's arcing D6-10... We'll see what the 12z cluster does here soon. The EPS' displays over at Tropical Tids are, as usual, reflecting some tempered version of the operational, but they too have been demonstrative and consistent. The GEFs derived teleconnectors actually give plenty of conceptual room for something like that or its blend... with a modestly negative EPO, and an on-going raging -PNA.... Yet, the operational GFS keeps trying to buck that tapestry and goes for a zonal, albeit, amplified flow with lots of rapid fire pac waves. All that after a season of heart ache and sorrow, too... Makes it that much harder to envision how all that ends well for winter enthusiasts. it's called conditioning ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Mammoth gets that level snow a lot. Basically who gives a shit if we’re not there....although I remember one year they had to clear paths for the chair lifts snow was so deep. Yea no, record set today and I find records interesting even if its not imby but I will remember this next time you post about Chicago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: 12z Ukie looks a little north of where the GFS has that low tracking for Monday, To bad we don't have 6hr or even 12hr panels to see where it went............. We do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: We do I do too but for some reason i forget i have it on weathermodels.com.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: I do too but for some reason i forget i have it on weathermodels.com.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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