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NorEastermass128

February 2019 Discussion I

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11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Tip wanting to end it is a sure sign its going to be wintry to April 

Most folks just want warmth and 60’s/70’s by mid Morch. You lose retention,you have warm Tip tanning sun.. any snow is really just stat padding . Winter effectively ends in early Morch other than a big blizzard as wavelengths lengthen .. I know you always had the Maine trip , but other than spring skiing and corn snow. The season ends. So I get his rationale .But unless it’s 2012 which was a dream for everyone with 70’s and 80’s. .. spring in New England is like having your back hair waxed with candle wax. It painfully sucks 

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18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most folks just want warmth and 60’s/70’s by mid Morch. You lose retention,you have warm Tip tanning sun.. any snow is really just stat padding . Winter effectively ends in early Morch other than a big blizzard as wavelengths lengthen .. I know you always had the Maine trip , but other than spring skiing and corn snow. The season ends. So I get his rationale .But unless it’s 2012 which was a dream for everyone with 70’s and 80’s. .. spring in New England is like having your back hair waxed with candle wax. It painfully sucks 

shorten

2010 was a nice spring too. I would take all 50s and 60s for highs in April if it meant mostly westerly flow and sun. All we want is seasons in seasons.

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32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most folks just want warmth and 60’s/70’s by mid Morch. You lose retention,you have warm Tip tanning sun.. any snow is really just stat padding . Winter effectively ends in early Morch other than a big blizzard as wavelengths lengthen .. I know you always had the Maine trip , but other than spring skiing and corn snow. The season ends. So I get his rationale .But unless it’s 2012 which was a dream for everyone with 70’s and 80’s. .. spring in New England is like having your back hair waxed with candle wax. It painfully sucks 

More or less.. yes ...

But it's relative to season - I admit to my human condition in such matters.  Take 2015, February:  ...I was tickled pink. It was fascinating... both scientifically and experiential ... rarities and extremes dispensed like pezz candies.  I didn't want that to end... In fact, right into March it stayed frigid.  It was as though the Pacific "short wave budget" simply ran dry ... we had surplus cold with no more storms, otherwise we coulda been bombs away clear to the ides... But, as it were, the snow siege part of all that pretty much shut down for season around that first week...  In no time in the span did I share in the the point of view I am in right now...  Frankly, anyone that wants this winter and it's particular flavor to continue must get off on eating shit!

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If this winter we’re to continue in this fashion, then yeah...fast forward me to Napril.

Things don’t seem like they will change, but one thing I have learned is once I assume something will stay in a certain mode, then I get the rug pulled out from under me.

 

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4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

If this winter we’re to continue in this fashion, then yeah...fast forward me to Napril.

Things don’t seem like they will change, but one thing I have learned is once I assume something will stay in a certain mode, then I get the rug pulled out from under me.

 

Things don't look like they will change? On the cusp for 6 to 10 with the best eps look in your hood all winter?

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56 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most folks just want warmth and 60’s/70’s by mid Morch. You lose retention,you have warm Tip tanning sun.. any snow is really just stat padding . Winter effectively ends in early Morch other than a big blizzard as wavelengths lengthen .. I know you always had the Maine trip , but other than spring skiing and corn snow. The season ends. So I get his rationale .But unless it’s 2012 which was a dream for everyone with 70’s and 80’s. .. spring in New England is like having your back hair waxed with candle wax. It painfully sucks 

Lol did you forget what last year was like, 1000s of pages of posts. This shit is funny to me. Wasnt anybody more pumped for the mid month KU than you. I guess you really wanted warmth and your post count would have been similar at 60 and sunny. Its a charade

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9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Things don't look like they will change? On the cusp for 6 to 10 with the best eps look in your hood all winter?

6-10” (prob more like 4-8”) then wash it away. Seen this show a few times.  EPS has had a great look over and over and over since Jan with bare ground showing. Wake me up when we get a not 1980s look.   

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7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

6-10” (prob more like 4-8”) then wash it away. Seen this show a few times.  EPS has had a great look over and over and over since Jan with bare ground showing. Wake me up when we get a not 1980s look.   

Agreed--I think the biggest question is 'how cold will the rain be?".

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8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

6-10” (prob more like 4-8”) then wash it away. Seen this show a few times.  EPS has had a great look over and over and over since Jan with bare ground showing. Wake me up when we get a not 1980s look.   

Lol ok 

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Just now, moneypitmike said:

Agreed--I think the biggest question is 'how cold will the rain be?".

Now here's a pair that would beat a full house, average between Mikes 3 million dollar homes? 9?

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most folks just want warmth and 60’s/70’s by mid Morch. You lose retention,you have warm Tip tanning sun.. any snow is really just stat padding . Winter effectively ends in early Morch other than a big blizzard as wavelengths lengthen .. I know you always had the Maine trip , but other than spring skiing and corn snow. The season ends. So I get his rationale .But unless it’s 2012 which was a dream for everyone with 70’s and 80’s. .. spring in New England is like having your back hair waxed with candle wax. It painfully sucks 

April 2007 had 100" in 10 days time in NW Maine.

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1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Good luck fellas on a nice March, aint happening James and you can lalalalal lock that up

Let them go. Winter goes until mid-March in NW MA and since I'm resigned to a cool and possibly damp spring,  we may as well have snow chances into April.   I mean jeez, my ski season doesn't generally start until February.

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40 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

2011-2012 will beat this season’s snow here

I'm not convinced of that yet.  Tuesday should get me over 30" for the season with plenty of time left.

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18z EPS caving back to the torch look for next Friday. Looks like it was indeed just a brief burp on them. It's still trying to transfer for NNE but that run definitely regressed from previous. 

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19 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I'm not convinced of that yet.  Tuesday should get me over 30" for the season with plenty of time left.

I need 20” or so to beat that year.  Def possible, but would not take that bet

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1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

Agreed--I think the biggest question is 'how cold will the rain be?".

Freezing?

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22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z EPS caving back to the torch look for next Friday. Looks like it was indeed just a brief burp on them. It's still trying to transfer for NNE but that run definitely regressed from previous. 

It's a process to get it where we want it.... Not every run will trend in the right direction... Two forward one back

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43 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z EPS caving back to the torch look for next Friday. Looks like it was indeed just a brief burp on them. It's still trying to transfer for NNE but that run definitely regressed from previous. 

Huge spread I don't know about a cave 

eps_mslp_lows_eastcoastus_132.png

eps_mslp_lows_eastcoastus_144 (2).png

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Have to respect the s and e spread which has shown up. Remember yesterday all this was in the St Lawrence.  Peeps in CNNE have to keep an eye out for a late big Miller B. I know the VT crew is salivating at the change

eps_mslp_1000_eastcoastus_138.png

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16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Have to respect the s and e spread which has shown up. Remember yesterday all this was in the St Lawrence.  Peeps in CNNE have to keep an eye out for a late big Miller B. I know the VT crew is salivating at the change

eps_mslp_1000_eastcoastus_138.png

I'm not selling on this one.

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The spread is still large, but the mean clearly caved toward the previous torch solutions. That's not really debatable.

 

The uncertainty remains high...no argument there. It will still take some good fortune to get this one mostly frozen....even for CNE-northward.

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And with that amount of uncertainty, Until it becomes clearer, It cant be disregarded, I want to see the 0z EPS, Sometimes, I have found those off hr euro runs since they have been implemented to have some wonky solutions at times only to revert back.

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10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

At worst we get what we expected...a cold rain.  Def upside to this...just really need things to fall just right,   Would hate to lose a meager pack again so quickly.

 

I could see  rain until the heights fall rapidly and blue bombs CNNE.  This is what I see in the spread anyways.  The primary gets pretty far North, a storm forms in the SE, as the ULL rapidly deepens it draws a bombing system up the coast. 

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