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NorEastermass128

February 2019 Discussion I

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GFS is a nice thump too...flips to a frozen/freezing mess inland and rain on the coast though.

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3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Care to share what it showed....??

Much better coastal position for SE areas then the GFS.  

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3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The 12z GGEM is cooking up another coastal next weekend to boot.

Yup 6z GFS loved it. 

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Just now, ineedsnow said:

Yup 6z GFS loved it. 

Tracked it over SE MA into Southern Maine this run but was 986mb on the GGEM, Plenty of tiime for that though.

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GFS continues to make some really nice improvements at H500, waiting to close this off longer and longer. Definitely starting to show potential for a vigorous Miller B outcome now. 

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1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Since this has been on the models, I have felt pretty good, As good as you can at the long lead for up here with just the way this looked @H5, But there has been plenty of other systems this winter that i didn't have that feeling, We have been sitting here right on the gradient for many of these where it remained all snow just 20 or so miles north and we have started out as snow then flipped to a mix to rain or just plain rain.

Got to go more than 20 miles for "all snow."  The 5" on Jan. 30 is the only 3"+ event here that remained all snow.  Even the big dog on the 20th had 2 hr of IP - at subzero temps, 1st time I'd seen non-flake precip with temps that low.  Of course, the gradient has kept the snow portion going for a larger part of each event as one moves N and NW, as snow totals confirm.  But that gradient continues up to PQ and probably beyond.  CAR avg snowfall is 30% higher than at Farmington, and they're currently running about 70% higher.

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Thank god I'll be in London this weekend so I don't have to obsess over every model run. I'll take the front end, but man does this winter blow. 

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1 hour ago, dryslot said:

lol, That 12z GGEM, Folks in the SE areas would jump off a bridge.

I only get 5. That better not happen

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21 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I only get 5. That better not happen

ensplume_small (2).gif

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Maybe after Feb 16 those indices will looking really good - or maybe not ... we shall see.

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11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

And quoted multuple times...

I dunno yeah it just is clutter... 

It defeats the purpose of me coming in here ...and getting an essence of the model runs by scanning the tenor when I'm wading through endless sheets of teleconnectors, particularly when posting the link should be sufficient - 

so, admittedly ...my bringing it up is not entirely non-self-absorbed ( :) ) ...still, we know where to find them. If someone needs to reference a specific about one of them and/or perhaps annotate a chart that's understandable... but other than that relative infrequent need, this is canvasing the thread - 

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13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Why are these teleconnection products being posted every cycle they run ?  

It's a weather forum.  What else are we supposed to do...buckle down and focus on our jobs?

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7 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

It's a weather forum.  What else are we supposed to do...buckle down and focus on our jobs?

RELAX 

...and yeah ( now that you mention ) ...many of you probably should. 

That said, I wasn't sure if there was some ongoing conversation about them and just asking.  Posting them won't make the pattern change or produce model bombs any quicker - we know where to find them... Post the link.  Otherwise, it's clutter

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