ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Euro is looking a lot colder for middle of next week so far through 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2015 was a great year. I had a dog. Then my girlfriend ran away with it. But we did have a lot of snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Euro is looking a lot colder for middle of next week so far through 144 GFS undercut that midlevel warmth pretty well too. +1C over my head but 14F at 2m at 144hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 4 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: And trying to save his outlook and that was posted before the GEFS lost the -NAO last nite lets see wether the Euro brings MJO to 7/8 or craps itself in the meantime we got troughs dropping to San Diego and a mean mean -PNA that is not in fantasy land He said the GFS was dead wrong. Saving his outlook? Stop being an idiot and accusing him of bias. If you want to dispute it, fine...have at it. This crap brings nothing to the table. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS undercut that midlevel warmth pretty well too. +1C over my head but 14F at 2m at 144hr. PV is back to putting up a fight SW of Greenland. So it's producing a weak block over the Davis Straight and its trying to link that block to the ridging going on near Hudson Bay ahead of the storm at D6-7....if those link up, then we're locked into a cold solution. There's actually a pretty decent threat at a winter storm in that setup of some kind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: PV is back to putting up a fight SW of Greenland. So it's producing a weak block over the Davis Straight and its trying to link that block to the ridging going on near Hudson Bay ahead of the storm at D6-7....if those link up, then we're locked into a cold solution. There's actually a pretty decent threat at a winter storm in that setup of some kind. Look at that Cad sig, woah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Lets hope that's all sleet, geez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Look at that Cad sig, woah Quite icy that run. Snow/sleet up in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Quite icy that run. Snow/sleet up in NNE. Freezing rain to sleet to snow down here with another puppy coming in to feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 17 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: I didnt mean to broadbrush new england with my statement. I was talking about my area. 14 for a max st PYM is strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think ORH and BDL are going to break their record low maximum temps for the date. BDL a little iffy, but I think ORH has it. Both finishing BN for Jan right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Freezing rain to sleet to snow down here with another puppy coming in to feed. Next system repeats the process right away, gonna be a lot of ice for someone in ORH county. Some thing to watch when others said to toss the next 10 days this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Both finishing BN for Jan right? ORH def is...BDL is gonna be closer, but they will make it too...like -0.2 or something. They were +0.5 coming into today...and they already put up a minimum temp departure of -25 today, and the high will be like a -20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Next system repeats the process right away, gonna be a lot of ice for someone in ORH county. Some thing to watch when others said to toss the next 10 days this AM. Maybe we can mini 98 somewhere with multiple weak waves cutting over a cold wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Next system repeats the process right away, gonna be a lot of ice for someone in ORH county. Some thing to watch when others said to toss the next 10 days this AM. It honestly wouldn't take much to make that an overrunning snow event. I certainly wouldn't forecast that right now, but it is easy to see how the cold can filter right back down depending on the shortwave spacing up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 ASOUT.. a gentle 1-2 day mild up and then right back to deep winter . All those posts yesterday about 4 -5 day torches and this morning melts about nothing for 10 days. Silly fools Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Next system repeats the process right away, gonna be a lot of ice for someone in ORH county. Some thing to watch when others said to toss the next 10 days this AM. I tossed the next 10 days for big sne snow potential....colder outcomes have always been a distinct possibility, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: ORH def is...BDL is gonna be closer, but they will make it too...like -0.2 or something. They were +0.5 coming into today...and they already put up a minimum temp departure of -25 today, and the high will be like a -20. Dumb move on my part...idk why I went +2 to +3 in Jan. Should have just went inverse Dec and normal. I was worried about a torch period early Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 EPO eventually always finds a way to chill us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 34 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: He said the GFS was dead wrong. Saving his outlook? Stop being an idiot and accusing him of bias. If you want to dispute it, fine...have at it. This crap brings nothing to the table. Thanks, Ray. This is precisely what drives good posters away from the board. My track record regarding numerous warm winter and cold winter hits should lend credence to my objectivity. Rather than merely sitting back and inputting little value to discourse I commend those who actually take the time to critically analyze the pros and cons of a pattern. Re: the MJO, it's not as if this hasn't happened heretofore. The tropical wave contaminating effects on the GFS have been recurring; the euro more accurately detects the true MJO signal. If I think winter's over, I will say so unequivocally. It is unfortunate that virtually everywhere in the Midwest and East have scored save for the PHL to BOS corridor. Patterns much worse have produced. The transient windows of Pacific favorability have been the primary flaw. We'll see going forward. I've said enough. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: He said the GFS was dead wrong. Saving his outlook? Stop being an idiot and accusing him of bias. If you want to dispute it, fine...have at it. This crap brings nothing to the table. I always beleive there will be bias to confirm a forecast. Breathe people . Christ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPO eventually always finds a way to chill us. Euro has below zero mornings Friday and Saturday, Ct River valley radiates like hell on the Euro. I was surprised how cold it showed, even adding 5 degrees is lower than I expected. 12 degrees here after a -4 this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I always beleive there will be bias to confirm a forecast. Breathe people . Christ That is your problem. Good forecasters don't exacerbate perceived error by amplifying it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 7 minutes ago, Isotherm said: Thanks, Ray. This is precisely what drives good posters away from the board. My track record regarding numerous warm winter and cold winter hits should lend credence to my objectivity. Rather than merely sitting back and inputting little value to discourse I commend those who actually take the time to critically analyze the pros and cons of a pattern. Re: the MJO, it's not as if this hasn't happened heretofore. The tropical wave contaminating effects on the GFS have been recurring; the euro more accurately detects the true MJO signal. If I think winter's over, I will say so unequivocally. It is unfortunate that virtually everywhere in the Midwest and East have scored save for the PHL to BOS corridor. Patterns much worse have produced. The transient windows of Pacific favorability have been the primary flaw. We'll see going forward. I've said enough. Posts like that are the smoking gun for the talent drain here. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Posts like that are the smoking gun for the talent drain here. Who left? Seriously talent drain is bs. Oh how fukking sensywensy FFS. People need to grow a set....it’s a big wide world out there and don’t look here for validation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ASOUT.. a gentle 1-2 day mild up and then right back to deep winter . All those posts yesterday about 4 -5 day torches and this morning melts about nothing for 10 days. Silly fools Great. DEEP winter cold with an inch of snow on the ground, all of my "pack" will be gone early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Who left? Seriously talent drain is bs. Oh how fukking sensywensy FFS. People need to grow a set....it’s a big wide world out there and don’t look here for validation. I am still here and my trolling talent is matched by no one. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Who left? Seriously talent drain is bs. Oh how fukking sensywensy FFS. People need to grow a set....it’s a big wide world out there and don’t look here for validation. Well, Phil and Ek come to mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: But, but, but, Sam said the GFS did great with this cold outbreak in the extended range. Easy there big guy... it did forecast it well. I still wouldn't trust it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Who left? Seriously talent drain is bs. Oh how fukking sensywensy FFS. People need to grow a set....it’s a big wide world out there and don’t look here for validation. Plenty in the main forum. Pound your chest all you want...its BS to call someone biased bc you disagree. He posted two paragraphs of sound analysis and has a damm good track record. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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