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Hybrid Clipper Event 1/27-1/29


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31 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

The one I was mentioning is a second, narrower band of convective looking precip.  This was along the strong cold front/wind shift.  3km NAM btw.

 

1 hour ago, hlcater said:

That band of precip to the SE of the sfc low isn't along the cold front, it's along something else. Temps at the surface actually warm into the mid 30s behind it with upper 20s ahead of it. I think that feature being something particularly noteworthy is unlikely. 

Yea the feature I'm looking at is definitely on the cf. It has a massive temp crash behind it

18Z-20190126_NAMNSTMW_prec_ptype-43-50-10-100.gif

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Just now, StormChaser4Life said:

 

Yea the feature I'm looking at is definitely on the cf. It has a massive temp crash behind it

18Z-20190126_NAMNSTMW_prec_ptype-43-50-10-100.gif


I was talking about that prefrontal axis of precip ahead of it. PW didn't pick up on that CF band at all. You really had to look for it. But a band of convective snow squalls along the cold front makes perfect sense to me.

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2 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

00z HRRR also suggesting potential for nice rates just south of track for Chicagoland, though temps getting above freezing by this point.

HRRRFLT2_prec_ptype_035.png.c233a953841958fc936fedd64061e7e6.png

HRRRFLT2_sfc_temp_035.png.783f788289b9625e71b38e6be27a66ef.png

The thing that helps us though is the temps aloft.  may keep the percip types snow even though temps are around freezing.   Obviously any bump south would also do the trick 

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I was bored so I figured i'd see what meso models were doing with tonights  snow up here and such..  rgem caught my eye and it seemed to handle tonight's well up here and its sure been sexy for this storm for about 3 runs now.  NAM sure went more the way of rgem I was salivating at.

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