Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, IWXwx said: I just noticed those 12zs. I'm still going with an overperforming, fluff factored 3.2" here. Yeah if this follows the last couple and does a bit better than modeled, I could see it being more like 2-4" here. But 1-3/2-4, pretty much the same thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 I think 1-2” in Chicago metro is the right call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 hour ago, IWXwx said: I just noticed those 12zs. I'm still going with an overperforming, fluff factored 3.2" here. Hey if it measures it measures lol! Wherever this thing sets up its main band of snow it's going to freakin snow. Think will definitely see 1in/hr. for a time if not more if the meso models ain't lying (does anybody else have trouble with spelling that word? lol). Most of them drop the bulk in 3 hours. I'm still going 5-6 with my guess on 25-30 -1 ratios. Looks like a decent "dry line" setting up just south of US 30/North of US 28 on the 12Z HRRR. Won't take but a tick more moisture slamming into that to add an inch or 2 considering the temps. Either/or I'm going to be playing in it this evening as we may go back to the usual screaming 850's or suppression scenario that's been commonplace the last 4 or 5 years. Still a decent winter so far, consistent snowpack would make it a lot better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 The ECMWF continues to be north of all guidance for this last clipper today. Looking at radar it looks like that further north track is the way to go, with all other guidance being a bit too far south. Additionally, the ECMWF is the driest of all guidance, so that is something to watch as well. Looks like a 1-4" event area wide of the LOT CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Yea that frontogenic band has setup pretty north. Parked over DVN. Cyclone going to cash in again?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 -4 at MLI with SN. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Riding the far northern edge of this wave with some light snow and -9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 20Z HRRR looking like a classic SR28 LAF/Tipton/MIE special in central IN. Clippers like this can surprise us around here. Temps are outrunning dews though. This quite possibly could be my last chance at snow for a few weeks unless the 12Z FV3 candy land verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 9 minutes ago, Jackstraw said: 20Z HRRR looking like a classic SR28 LAF/Tipton/MIE special in central IN. Clippers like this can surprise us around here. Temps are outrunning dews though. This quite possibly could be my last chance at snow for a few weeks unless the 12Z FV3 candy land verifies. I am ready.... .5 miles off SR 28 lol.... I do think end of next week has potential also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 23 minutes ago, Jackstraw said: 20Z HRRR looking like a classic SR28 LAF/Tipton/MIE special in central IN. Clippers like this can surprise us around here. Temps are outrunning dews though. This quite possibly could be my last chance at snow for a few weeks unless the 12Z FV3 candy land verifies. Started snowing here as soon as returns moved overhead at -2/-14. Forcing is relatively good with this one. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Light snow in Champaign. Should be on the edge of the heavier accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2" on the nose as of 5pm. Snow is extremely dry, which makes sense since it's still -5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 This is a fairly unusual map for this region. Widespread below zero temps w/synoptic snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndTenn Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Sprinkles of pixie dust the past half hour here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Some phone pics of the snow in IC today. Very picturesque and I picked up 3” or so. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: This is a fairly unusual map for this region. Widespread below zero temps w/synoptic snow. been a nice couple weeks....after a 2 day relaxation I expect it to recommence..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Been snowing for about 3 or so hours now. Flake size has been fairly small the whole time, but recently it's been pouring. About an inch down so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Real nice snow globe action out there atm. Flake size has been pretty nice for the most part since the event began back around noon. This may be the longest duration I've seen snow fall at with temps below zero. Still -4 out there as the snow continues to rip. Wow, what a day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Real nice snow globe action out there atm. Flake size has been pretty nice for the most part since the event began back around noon. This may be the longest duration I've seen snow fall at with temps below zero. Still -4 out there as the snow continues to rip. Wow, what a day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Jackstraw said: LMAO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 14 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Real nice snow globe action out there atm. Flake size has been pretty nice for the most part since the event began back around noon. This may be the longest duration I've seen snow fall at with temps below zero. Still -4 out there as the snow continues to rip. Wow, what a day. This is pretty damn cool. Can't remember seeing this legit of snow with these kind of temps. Viva la winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Have had light snow here for the past several hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 2 hours ago, Chicago WX said: This is pretty damn cool. Can't remember seeing this legit of snow with these kind of temps. Viva la winter. Yeah it's been a nice little event. Pure fluff that you can clear off with a leaf blower. Stuff has to be at least 20:1 ratio. Finished with 4.4" here, which was a few inches more than I expected. Now 19" on the ground, which is the most I've seen in any place I've lived. Pretty cool that MLI got over 4" of snow on the same day they set the new all time record low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah it's been a nice little event. Pure fluff that you can clear off with a leaf blower. Stuff has to be at least 20:1 ratio. Finished with 4.4" here, which was a few inches more than I expected. Now 19" on the ground, which is the most I've seen in any place I've lived. Pretty cool that MLI got over 4" of snow on the same day they set the new all time record low. You have been the king of this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 8 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah it's been a nice little event. Pure fluff that you can clear off with a leaf blower. Stuff has to be at least 20:1 ratio. Finished with 4.4" here, which was a few inches more than I expected. Now 19" on the ground, which is the most I've seen in any place I've lived. Pretty cool that MLI got over 4" of snow on the same day they set the new all time record low. Also believe MLI set the snowiest January on record of over 30.2"!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, ams30721us said: Also believe MLI set the snowiest January on record of over 30.2"!!! Yeah, and they weren't too far from the snowiest month, which was Dec 2000 @ around 32" IIRC. Pretty impressive considering it didn't snow until around Jan 12th. Finished Jan with 27.7" here. Definitely an improvement over the 0.3" from December lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah, and they weren't too far from the snowiest month, which was Dec 2000 @ around 32" IIRC. Finished Jan with 27.7" here. Definitely an improvement in the 0.3" from December lol. Yea, I'll say! It's hard to believe I was low-key panicking in late December! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 solid 2" of fluff. Nice train. Moving on to a decent overrunning set up next.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Unfortunately, my internet was out for two days so I could barely follow this latest clipper. However... This was my favorite storm of the season. Cedar Rapids went from an all-time record -30F to moderate to heavy snow in less than three hours, which is pretty nuts. The entire event occurred when the temp was -10F to -5F. I experienced a couple bands of moderate to heavy snow with large dendrites pouring down. My storm total was 3.1". The core sample melted down to 0.14", which makes the ratio 22 to 1. As is often the case with weaker/sneakier clippers, the wind was light throughout. It was just a beautiful several-hour snowfall during daylight. I even got to experience an hour of moderate to heavy snow while outside shoveling late afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1.7" at ORD and 1.9" here from yesterday and last nights clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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