Woodbridge02 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: This looks closer to a severe t'storm threat than a winter storm for us 300 mile southeast trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 26 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: This looks closer to a severe t'storm threat than a winter storm for us Looks almost exactly like the result from this past weekend though the LP is a bit lower in pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I don't think we should sleep on the Sunday/Monday deal. That's a pretty potent SW on the GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 GFS sw digging a little more...still won't get south of us..but flip between 0/6z and see how it's further south...along with the nrn stream energy over Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just not digging enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS sw digging a little more...still won't get south of us..but flip between 0/6z and see how it's further south...along with the nrn stream energy over Maine Entire height field is compressed/pushed further south. Going to be hard to get the shortwave underneath us but nothing is locked in yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: Entire height field is compressed/pushed further south. Going to be hard to get the shortwave underneath us but nothing is locked in yet. Yeah, it aint going south of us, but kinda interesting I guess. I mean, I'm not vested in this one, but I mean...what else is there to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Well, that sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 the GFS lost whatever showmethesnow was hoping would happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, Ji said: the GFS lost whatever showmethesnow was hoping would happen Don’t worry. Still have time to trend towards yet another flooding event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: the GFS lost whatever showmethesnow was hoping would happen How can you lose what you never had? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 FV3 is close to something interesting on Sun/Mon...imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: the GFS lost whatever showmethesnow was hoping would happen Was just pointing out what the 06Z GFS was showing. There was no hoping about it. Now if you want to talk about hoping, I am hoping that the NS energy dives underneath us and we get a KU. And while I am hoping I might as well hope to win the Mega Millions as well. Because the way this winter is going I would probably have better luck with hitting on that. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Whatever happens with snow chances, its going to be brutally cold next week. Good lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, that sucked Yea, it's all northern stream and that usually drops our chances by itself. Can't forget that op models are terrible with the northern stream beyond d3-4. The shortwave we're focusing on is still out near the aleutians with 3 or so in front of it. Maybe there's another unexpected one after it. Hard to marry any one solution but we can all agree that it's going to be a challenge to get a really good track on this one. Light event at best imo but that's a guess. Nothing will surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 7 minutes ago, LP08 said: Whatever happens with snow chances, its going to be brutally cold next week. Good lord. Wow to the cold, snow showers / snow squalls and deep winter period coming up next week. A run to zero lows for some areas a possibility with a little snow cover from the anafront. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 @Ji Why haven't you posted about the CMC yet? I think your reflexes are slowing down as you get old. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 I never gave up on Sunday night. Just need a lot of luck with timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 If we're looking for a coastal/big storm I'm thinking somewhere between the feb 1-3 is a window. PV starts pulling north and the block is legit. GGEM gives us a good one on Feb 2-3.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: @Ji Why haven't you posted about the CMC yet? I think your reflexes are slowing down as you get old. i stopped looking at it. Its only right with cutters and rain. It hasnt been right for a snow event since PD feb 2003 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, MD Snow said: If we're looking for a coastal/big storm I'm thinking somewhere between the feb 1-3 is a window. PV starts pulling north and the block is legit. GGEM gives us a good one on Feb 2-3.. The CMC super spectacular Super Bowl snowstorm. What could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: i stopped looking at it. Its only right with cutters and rain. It hasnt been right for a snow event since PD feb 2003 Wut?! Digital snow is better than real snow isn't it? Leave no stone unturned... You feelin ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: The CMC super spectacular Super Bowl snowstorm. What could go wrong? ive seen so many modeled super bowl storms in the past 20 years. So far....ive managed to go to every superbowl party that weekend--or guests have come to ours with no issue 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Just now, Ji said: ive seen so many modeled super bowl storms in the past 20 years. So far....ive managed to go to every superbowl party that weekend--or guests have come to ours with no issue So you are saying we are due!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GEOS5ftw Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 Gotta be tough to be a snow weenie in Chicago. Just 3 days after temps in the -20s they get rain per the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2019 Author Share Posted January 24, 2019 Wut?! Digital snow is better than real snow isn't it? Leave no stone unturned... You feelin ok?Dude it's not even a flush hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 32 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Was just pointing out what the 06Z GFS was showing. There was no hoping about it. Now if you want to talk about hoping, I am hoping that the NS energy dives underneath us and we get a KU. And while I am hoping I might as well hope to win the Mega Millions as well. Because the way this winter is going I would probably have better luck with hitting on that. Nah, you had a good explanation on what the 06Z GFS was showing in the framework of that one model run. Made sense, and was interesting because normally we don't look at things like 850/700 mb vorticity. It was a very subtle setup, which I suppose could still happen or at least come and go in the models. Even it is low probability. As for winning the Mega Millions...I think you have an ulterior motive, wanting to win that in order to pay off Vegas debts, am I right?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 17 minutes ago, Ji said: ive seen so many modeled super bowl storms in the past 20 years. So far....ive managed to go to every superbowl party that weekend--or guests have come to ours with no issue I guess you forgot about 2010, when it snowed two feet Feb 5-6 and the superbowl was on the 7th. Had to cancel my party that year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 47 minutes ago, LP08 said: Whatever happens with snow chances, its going to be brutally cold next week. Good lord. Plenty of rain today and probably some more on the weekend, then the cold. Welcome to Nina. Errrr... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2019 Share Posted January 24, 2019 GEFS opened the spread back up in our favor for the 30th potential. Sig uptick in solutions that give us a light event but not all the same way. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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