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bluewave

January 30, 2019 Snow Squall Observations Thread

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3 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

Another rainstorm verbatim but the PV has been trending deeper into the OH/TN Valleys and Mid-Atlantic the past few EPS runs. Generally above normal heights around Greenland as well. 

What is your opinion on the anafront ?

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16 minutes ago, JMcCaughey42 said:

Anyone see the EPS for the Feb storm? :lmao:

No. Care to share with us?

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2 hours ago, Snow88 said:

Agree

It would be nice for the clipper to come further south to give us a fluff event

Very cold air comes rushing in afterwards

I don’t see it happening. The models have come south with it the last few runs but we still need a good 150 mile shift and many of the 12Z EPS members were north of the Op

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8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I don’t see it happening. The models have come south with it the last few runs but we still need a good 150 mile shift and many of the 12Z EPS members were north of the Op

And there were a few members to the south. It wouldn't take much to trend south .

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8 minutes ago, David-LI said:

That euro February storm is fantasy land. 

Quite possible with all the cold air around. The weeklies should be interesting

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34 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

What is your opinion on the anafront ?

Miller B somewhat more probable than that, but neither is likely at this point. There are sizeable enough differences in where the clipper, pv and jet sets up between the guidance that confidence is low. We will likely have a better idea when that mess out near the Aleutians comes inland this weekend. The polar wave will also be better sampled by then.

image.thumb.png.85ae09cf1a95a47b233de2847acae230.png

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22 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

We're relegated to looking at hr 300 snowstorms now. How is that huge blizzard at hr 480 looking?

:blink:

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Member E7 looked like more fun than the control. But seriously, I could see why next weekend could potentially offer up something. I don't think it's some fantasy idea. When the PV pulls away, that often times can leave a window for something. 12z eps isn't honking or anything, but there is some action off the coast during that time in the members. Just thinking out loud here, have to see what happens this week first.

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That’s how we got the big storm in January 2016 blizzard. The pv pulled out triggering the jet streak to head north and dug enough to hit us hard

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21 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Something big is going to happen this winter. You get that feeling .

I can honestly say that I do not have that feeling anymore

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2 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

I can honestly say that I do not have that feeling anymore

Me neither. Looking more like 2007 all the time; torrential rains, snow to the north, but that winter at least had a Feb sleetfest, which we would all take right now. Had another sleet event in March that year. 

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3 hours ago, 495weatherguy said:

I can honestly say that I do not have that feeling anymore

It's January for crying out loud

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2 hours ago, purduewx80 said:

18Z Euro/EPS making additional sizeable changes towards coastal redevelopment for next Tues-Wed.

Cmc also

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Our three main models are just 1" to 3"(if we are lucky) by the end of the Jan.      Probably the best that can be said is that the air/ground temps. will make the ground white with anything we get.

Use your imagination after that.

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On 1/24/2019 at 8:25 PM, purduewx80 said:

18Z Euro/EPS making additional sizeable changes towards coastal redevelopment for next Tues-Wed.

Those models tonight also shifted more southeast. We really should watch this storm.

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1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

Those models tonight also shifted more southeast. We really should watch this storm.

I feel better when storms sneak up on the models rather than being in the bullseye a week away.  

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