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January 30, 2019 Snow Squall Observations Thread


bluewave
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7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

EPS was really good all around, so there's hope yet. 

Things do look Pacific driven though, not sure if we're gonna get much Atlantic blocking. 

It worked out in 13/14 & 14/15 though.

Those winters got started a bit earlier and did not have a strong pac jet..14/15 did flip on a dime...

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14/15 flipped right around this time. Still plenty of time for NYC to at least reach average snowfall. Things look better now than they did in late Dec/early Jan, so that’s a huge positive. Pacific looks a lot better and I’d rather have a cooperative pacific over Atlantic. We have the cold now, just need some moisture.

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8 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said:

Frame before. Keep in in mind the GFS thermals are unreliable.

 

850's are fine on that frame surface is a couple degrees above 32 metro and east - it still translates to snow on that model run not rain there is plenty of cold enough air available to be drawn in after this frame

fv3p_T850_neus_27.png

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8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Would have to be some major cold air being drawn in to get snow with the low in that position especially with mixing all the way up to Maine

in late January with ocean water temps cool enough to not interfere much it  can create its own dynamics to produce frozen just inland of the coast in that position and when it moves northeast towards eastern long island everyone turns to snow

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