Stormlover74 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Nam has nada 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 My Holly nws snow map is 5 inches Sussex county nnj. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 44 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam has nada 3k nam is 6-9 inches higher terrain nnj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, Animal said: 3k nam is 6-9 inches higher terrain nnj Sounds like a NW deal. So how much rain for the coast? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 55 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam has nada Not quite nada. 18z NAM gave our area about 1 inch of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 16 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Not quite nada. 18z NAM gave our area about 1 inch of snow. Maybe the 3k did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 39 minutes ago, Animal said: 3k nam is 6-9 inches higher terrain nnj Hoping for at least 4.2". That would get me to 20" for the season. Still a long way to go to get to average. If we get 4 ,we still need around 35" by us to get to average. That's a stretch the way this winter is playing out. But not impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Maybe the 3k did No I was talking the regular NAM. I looked at both snowmaps of 18z NAM on Pivotalweather. The 10:1 ratio map gave our area 1.5 to 2 inches and the Kuchera ratio gave us about 1 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Gfs is close to 2-4 for the coast Several inches for inland areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Well, I'll enjoy 0-degree lows and 70-degree highs within the timespan of a week with the best of 'em! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 49 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: No I was talking the regular NAM. I looked at both snowmaps of 18z NAM on Pivotalweather. The 10:1 ratio map gave our area 1.5 to 2 inches and the Kuchera ratio gave us about 1 inch. Ok tidbits has nothing east of 287 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 hour ago, sussexcountyobs said: Hoping for at least 4.2". That would get me to 20" for the season. Still a long way to go to get to average. If we get 4 ,we still need around 35" by us to get to average. That's a stretch the way this winter is playing out. But not impossible. I’m at 20.7” ytd here. A shade below avg ytd. If we can reach our average here of 50” I’ll consider that a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 hour ago, Animal said: 3k nam is 6-9 inches higher terrain nnj This is gonna be a nice warning event for those with elevation & W of the Hudson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 https://digital.weather.gov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Still wouldn’t be surprised to see 2-3-4 inches as far east as western Long Island with this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Any chance of a flash freeze Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 hour ago, snywx said: I’m at 20.7” ytd here. A shade below avg ytd. If we can reach our average here of 50” I’ll consider that a win Keeping the faith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 3 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: Still wouldn’t be surprised to see 2-3-4 inches as far east as western Long Island with this I'll be surprised if I see more than 1/2 an inch.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 Winter storm watch for 6 to 10 here in the Poconos. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 305 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 NYZ036-045-046-057-062-PAZ040-048-072-282015- /O.NEW.KBGM.WS.A.0003.190129T1200Z-190130T1200Z/ Madison-Chenango-Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Pike- Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Hamilton, Oneida, Norwich, Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, Monticello, Damascus, Equinunk, Milford, and Honesdale 305 PM EST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible. * WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Northern Wayne, Pike and Southern Wayne counties. In New York, Madison, Chenango, Otsego, Delaware and Sullivan counties. * WHEN... Snow is expected to develop Tuesday morning and continue through Tuesday night. Snow may be moderate to heavy at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 4 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: Still wouldn’t be surprised to see 2-3-4 inches as far east as western Long Island with this Agreed. For the City on east to get nada, there would have to be both warmth in the thermal profiles keeping the early part of the storm rain, followed by a major reduction in precip rate, as the cold air moves in, since areas 20-40 miles to the W of NYC will also have rain followed by snow, but with enough QPF as snow to get several inches. I know it's possible, but we rarely see this kind of gradient for these reasons (usually it's just a thermal issue leading to a steep gradient) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 0 z gfs a solid hit if snow western & nw nj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 MT Holly nws morning discussion is 4-6 of snow in nw nj with locally higher amounts. most recent official mt Holly nws snowfall maps have 6 inches in nw nj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 According to all the forecasts I've read, looks like pretty good shot at a warning level snowfall in my area. NWS even saying heavy snow Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Animal said: MT Holly nws morning discussion is 4-6 of snow in nw nj with locally higher amounts. most recent official mt Holly nws snowfall maps have 6 inches in nw nj Animal,,,meanwhile it appears the local mets are snoozzzzzzing on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowheavyattimes Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 24 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Animal,,,meanwhile it appears the local mets are snoozzzzzzing on this one. They’re emphasizing the cold and downplaying the snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 1 minute ago, snowheavyattimes said: They’re emphasizing the cold and downplaying the snow. Absolutely,,but it could get interesting----> also BTW GFS shows something for Friday / Saturday just to our South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowheavyattimes Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 I’ll take anything at this point. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 12Z NAM quicker w/ the cold air and has good forcing for a quick 1-3" tomorrow evening. Nice lift w/ that fronto band right in the DGZ. We'll see what other guidance shows. There should also be a brief squall with the true Arctic/Polar front midday Wednesday that could be good for an inch given good lapse rates through the DGZ and 500mb jet forcing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 28, 2019 Share Posted January 28, 2019 MT Holly is dropping the ball IMHO. They overreacted on the winter storm warning two weeks ago, now they are being way too conservative. Two wrongs do not make it right. In the LV 6 inches is considered a winter storm warning event in a 12 hour period. Why not a watch issued then? Why does their map go from 2 inches in Philly to 8 inches in MT Pocono. Err on the safety side for this event This snow will be 180 degree difference from the last storm event as the snow ratios will be much higher as the temps continue to drop as the front has already passed. Salt will not work on the roads after early Tuesday night. Blowing and drifting will be huge issues which are not even being discussed yet they talk about squalls on Wednesday? What comes with the squalls? I say nasty wind gusts and heavy snow, blowing and drifting. Usually we get squalls when we have bare ground with no snow. When a squall goes through this time, it will be a disaster. The public is not prepared for this in the LV and NJ. Rt 78 will have multiple wrecks. I see it coming. 40 years of weather experience says so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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