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January 30, 2019 Snow Squall Observations Thread


bluewave
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2 hours ago, Snow88 said:

Agree

It would be nice for the clipper to come further south to give us a fluff event

Very cold air comes rushing in afterwards

I don’t see it happening. The models have come south with it the last few runs but we still need a good 150 mile shift and many of the 12Z EPS members were north of the Op

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8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I don’t see it happening. The models have come south with it the last few runs but we still need a good 150 mile shift and many of the 12Z EPS members were north of the Op

And there were a few members to the south. It wouldn't take much to trend south .

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34 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

What is your opinion on the anafront ?

Miller B somewhat more probable than that, but neither is likely at this point. There are sizeable enough differences in where the clipper, pv and jet sets up between the guidance that confidence is low. We will likely have a better idea when that mess out near the Aleutians comes inland this weekend. The polar wave will also be better sampled by then.

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Member E7 looked like more fun than the control. But seriously, I could see why next weekend could potentially offer up something. I don't think it's some fantasy idea. When the PV pulls away, that often times can leave a window for something. 12z eps isn't honking or anything, but there is some action off the coast during that time in the members. Just thinking out loud here, have to see what happens this week first.

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2 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

I can honestly say that I do not have that feeling anymore

Me neither. Looking more like 2007 all the time; torrential rains, snow to the north, but that winter at least had a Feb sleetfest, which we would all take right now. Had another sleet event in March that year. 

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Our three main models are just 1" to 3"(if we are lucky) by the end of the Jan.      Probably the best that can be said is that the air/ground temps. will make the ground white with anything we get.

Use your imagination after that.

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