Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Probably time for CTP to extend those WWA's east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 -3 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 35 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Probably time for CTP to extend those WWA's east. That is a possibility if the slight shift of the snow to the north & east continues. The 0z NAM 3k & 12k just shifted north by 30 to 40 miles over their 18z runs. I’m hoping MDT can get 1 inch of snow out of this tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: That is a possibility if the slight shift of the snow to the north & east continues. The 0z NAM 3k & 12k just shifted north by 30 to 40 miles over their 18z runs. I’m hoping MDT can get 1 inch of snow out of this tomorrow. And remember Blizz, those maps are 10-1 ratio. If someone wants to counterpoint with virga and such that is a valid concern but those totals would be 1.5 to 2X higher with a 20-1. HRRR is also juiced all of a sudden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1-2” HRRR seems right, more snow. Let’s get through the next couple of days and temps rising to more of a southern stream attack with H’s to our north. Hopeful. Great to see winter not giving up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 33 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: And remember Blizz, those maps are 10-1 ratio. If someone wants to counterpoint with virga and such that is a valid concern but those totals would be 1.5 to 2X higher with a 20-1. HRRR is also juiced all of a sudden. Wow...the HRRR did juice up a bit. I am now legitimately in the 2" accumulation zone....not that there's going to be that big of a difference between 1" and 2". Although it will be super cold while it is falling. I love watching it snow with temps in the teens. Super fluffy and easy to remove. Temp wise, bottomed out around 4.8F about an hour ago and now have risen up to 6.1. Not expecting to drop any lower since clouds will be knocking on the doorstep which will halt any further decline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 14 minutes ago, paweather said: 1-2” HRRR seems right, more snow. Let’s get through the next couple of days and temps rising to more of a southern stream attack with H’s to our north. Hopeful. Great to see winter not giving up. Yes! I will take 1 or 2 inches of snow tomorrow to start February off right ! After we get through a 4 or 5 day warm up, we should be back in the snow business shortly thereafter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: we should be back in the snow business shortly thereafter! Mecs next weekend on the GFS and I believe the Euro gave us a high mecs or low Hecs. Way too far out but next weekend seems to have some potential for fun tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 While most areas are a bit warmer than last night, we are colder. Down to -6 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Voyager said: While most areas are a bit warmer than last night, we are colder. Down to -6 already. You might have a shot at breaking it if the clouds hold off for a few more hours. My winds completely went calm again and I've dropped 2 degrees in the past 20 minutes, down to 3.9. Would love to hit zero again after midnight to have two days in a row with sub zero lows. I don't know how close the clouds are to us right now. Hope you reach -10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: You might have a shot at breaking it if the clouds hold off for a few more hours. My winds completely went calm again and I've dropped 2 degrees in the past 20 minutes, down to 3.9. Would love to hit zero again after midnight to have two days in a row with sub zero lows. I don't know how close the clouds are to us right now. Hope you reach -10. By breaking it, you mean negative double digits right? I'm at negative 6 right now. As much as I don't like cold, I'm hoping for -10 or lower. It would only be the third time in my life experiencing negative 10 or lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Voyager said: By breaking it, you mean negative double digits right? I'm at negative 6 right now. As much as I don't like cold, I'm hoping for -10 or lower. It would only be the third time in my life experiencing negative 10 or lower. Yes, hope you go lower than your -9 from Thursday morning, so -10F or lower. I'm down to +3.4 F, so not much further for me to go to reach zero. Looking at the obs to our west it seems that clear skies are at least going to last a few more hours. If the winds can stay calm we'll have good radiational cooling like we had for a few hours before dawn this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 1, 2019 Author Share Posted February 1, 2019 Mesowest station down the street right at 0ºF, my thermometer's at 2. Closing out January with 18" and one warning level event for the month and 31" on the season thus far. Have 23 consecutive days of snow on the ground and counting that started on Jan 9th. It was a pretty wintry month here overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 The 0z Euro trended in the right direction for our Friday snow ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 1, 2019 Author Share Posted February 1, 2019 Light snow started. 6ºF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 After bottoming out at zero, now up to 2.8 and first flakes are coming down. Radar looks to be filling in nicely to the W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Tied yesterday's low temp of -9 sometime after midnight. Now currently -7 at 6:00am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 15 with steady light snow...roads are becoming covered but snow blows away on faster paced roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Snow here as well..Everything covered with fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Up to 5º with 1/2"/day rate snow for last 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 10 with light snow 0.2” at 7am ob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 59 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: 10 with light snow 0.2” at 7am ob HRRR is getting us into the 3-4" range now with ratios. Will see if it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 minute ago, bubbler86 said: HRRR is getting us into the 3-4" range now with ratios. Will see if it plays out. Radar looks good. My rate and flake size has picked up the last 20 min. Easily over 1/2” so far. Up to 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Been snowing since around 6:45ish. A coating on everything - it's incredibly fine snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Between 1/4 and 1/2" here. Flake size holding us back at the moment. The heavier snow has been down near DC. 1/2 to 1" reports coming out of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Live view from my office window at the snowscape of downtown Harrisburg. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Radar looks good. My rate and flake size has picked up the last 20 min. Easily over 1/2” so far. Up to 11 Still between 1/2 and 1". During the next 4-6 hours is when we are supposed to get several inches so it is go (or no) time. Those 1+" reports from DC were not modeled real well so nothing is off the table yet...good or bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 When the snow started back between 6 and 7 the temperature was 11 degrees. That makes this event the coldest temp with snow falling since the Feb 2003 snow storm (iirc) for me here. Jan '96 was the absolute coldest when the snow started with a temp of 8 degrees. Like everyone else the snow is super fine and has accumulated close to 0.5" so far. Temp slowly rising, now up to 13.5 degrees. Totally calm and quiet out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Big ole zero for the low this morning. Currently some light snow. Looking at the weather forecast "WeatherBug" it is showing freezing rain, freezing drizzle or frozen mix. 3 different days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Could there be any ice jam issues with the expected warm up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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