pawatch Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 1 hour ago, Wilpo Snowhole said: Looks like maybe a few inches here Monday night into Tuesday. Welcome to the forum. Couple other members from Wilpo on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Nam and FV3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Looks good for 4-5” winter is finally coming back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 5 hours ago, canderson said: Is the polar vortex not happening? It looks cold next week but no colder than it was last weekend. Highs in the mid to upper teens don’t make a polar vortex. Polar vortex is definitely happening, its just the question of how much it dumps south into PA.. which models have been toying around with the last couple days. 12z models today has the Euro as colder than the GFS. Wed-Fri looks to be the brunt of the arctic air intrusion with Thursday as the absolute coldest. For Thursday GFS had high singles for while Euro looked debatable if it reached 0 in H-burg. Either number for a high is hard to do in the Sus Valley. Interior Central PA was in the -10s on both (Euro colder) on both models for Wed night. Wind and prospective snow on the ground could dictate an even lower bottom to low temperatures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wilpo Snowhole Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 19 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Polar vortex is definitely happening, its just the question of how much it dumps south into PA.. which models have been toying around with the last couple days. 12z models today has the Euro as colder than the GFS. Wed-Fri looks to be the brunt of the arctic air intrusion with Thursday as the absolute coldest. For Thursday GFS had high singles for while Euro looked debatable if it reached 0 in H-burg. Either number for a high is hard to do in the Sus Valley. Interior Central PA was in the -10s on both (Euro colder) on both models for Wed night. Wind and prospective snow on the ground could dictate an even lower bottom to low temperatures. If we get a 4 to 8 event definitely looking much colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 The long range NAM at the end of its run is on board for our Tuesday snow. The event still would have a couple of more hours to go for most of us if the NAM went past hour 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 This is also NAM 10-1 ratio, & Kuchera ratio would more than likely bump these amounts up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 This is also NAM 10-1 ratio, & Kuchera ratio would more than likely bump these amounts up a bit.NAM looks interesting as it develops a low further south and looks like it goes negative tilted.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 I'm assuming things aren't looking good as it is dead in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Yeah thinking same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 I think its just alot of uncertainty. I think are chances are good. It Looks like we still can still hit a few homers soon if things don't suppress to much to my empty brain. There are a few flakes flying out there now other then me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 5 hours ago, 2001kx said: I'm assuming things aren't looking good as it is dead in here. The Euro really lessened the threat for the lower and eastern areas of the state...Americans still going for 3-5" in LSV and 4-6" most of the rest of the state. NAM has no snow for far SE LSV though. Euro really is 3-5" of Partly cloudy for S Central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Nice little snow here this morning...still snowing...approaching 1/2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Looks like no one wants to make a call for central Pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Well, I don't think State College would want Binghamton walking into their pissing ground and making calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just measured 1" of fresh powder - looks like it's over until the front moves through. And that is looking pretty healthy on radar, but plenty of time for it to either fall apart or separate to go around State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 The 3k NAM at 12z likes the idea of a few inches of snow by the end of Tuesday for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Anybody on this forum live in Bedford? We talk about Pittsburgh getting shafted, Bedford seems to take the fist about as much as Pittsburgh. The NAM verifying would agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 hour ago, pawatch said: Looks like no one wants to make a call for central Pa. State College map...not really close to matching Binghamtons map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 The ending dates & times are different on those 2 maps posted above. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Good agreement between the 12z GFS & Canadian for our Tuesday snow this week. The next frame on the Canadian wasn’t available, hence the difference in end time on the 2 maps, but the precip was through in CTP with both posted maps. I would take 4 inches of snow followed by a few days of frigid temps to preserve it ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 29 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Good agreement between the 12z GFS & Canadian for our Tuesday snow this week. The next frame on the Canadian wasn’t available, hence the difference in end time on the 2 maps, but the precip was through in CTP with both posted maps. I would take 4 inches of snow followed by a few days of frigid temps to preserve it ! Bring it Blizz. Need winter to come back and stay for Feb. it would be nice to starting getting a cold active pattern again. Some southern stream love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The ending dates & times are different on those 2 maps posted above. Different offices right? Which makes it more confusing. It seems every office ends their maps at different times. Buffalo snow map ends at 1:00 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Picked up 4" overnight..didn't know we were supposed to get that much. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 The 12z GEFS agreed with the Op. Most of the ensemble members looked similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 12z Euro looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: 12z Euro looks good. Much improved vs. dried up 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 15 minutes ago, 2001kx said: Picked up 4" overnight..didn't know we were supposed to get that much. Geez well that'll be quite the insurance policy if Tuesday's snow doesn't work out. 1.3" down here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 22 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Geez well that'll be quite the insurance policy if Tuesday's snow doesn't work out. 1.3" down here this morning. just shy of 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Yes, the 12z Euro looked very nice for the Susquehanna Valley! This run should really interest @pasnownut & @Itstrainingtime Hopefully we can lock this in ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now