CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The cuse has light but steady very small snow falling!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just woke up to light-mod snow. Nice flake size as well (thanks to LO). This is gonna be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I’m standing by my call of this being just advisory level on most of the Niagara Frontier.Niagara Frontier is gonna get smoked, advisory, lol!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 KBUF AFD: Snowfall amounts will be within a few inches of a foot in most locations, however the I-90 corridor from Rochester to just west of Syracuse will get up to 20 inches. Many on the board here are in that corridor! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Pull the trigger BUF! - LOL While this storm will impact the entire region, the I-90 corridor from Rochester to just west of Syracuse may experience near blizzard conditions tonight. The northward shift in the low will bring heavier snow into that region, which will combine with gusty northeast winds to produce blowing snow and poor visibility. The strongest wind gusts will be along the immediate lakeshore, but winds will extend inland with visibility below a quarter mile at times tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 They may be under-calling snow this AM: Light snow will spread into western New York this morning, but initially this will only have a limited impact. Through early afternoon, expect snow accumulation of 1-2 inches west of Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 hours ago, 96blizz said: I never got the obsession with the word “blizzard”. Having lived in NJ and PA I Lived through multiple blizzards. To be honest our good lake effect events like last week look more like a blizzard than they did. Ranting about the word "blizzard" being while your name has "blizz" in it.... Lol Side note...I grew up in PA and was there for the 96 blizzard too. Awesome stuff! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Now I'm at Great Northern Mall North of Syracuse with overcast skies. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Moderate Snow in the ROC already.. Maybe a half inch of fluff down. Can't beat some bonus frontogenic snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The new NAM is insane. Almost a comma head with the finger lakes in the cross hairs of the heaviest band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Looks like most models agree downsloping will screw the Tug region a bit. Still a good amount of snow though. Plus the 12Z Nam looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It gon snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 21 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Ranting about the word "blizzard" being while your name has "blizz" in it.... Lol Side note...I grew up in PA and was there for the 96 blizzard too. Awesome stuff! now THAT (96) was a blizzard. The King. And I need to get my name changed to MesoBanding... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 wow newest NAM actually brings it so far NW it has the heaviest snow from BUF to ROC to ART. Its the NAM but with the event already started, its worth noting quite a northward shift from any model this close it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: wow newest NAM actually brings it so far NW it has the heaviest snow from BUF to ROC to ART. Its the NAM but with the event already started, its worth noting quite a northward shift from any model this close it. 3KM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The NAM goes from being the farthest SE to the farthest NW in a day...Lol If that track were to happen, there will be many bitter souls in PA and New England. For them. Wonder if they're still riding the NAM train now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 HRRR!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Sref has gone up for roc to 1.46 liquid and 25 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Already an inch on the ground here. Mod snow, nice dendrites. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: HRRR!!! This would be PERFECT for this forum. Would be 18" from BUF to SYR to ART with a little maximum just east of ROC near 24". We can dream! Lol. Is nice to see a last minute north shift from the models for here. Give me 12" and I'll be ecstatic. Anything more is gravy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Sref has gone up for roc to 1.46 liquid and 25 inches of snow Is that all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Ratios would take a hit with a farther north storm, obviously.. This is the one advantage us N/w guys have.. model consensus QPF has increased a bit from previous runs. This will partially be offset by decreasing snow ratios since the mid-levels will be a bit warmer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, vortmax said: Already an inch on the ground here. Same here, little more actually. Wasn't even supposed to start here until 10am-12 noon according to local media outlets so this is all a bonus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: What a waste of snow in the middle of Lake Ontario. Anybody got a house boat? Be sure to post pictures... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ratios would take a hit with a farther north storm, obviously.. This is the one advantage us Nw guys have.. model consensus QPF has increased a bit from previous runs. This will partially be offset by decreasing snow ratios since the mid-levels will be a bit warmer 20:1!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 09z SREF plumes are as bullish as they can get, 18" for BUF and 25" for both ROC and SYR!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 hey tughill matt....my name is matt as well...how accurate is that kuchara map..i live in city of oswego..if that map verifies it shows me upwards of nearly 30"??? wanted to know your thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 33 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: wow newest NAM actually brings it so far NW it has the heaviest snow from BUF to ROC to ART. Its the NAM but with the event already started, its worth noting quite a northward shift from any model this close it. Infamous 50 mile NW jog incoming.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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