phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Buy you and Ty a beer at Duskies if no county goes to Blizzard Warnings by Sunday morning. Ha! All states included!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, phoenixny said: Bitched so many times at New England Blizzard Warnings that never verify! We might have our chance during the next three weeks as someone just posted. I still have a kid at PCSD asking me on Tuesday snow day potential!!! PHX is stingy with snow days. What was it last week there was a pretty nasty day where most schools delayed then packed it in for the day. Not Phoenix.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Blizzard criteria is sometimes listed as only needing to have frequent gusts above 35 for the wind component. In that case we verify sometime overnight Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Syrmax said: PHX is stingy with snow days. What was it last week there was a pretty nasty day where most schools delayed then packed it in for the day. Not Phoenix.... They should of delayed. Bad call, so will close for sure on next one. My wife said many parents bitched at directly to Super. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 They changes that like 10 20 years ago adding frequent gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Blizzard criteria is sometimes listed as only needing to have frequent gusts above 35 for the wind component. In that case we verify sometime overnight Saturday. I have always thought that it needed to be sustained at 35 with higher gusts. Thanks for clarifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, phoenixny said: I have always thought that it needed to be sustained at 35 with higher gusts. Thanks for clarifying. It does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Doesn't need falling snow however: A blizzard is a severe snowstorm characterized by strong sustained winds of at least 35 mph (56 km/h) and lasting for a prolonged period of time—typically three hours or more. A ground blizzard is a weathercondition where snow is not falling but loose snow on the ground is lifted and blown by strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: It does. Frequent guests is part of criteria now. Softened up to save KBOX. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I'm having a hard time accepting the 1-3" forecasted for tomorrow then 8-12" tomorrow night, I think we see more during the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Still Some spread.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 From NWS: BLZD Blizzard- A blizzard means that the following conditions are expected to prevail for a period of 3 hours or longer: Sustained wind or frequent gusts to 35 miles an hour or greater; and Considerable falling and/or blowing snow (i.e., reducing visibility frequently to less than ¼ mile) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Give me the member over Ithaca and Albany please. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Not gonna happen for 3 straight hrs but I do think we see blizzard conditions periodically here and there! Hope the Dome has comfortable chairs for ppl to sleep on, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 But looks like most take over or west of NYC. Always a benchmark for roc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I'm having a hard time accepting the 1-3" forecasted for tomorrow then 8-12" tomorrow night, I think we see more during the day tomorrow. Are we dealing with a lot of dry air to start on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Still Some spread.. 18hrs till start time, if that and still a spread like that?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 See sub 990 mb on some of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, phoenixny said: Are we dealing with a lot of dry air to start on this? Not at all, as were practically saturated already, and H700 moisture already streaming in from the W and WSW so shouldn't be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It's also important the direction it's coming from.. SWFE do better then true coastal storms that ride up the coast, tracks over nj are probably to far east unless its due north into the hudson.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, phoenixny said: Are we dealing with a lot of dry air to start on this? I wouldnt think so. It's pretty moist out there...light SN- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I'll take a sub 990mb SLP over NEPA that heads right over SNE then turns the corner up the coast of ME! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Buffalo 9 Rochester 15 Syracuse 14 Albany 17 Ithaca. 18 Binghamton 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: It's also important the direction it's coming from.. SWFE do better then true coastal storms that ride up the coast, tracks over nj are probably to far east unless its due north into the hudson.. Thats not true as it depends on the size of the event. A stacked LP all the way up to H500 over NYC will affect CNY with no problem, unless I'm not following you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I think KBGM is in the sweet spot for this one as well as Ithaca so good luck down there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Have learned over the years you don't need super low pressure to get heavy snow but expected this to go under 990. Rapid intensification type stuff. Not in the cards for bombo I guess but maybe when over Atlantic. Think it's gonna look like a beaut on satellite though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This is actually true LE thats developing right before a sweet event, all gravy baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Love the FV3 ON HOUR 288. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 32 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: It does. This is from the nws website. I just took the training. There is a critical “or” in the wind section Blizzard Warning A Blizzard Warning means that the following conditions are occurring or expected within the next 12 to 18 hours. 1) Snow and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to 1/4 mile or less for 3 hours or longer AND 2) Sustained winds of 35 mph or greater or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater. There is no temperature requirement that must be met to achieve blizzard conditions. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/WarningsDefined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 45 minutes ago, phoenixny said: Buy you and Ty a beer at Duskies if no county goes to Blizzard Warnings by Sunday morning. Ha! All states included!!! Are actual BWs issued anymore or has the NWS criteria reduction effort eliminated these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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