wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 18z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Holy moly...I haven't been on since early afternoon because of work. Came back to find I had 8 PAGES to read through. Thought maybe I clicked on NE or Mid Atlantic forums... There wasn't shade being thrown all around, so I knew I was in the right place. True story. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Kuchera?map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Sunday morning looks like the South Shore should really get some good lake enhancement. Unidirectional winds from the surface to 800, Delta T's near of almost 20 degrees and a column saturated to 400mb. Hot damn! Theres also CSI potential as well, nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Csi? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 BUF: 10” ROC: 19” SYR: 18” BGM: 23” ALB: 16” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Euro almost exactly the same as 12z verbatim, but less snow to the south due to warmer air.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I had to make sure they weren't the same image like three times lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 992mb over NY then it jumps so it could be chasing convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Kuchera?map Greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It gon snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Conditional Symmetric Instability (CSI) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 NWS upped range to 12-18 for south shore in WSW (up from 10-14 earlier): ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce significant blowing and drifting snow. WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Genesee, Livingston, and Ontario counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Lol. I am a snow freak. As we all are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, tim123 said: Kuchera?map 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: Conditional Symmetric Instability (CSI) https://www.weather5280.com/blog/2017/01/05/what-is-conditional-symmetric-instability-csi/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I had to make sure they weren't the same image like three times lol Look at the lower right on those maps. So brutal. Memories of 1980s and 90s.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Don't right off a Blizzard Warning. I know it's somewhat symbolic but...will pump us up even more! Gonna be nowcast in 18 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Nice LES band coming through here. Large fluffy flakes. My favorite. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, vortmax said: NWS upped range to 12-18 for south shore in WSW (up from 10-14 earlier): ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce significant blowing and drifting snow. WHERE...Orleans, Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, Genesee, Livingston, and Ontario counties. They should of left their map alone from yesterday as it looked great but NO, lets confuse the hell out of everyone for 6 hrs only 12 hrs later to be right back where they began, SAD! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, phoenixny said: Don't right off a Blizzard Warning. I know it's somewhat symbolic but...will pump us up even more! Gonna be nowcast in 18 hours. Will there be Blizzard conditions at times, sure , but it won't verify if they upgrade so no need. Its not easy to achieve, seriously as the weather has to be 1/4 mil vis with S+ with 35mph sustained winds for 3 straight hrs, not gonna happen, lol, do you think I don't wanna see one? Last one I was in was 96' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Nice link. I actually just read it. I used to understand (mostly) the CSI process but haven't studied it in years. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I hear ya but not gonna right it off completely as there is massive hype, and have seen blizzard warnings before that never verify for Oswego and Otsego County. Last one for me was 93 which verified. Long time. Wish this was down to a 980 in southwest Pa. Gonna be fun none the less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Looking at long range and pattern i would be shocked if we didn't get a widespread blizzard at some point. Lots of energy with poler vortex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, phoenixny said: I hear ya but not gonna right it off completely as there is massive hype, and have seen blizzard warnings before that never verify for Oswego and Otsego County. Last one for me was 93 which verified. Long time. Wish this was down to a 980 in southwest Pa. Gonna be fun none the less. Biggest issue will be achieving sustained wind speeds. I'll bet we end up close but no cigar, from a strict definition standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Biggest issue will be achieving sustained wind speeds. I'll bet we end up close but no cigar, from a strict definition standpoint. Bitched so many times at New England Blizzard Warnings that never verify! We might have our chance during the next three weeks as someone just posted. I still have a kid at PCSD asking me on Tuesday snow day potential!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Doubt snow day teusday. Will be over and a full day to clean up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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