BuffaloWeather Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Additional? Totals in WNY, for you guys another 10-15 additional. The models are showing lake effect snow continuing until Monday for Rochester to Oswego. It's showing up on lower res globals while temps will be in the single digits. That stuff is going to add up fast, even if its fluff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Now till about 8 am. Then lake gets goin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah this is looking really good for WNY, everyone is easily getting 10-15". @WesterlyWx What's your midnight measurement, has to be close to 10"? Also change your username. Absolutely ripping out here now with better flake size as well. 9.5” as of midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 After tracking this thing for 7 days and looking at what seems like 1,000 model runs, I refuse to go to bed when the good stuff finally moves in. Just sayin... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 10 already your going to end up with 20 westerly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just now, WesterlyWx said: Absolutely ripping out here now with better flake size as well. 9.5” as of midnight. Solid total already, good to see the little screw zone that's been plaguing West Seneca for a while get busted. Primed now for a big lake effect event... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Westerly was due! Good returns over BUF now moving into Roc. We can breath easier I think! (I can anyway)! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 We're getting absolutely crushed, wow, flake size is super ideal now too! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Albany area is looking good again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Albany area is looking good again. We're in "inch an hour" rates now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Siedel is in Albany. He was just on TWC live and it’s puking snow on him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just did midnight measurement...5.0”, 0.60” liquid equivalent, storm total. 11am to 6pm: 2.0” and 0.17” melted. 11.8:1 ratio 6pm to Midnight: 3.0 and 0.43” melted. 6.9:1 ratio Storm total: 5.0”, 0.60” melted. 8.3:1 ratio. Ratio seems low but I did a second snowfall measurement in front of house in driveway, pretty open and not drifted and also had 5.0”. So I am reasonably confident of the snowfall measurement. Ratio seems low but pretty sure I didn’t screw it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Snowfall rate has increased but flake size still unimpressive. Per KBGM radar best reflectivity is being shunted east of I-81. Albany should be in a good spot for once. Tempeerature stable at 17F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 43 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: So...we go from negative digits Monday to a rainstorm on Wednesday. This continues this winter's theme of snow getting water logged and nasty right after it has fallen. I know it is a few days away...but right now models are in general agreement of rain all along the eastern seaboard. Stupid. KBGM notes that models haven’t yet picked up on widespread snowpack so they are expecting a more frozen outcome but I do think we flip to rain for at least part of the next system. Probably not a lot, but enough to make snowshoeing and x-country skiing conditions crappy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Siedel is in Albany. He was just on TWC live and it’s puking snow on him. Continues to pick up here. 1.6" in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 There is a huge dryslot of sorts, not a real dryslot associated with slp, west of I-81 out towards western NY east of the Buffalo region. My best guess is it is downsloping related, off the Allegany Mt region in NW PA. This seems to be broad enough to be impinging all the way to I-81. This will have a big impact on snowfall for the Genesee region to finger lakes. its always something with these storms. You can get f*cked six different ways to Sunday (literally in this case) and never see half of them coming. Unbelievable. KROC will still do ok with lake enhancement with NE and then N winds but my location looks to be condemned to the lower end of predicted ranges (1 in 10 probability snowfall around 10”). Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Snowing pretty good at the moment, flake size definitely improved, still not ideal but better.. Continue to hang on to some of these"heavier" returns East of 81.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Yep radar looks miserable for CNY the next few hours. Only hope is salvaging some good ratios on the backend and maybe a few bonus inches from N, NW flow afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 5.75 as of 12:30 AM. I measured 1.7 at 6:30 so about 4 inches fell in the last 6 hours. The wind is howling out there. My over/under total is 12 inches for the synoptic part of the storm. Even with the heaviest returns passing off to the east I think that should be reachable. Flake size is still crappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Wolf ukmet precip maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Well, the good thing is that I don’t feel obligated to stay up and watch a good meso band dump, cuz there won’t be any here, just more rice snow for another 8:hours then we wrap up and really freeze! A bit disappointing given the time spent tracking this. Another lesson learned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 BUF over to Roc (north of the thruway) are getting into a good deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Here you go Tim. Includes what fell between 7pm-1am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Really liking what I’m seeing on radar. The NW zone has FINALLY come to life. Brights starting to show from Erie to Hamilton over East . All this should slowly pivot east. BUF should be in it for several hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Ratios and flake size are meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Dave I like seeing this over huron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Returns on radar appear to be blossoming south and west of here and moving in this direction. Maybe we’ll get into several hours of decent rates after all. As I said all I’m shooting for is a foot and I’m halfway there already. Anything more after that is icing on the cake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Those areas east of Sarnia goin to get hammerd tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 Cleveland radar has 2-3" per hour rates, looks to be heading up to WNY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Staying up to follow this storm for a bit longer. Tight cutoff in the GTA area. Temperature dropped from 15F to 5F in 2 hours here on Hamilton Mountain Good luck to those in WNY and CNY, looking forward to seeing some of the totals you guys get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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