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HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

* FREEZING SPRAY...Winds of up to 30 knots and waves greater than
  5 feet will create conditions favorable for heavy freezing
  spray.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.
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Great description of what's been happening today and what we're in for tonight:

Weak warm advection and some lift from a passing 150kt H25 jet has
been busy generating light snow across the region all day (after
lunch for North Country). As we move from the afternoon into
tonight...the lift across the region will deepen and substantially
increase as a southerly 25 to 30kt low level jet will impinge upon a
tightening H925-70 baroclinic zone. Meanwhile...the passing upper
level jet will intensify to more than 180 kts! This will
significantly increase the amount of lift just as a swath of
moisture from the GOMEX will surge through our region. Snowfall
rates of less than a half inch from the afternoon will thus increase
to an inch per hour...with amounts possibly reaching two inches per
hour from about Orleans county eastward to Wayne County where
some lake enhancement can be anticipated. Adding to the jump in
snowfall rates will be much more favorable/efficient snow making
microphysics. Usually...the dendritic growth zone is 3-5 kft
thick...but overnight this zone of snow production will deepen
to nearly 10 kft! This will force our somewhat grainy `columns` and
`needles` of snow to change in character to dendrites...which
accumulate much faster.
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Then Sunday:

Daytime snowfall should average 2 to
4 inches over the far western counties and as much as 4 to 7 inches
from Orleans to Oswego counties in mainly lake driven snow.

Into Sunday night:

there is a suggestion by some of the guidance packages that
the limiting inversion will lift to over 10k ft...so this could
encourage the bands of lake snow to be a little more significant.

At last, Monday:

 Lake effect snow will accumulate up to two
inches southeast of Lake Ontario.
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How much you thinking tim wolfie and cnylesfreak for oswego county particularly the city of oswefo where i just got home and am settled in for the night staying up all n8ght to snowblow and look put the window and check the radar maybe eat some food and be om this forum..in full storm mode right now lets goooo im stoked

9 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

Hey, Matt. It's Matt. I don't know how accurate it will be, but that amount is a possibility with lake enhancement involved. You never know with lake involvement...

 

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