wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That’s what I’m talking about! Puts Ithaca close to bullseye! If the rates are right most of the area would be >20 inches on that. That’s pre kuchara. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Charlee4615 said: That’s what I’m talking about! Puts Ithaca close to bullseye! Ithaca would see 2+ feet easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Dang. FV3 on board with RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, WxNoob said: Ithaca would see 2+ feet easily. So I’m throwing it out there...the more I complete my readings for security regulation...the better this gets. It’s painful, but I’ll take one for the team and continue on! The sec reg model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Let's not go crazy here. I wouldn't get excited until I see the Deep Thunder and Navgem model confirmations. Only models not being summarily tossed by the intelligentsia. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Navy is right where u want it.. If the coast can use this stupid excuse, so can we.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Navy is right where u want it.. If the coast can use this stupid excuse, so can we.. The pros are even tossing virtually every model or engaging in magical thinking. That's usually reserved for weenies like me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 37 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I got NAM'd! Rookie mistake. But right now it's the only model NOT being tossed elsewhere. Me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Navy is right where u want it.. If the coast can use this stupid excuse, so can we.. Let's see where 12z take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow fv3 was awesome 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 17 minutes ago, vortmax said: Dang. FV3 on board with RGEM. This is backwards, you mean the RGEM is on board with FV3! FV3 hasn't budged for 12 runs now, even more! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 14 minutes ago, Charlee4615 said: So I’m throwing it out there...the more I complete my readings for security regulation...the better this gets. It’s painful, but I’ll take one for the team and continue on! The sec reg model If 2 feet verifies I wonder if Cornell will cancel classes Monday. They very rarely cancel classes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Freak has been hugging that FV3 for days now. Might be a coop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Need it to ge up to SW PA before headin ENE and we get smoked lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CNY_WX said: If 2 feet verifies I wonder if Cornell will cancel classes Monday. They very rarely cancel classes. Welp we don’t have class til Tuesday. Monday happens to be MLK day...and...my bday! What a great present if these new runs verify, seriously! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: This is backwards, you mean the RGEM is on board with FV3! FV3 hasn't budged for 12 runs now, even more! Agreed...RGEM is shorter range, but seems to have started and stayed on the northerly range of guidance. Would love to see the NA models score a coup here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Charlee4615 said: Welp we don’t have class til Tuesday. Monday happens to be MLK day...and...my bday! What a great present if these new runs verify, seriously! Was gonna say, I predict you will definitely have Monday off! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Agreed Vort! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Charlee4615 said: Welp we don’t have class til Tuesday. Monday happens to be MLK day...and...my bday! What a great present if these new runs verify, seriously! It figures you finally might get enough snow to cancel classes and there’s no classes. Happy Birthday, btw. Hope you don’t have to drive up Buffalo St.! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I've never seen a model stay on course for days and days, lol, while every other model wavered! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CNY_WX said: It figures you finally might get enough snow to cancel classes and there’s no classes. Happy Birthday, btw. Hope you don’t have to drive up Buffalo St.! Nope, thank god! This place is a nightmare when it snows. During the storm in November you could hear cars crashing every half an hour or so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Ukmet a little south of the rgem/hrdps/para combo, goes wv to snj.. Still delivers some goods.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 BUF NWS upped the 5 to 10 to 8 to 15 now!!! They realized they got NAMmed... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 No change at all 00Z Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 lol, my bad wrong data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I thought the 12Z was in, lol! I said to myself this looks exactly alike, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 From WPC diag disc: Preference: Non 12Z NAM blend Confidence: Slightly Above Average Model clustering continues to slowly tighten with each cycle, such that confidence is a bit above average for the track and evolution of the upper trough and surface low moving from the central to eastern U.S. this weekend. However, the 12Z NAM stands out the greatest from the relatively tight model clustering with its surface low tracking faster/east compared to the remaining deterministic and ensemble consensus. This is due to a slightly flatter low-mid level wave in the NAM. The 12Z NAM also differs with its 700 mb evolution across the Ohio Valley on Saturday with a less consolidated wave. While the 12Z NAM is not a significant outlier, there is enough difference to exclude it from the overall preference across the central and eastern U.S. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: I thought the 12Z was in, lol! I said to myself this looks exactly alike, lol! It looks EXACTLY the same...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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