CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Euro has all kinds of thermal issues but like you said perhaps its the most believable but as always we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 3k nam is mostly if not all frozen for the cutter/Front, its the secondary wave that starts to rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 My wifes car didn't start this morning. Another reason I hate the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: My wifes car didn't start this morning. Another reason I hate the cold. Batteries don't like the cold either! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, vortmax said: Batteries don't like the cold either! Yeah I think I need a new one. It barely had any juice at all. Going to jump it later. Luckily we both have holiday off of work today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: My wifes car didn't start this morning. Another reason I hate the cold. Got down to -5 at my place this morning with -30 wind chill. Was incredible cold for sure. Lake has to be icing over at a blazing pace at this time. However I don’t see enough of it being iced over by Friday especially with the “warm up” and rain on Wednesday to prevent a possible big lake effect event for the metro southwards on Friday! All this rain may do Wednesday is solidify our pack from 15-16” of fluff to 8-10” of solid Glacier for our fresh snow to cover back up on Friday!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, WesterlyWx said: Got down to -5 at my place this morning with -30 wind chill. Was incredible cold for sure. Lake ice to be icing over at a blazing pace at this time. However I don’t see enough of it being iced over by Friday especially with the “warm up” and rain on Wednesday to prevent a possible big lake effect event for the metro southwards on Friday! All this rain may do Wednesday is solidify our pack from 15-16” of fluff to 8-10” of solid Glacier for our fresh snow to cover back up on Friday!! I need to get a snowblower, my landlord always did my driveway. That stuff was heavy and took about an hour to shovel the entire thing. Know anyone selling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 Saw this in the last thread. Definitely the potential there Friday/Saturday. The lake should have another 10 days or so of juice left before completely frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 3k nam is mostly if not all frozen for the cutter/Front, its the secondary wave that starts to rain.. Looked at soundings and we may see about 4-5hrs of zr then we go over to snow so we'll see. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 We are officially at the coldest time of the year on average here and it definitely feels that way. Jan 25th the average temps start slowly rising here in Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 I know its a 84hr NAM but this looks great for the TUG wow and it also has a nice convergent band so Matt, you may finally get your wish come Fri-Sat but you also may be buried alive come Sunday, lol! the only bad thing which always is, snow growth, but with LE its usually better just cause, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Oh Canada. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I know its a 84hr NAM but this looks great for the TUG wow and it also has a nice convergent band so Matt, you may finally get your wish come Fri-Sat but you also may be buried alive come Sunday, lol! the only bad thing which always is, snow growth, but with LE its usually better just cause, lol! The next few weeks look great. Lots of clippers with enhancement/lake effect. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 1 hour ago, tim123 said: Oh Canada. Lol Book it! LOL - CMC has a crazy storm forming at 156hrs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Any one know if Canadian has a good track record. From what I have seen it waffles a bit more than some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Plenty of 2’+ amounts near LO! Almost 18” in West Seneca! ...Erie County... 1 W West Seneca 17.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 WNW West Seneca 15.5 745 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 ENE Colden 14.8 800 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS Hamburg 14.6 1000 AM 1/20 Social Media 1 WNW Colden 14.4 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 1 W Colden 14.3 730 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer 4 ESE North Boston 14.2 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 1 SSE Eden 14.0 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Lancaster 14.0 900 AM 1/20 Social Media 2 SE Glenwood 14.0 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Sardinia 14.0 1000 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter 2 NE Boston 13.8 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS N Depew 13.5 200 PM 1/20 Trained Spotter 1 NW Kenmore 13.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Cheektowaga 13.1 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Buffalo Airport 13.1 700 AM 1/21 NWS Office Aurora 12.8 1015 AM 1/20 NWS Employee 3 E Williamsville 12.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 S Akron 12.5 800 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS 3 NNE East Aurora 12.3 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 5 NNE Amherst 12.2 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 SSW Marilla 12.0 930 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter Athol Springs 12.0 100 PM 1/20 Trained Spotter Akron 11.8 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 SSW Blasdell 11.7 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS ESE Kenmore 11.6 740 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 WSW Elma 11.4 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 1 W Buffalo 11.0 830 AM 1/20 Broadcast Media 2 NW Cheektowaga 11.0 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS West Seneca 11.0 215 PM 1/20 NWS Employee ENE East Aurora 10.9 630 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 NW Alden 10.5 700 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS WSW Hamburg 10.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Tonawanda 10.5 1125 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter 2 SSE East Aurora 10.2 900 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Wales 10.2 700 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer 1 ESE East Aurora 10.0 700 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS 1 WNW Alden 10.0 730 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter ESE Clarence Center 9.9 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Springville 9.0 700 PM 1/20 Co-Op Observer 1 N Clarence Center 9.0 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NNE Tonawanda 7.0 147 PM 1/20 CoCoRaHS ...Monroe County... 5 WNW Rochester 29.2 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Rochester 20.5 1015 PM 1/20 Snow Spotter 1 ESE Irondequoit 18.5 130 PM 1/20 Social Media Rochester 18.0 246 AM 1/21 Trained Spotter N Webster 17.5 800 AM 1/20 Broadcast Media Rochester Airport 16.5 700 AM 1/21 ASOS 4 SSE Pittsford 16.2 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 N Greece 16.0 1000 AM 1/21 Trained Spotter 1 SW Charlotte 16.0 700 AM 1/21 Trained Spotter Brockport 15.2 900 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer Webster 15.0 130 PM 1/20 Trained Spotter 1 SSE Rochester 14.0 600 AM 1/20 Law Enforcement 3 NNW Penfield 14.0 100 PM 1/20 TRAINED SPOTTER Fairport 13.5 730 AM 1/20 TRAINED SPOTTER Scottsville 10.7 900 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS ...Oswego County... SE Minetto 20.6 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 5 ESE Oswego 18.7 600 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 SSW Redfield 17.0 1130 AM 1/20 Public W Oswego 17.0 1045 AM 1/20 Social Media W Fulton 16.0 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Fulton 15.5 700 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer 1 NE Pulaski 15.3 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 SSE Palermo 15.3 600 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer Oswego 15.0 1130 AM 1/20 Social Media 8 N Redfield 14.4 700 AM 1/20 Co-Op Observer 4 SSE Lacona 13.4 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Phoenix 12.0 800 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter 1 N Altmar 11.0 811 AM 1/20 Social Media 5 NNW Sand Ridge 10.1 600 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS ...Wayne County... 2 SW Walworth 26.6 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 ESE Macedon 20.1 639 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Palmyra 17.0 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Um who's not getting over 2', lol, that was a lock but I'm adding the LE to the Synoptic cause as far as I'm concerned the event ends when the snow stops and it hasn't stopped yet, as it still snowing. I'm going out in a moment to get the cars cleaned and what not so I will measure but I know I'm well over 18" easy! Thats awesome for the KROC crew as they were due so congrats to all in Monroe and Wayne as well as Oswego as I think we were the biggest winners of this event so heres to the LE area getting walloped this weekend including the Tug! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 4 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Plenty of 2’+ amounts near LO! Almost 18” in West Seneca! ...Erie County... 1 W West Seneca 17.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 WNW West Seneca 15.5 745 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 ENE Colden 14.8 800 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS Hamburg 14.6 1000 AM 1/20 Social Media 1 WNW Colden 14.4 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 1 W Colden 14.3 730 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer 4 ESE North Boston 14.2 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 1 SSE Eden 14.0 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Lancaster 14.0 900 AM 1/20 Social Media 2 SE Glenwood 14.0 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Sardinia 14.0 1000 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter 2 NE Boston 13.8 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS N Depew 13.5 200 PM 1/20 Trained Spotter 1 NW Kenmore 13.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Cheektowaga 13.1 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Buffalo Airport 13.1 700 AM 1/21 NWS Office Aurora 12.8 1015 AM 1/20 NWS Employee 3 E Williamsville 12.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 S Akron 12.5 800 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS 3 NNE East Aurora 12.3 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 5 NNE Amherst 12.2 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 SSW Marilla 12.0 930 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter Athol Springs 12.0 100 PM 1/20 Trained Spotter Akron 11.8 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 SSW Blasdell 11.7 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS ESE Kenmore 11.6 740 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 WSW Elma 11.4 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 1 W Buffalo 11.0 830 AM 1/20 Broadcast Media 2 NW Cheektowaga 11.0 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS West Seneca 11.0 215 PM 1/20 NWS Employee ENE East Aurora 10.9 630 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 NW Alden 10.5 700 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS WSW Hamburg 10.5 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Tonawanda 10.5 1125 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter 2 SSE East Aurora 10.2 900 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Wales 10.2 700 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer 1 ESE East Aurora 10.0 700 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS 1 WNW Alden 10.0 730 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter ESE Clarence Center 9.9 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Springville 9.0 700 PM 1/20 Co-Op Observer 1 N Clarence Center 9.0 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NNE Tonawanda 7.0 147 PM 1/20 CoCoRaHS ...Monroe County... 5 WNW Rochester 29.2 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Rochester 20.5 1015 PM 1/20 Snow Spotter 1 ESE Irondequoit 18.5 130 PM 1/20 Social Media Rochester 18.0 246 AM 1/21 Trained Spotter N Webster 17.5 800 AM 1/20 Broadcast Media Rochester Airport 16.5 700 AM 1/21 ASOS 4 SSE Pittsford 16.2 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 N Greece 16.0 1000 AM 1/21 Trained Spotter 1 SW Charlotte 16.0 700 AM 1/21 Trained Spotter Brockport 15.2 900 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer Webster 15.0 130 PM 1/20 Trained Spotter 1 SSE Rochester 14.0 600 AM 1/20 Law Enforcement 3 NNW Penfield 14.0 100 PM 1/20 TRAINED SPOTTER Fairport 13.5 730 AM 1/20 TRAINED SPOTTER Scottsville 10.7 900 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS ...Oswego County... SE Minetto 20.6 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 5 ESE Oswego 18.7 600 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 SSW Redfield 17.0 1130 AM 1/20 Public W Oswego 17.0 1045 AM 1/20 Social Media W Fulton 16.0 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Fulton 15.5 700 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer 1 NE Pulaski 15.3 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 SSE Palermo 15.3 600 AM 1/21 Co-Op Observer Oswego 15.0 1130 AM 1/20 Social Media 8 N Redfield 14.4 700 AM 1/20 Co-Op Observer 4 SSE Lacona 13.4 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Phoenix 12.0 800 AM 1/20 Trained Spotter 1 N Altmar 11.0 811 AM 1/20 Social Media 5 NNW Sand Ridge 10.1 600 AM 1/20 CoCoRaHS ...Wayne County... 2 SW Walworth 26.6 700 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 3 ESE Macedon 20.1 639 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Palmyra 17.0 800 AM 1/21 CoCoRaHS Exactly. I knew locations were pushing 2'+. Nice to see it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Tim was correct! 18 hours ago, tim123 said: Someone getting a foot from now to 12 tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Not too far off Tim! On 1/19/2019 at 9:02 PM, tim123 said: Is say chance at 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Glad to see I was correct. Some just don't listen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Good amount of precip on the ukmet for the week.. Obviously not all snow, as p-type maps are not available.. Still like what i see for most of this week minus a short duration of warmth and rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Glad to see I was correct. Some just don't listen. Don't let it go to your head! Haha. In all seriousness, I think the post-LE was under-called by many due to most experiences we've had. This time, there were some unique things that likely helped (e.g., above normal lake temps, etc). Would be interesting to see a post-mortem write-up to see what those were and how much they contributed. STILL snowing here, BTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 14 minutes ago, vortmax said: Exactly. I knew locations were pushing 2'+. Nice to see it verified. That's not just from the LE event? Thats all the snow we'we gotten since Saturday?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 Impossible to predict south shore snow, its 1:30+ ratios and undetectable via radar. Close to 30" there near Rochester, probably 50% synoptic/50% lake effect fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Should I say my call was right of definitely going over 2' from Saturday through Monday? It really doesn't matter as it was an incredible event and its still snowing with the sun out, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 There is a big LE event from Friday-next week. Meandering winds. But primarily W/SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Short lived event from what I've read unless KBUF is dead wrong?? I can see the Tug getting it big but I don't know about KBUF but I hope so!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 To bad the front is not expected to stall lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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