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Upstate/Eastern New York


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2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

You missed it man!  Stalled out over us with 4”/hr snowfall rates from like 1030-1230

Of course can’t get the band to stay for longer than 15 minutes with 1-2” hr rates while I’m awake then as soon as I go to bed it finally stalls over us with 4”/hr rates. Unreal, but I’ll take it! Lol

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Didn't realize we have a shot at LES tomorrow lol

Off of Lake Ontario, lake enhanced snow behind the departing cold
front and light synoptic snow will start in the early afternoon and
transition to lake effect by the mid to late afternoon. Initially a
west-southwest flow will start the lake effect over the northern
portion of the North Country. Winds shift more to a westerly (260-
280) direction and the longer fetch of the lake allows a better
developed lake band to form and focus on the Tug Hill during the
late afternoon and into the evening. Guidance is suggesting the
potential for a three lake connection with the Lake Ontario band,
with the connection extending upstream to Lake Huron and Lake
Superior. Winds will continue to shift through the evening to a more
northwest direction and then northerly by the middle of the night on
Sunday night. This will result in the band shifting south through
the early morning, and then dissipating with minimal fetch. Some
guidance is holding on to the band over the lake through the morning
via a convergence zone over the lake with the much colder airmass
over the lake, but winds appear to be a bit to strong to support
this. Area east of Lake Ontario, especially over the Tug Hill can
expect to receive up to 4 to 8 inches of snow for Sunday into Sunday
night.

 

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2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

116b406df753894b5a0c695665657dd2.jpg

FV3 still seeing lots o snow next week!!! Might as well fit our whole winter into a 2 week stretch!


.

Dude unless I'm looking at something else that late Tues to early Thursday timeframe looks really good for LES, I mean the parameters on the BUFKIT are ridiculous lol.

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An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday
night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the
region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this
period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is
possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds
will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow
along with poor visibility.
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3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

An extended period of severe winter conditons is expected Tuesday
night through Friday. Extremely cold air will build down into the
region with dangerously cold wind chills expected during this
period. Accumulating, possibly significant lake effect snow is
possible east of Lake Ontario during this period. Strong gusty winds
will likely cause periods of significant blowing and drifting snow
along with poor visibility.

broad brushing from this far out.

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This is amazing. We’re just three miles west of the airport and had about 6.5”.

Sadly, this was not the long overdue Northtowns storm. Pedestrian snow totals for Williamsville and the northern part of Cheektowaga. I’m sure the numbers for North Buffalo, Amherst, Kenmore, and Tonawanda will also be on the low side relative to much of Erie County. Clarence did well by virtue of being far enough east to get the airport band.

Disappointing, but we keep waiting.

 

69886236-0A09-4D6A-A77F-FA71213BC8C7.jpeg

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That band is still kicking in fredonia and not moving much. travel advisory issued there 

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS...
SOUTHWESTERN ERIE AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES...

At 844 AM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of up to 2 inches per hour was located along a line extending from
near Eden to Fredonia.
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