Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 TOR Warning down in MS, pretty active down south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 maybe I can get some OES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 How's the ICON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Well, this sucks. Time to root on futility? I'm about ready...too bad Feb '17 isn't walking through that door. I'd like to see FIT hit 80F again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: How's the ICON? I’m guessing colder...every post I saw about that with this event said it was colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Tip trying to pretend he’s Sigmund Freud 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Its crazy to think how cold its been lately, that the second a storm comes up, it turns into rain. I am hopefully that the meso models and short-range models pick up on the cold air, but seems like HVN area is gonna get a quick burst of snow, then rain (based on QPF, a lot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Based on TWC coverage and maps you’d think icing was a big threat well into central ME. Also hearing lots of torch talk on here, but GYX forecasts and discussions don’t seem to be buying it - at least for this area. Still calling for 14” for PWM. Guess I should be bracing for a bust like everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m guessing colder...every post I saw about that with this event said it was colder. Actually yeah, a bit colder lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 21 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s a virtual lock sleet in C NH frzr will be potentially crippling rindge/ temple /Hollis . Inland S NH ... I think the big ice will be Kevin to Worcester. Sleet up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Bostonseminole said: Actually yeah, a bit colder lol still torches us but man that's allot of liquid.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Dewpoint drain is already happening and will continue most of today. I think people who are taking guidance at face value or close to it are going to be somewhat surprised. BOS already down to 13F with single digits filtering down coastline and CT valley in CNE. I've seen this before. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 49 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That isn't going to stop the snows that come tonight, it will melt by mid-morning in the torrential tropical rains that occur, as models have 4-5" of rain falling, at least there is no snow pack to destroy I agree James, we'll probably get a quick 1 to 3 tonight. We'll get a big one down this way before the winter is over.....hopefully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Dewpoint drain is already happening and will continue most of today. I think people who are taking guidance at face value or close to it are going to be somewhat surprised. BOS already down to 13F with single digits filtering down coastline and CT valley in CNE. I've seen this before. I am 35/19 at Tweed. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Nasty ice on ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Well, this sucks. Time to root on futility? I'm about ready...too bad Feb '17 isn't walking through that door. I'd like to see FIT hit 80F again. Happened in 2018 too (kinda...80 in Boston) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Dewpoint drain is already happening and will continue most of today. I think people who are taking guidance at face value or close to it are going to be somewhat surprised. BOS already down to 13F with single digits filtering down coastline and CT valley in CNE. I've seen this before. Gun to head, what’s your call for BOS, ORH, and ASH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Happened in 2018 too (kinda...80 in Boston) You’re right. I was referencing 2018. I was living in Virginia in 17, when coincidentally we did have a week of 80s around Presidents Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, DiehardFF said: I am 35/19 at Tweed. Ugh Feels like spring down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Should I be worried about sleet here at Killington tomorrow now? Really don’t want pellets hitting me in the face. That seems crazy but that warm layer keeps trending north every run. Starting to wonder if I should have gone further north to Bush Stowe or Smuggs. Stowe is a lock for 20 plus despite PFs feigned worry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Glad I was never really in the game for this, and all set with the ice. At least we get a few OES showers later today. Jimmy I hope you've come around to not getting much from this other than some possible OES on front and back ends 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: Feels like spring down here. lol not with the wind chill, mid 20’s esp when you are walking downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 34.7F here, forecast high was 31F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Dewpoint drain is already happening and will continue most of today. I think people who are taking guidance at face value or close to it are going to be somewhat surprised. BOS already down to 13F with single digits filtering down coastline and CT valley in CNE. I've seen this before. Mine dropped from 24 at 4:30 when I went running to 20 at 8:00 down to 16 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 LOL. 12z RGEM has SLP travel from just west of NYC over ORH then offe NE MA coast inton GOM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Instead of 50F here like the mesos show, maybe 39F? Respect the Arctic high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Yeah... looking/utilizing the 2-meter temperature progs going back many cycles... I feel reasonably confident I have this figured out. Firstly, no one is arguing the DP are not low and lowering. Nor that the arctic boundary has come through... At least, they shouldn't be. Because both are facts. The question becomes ...verifying to what degree - pun intended... This is a high sensitivity pattern this storm is translating through. Subtle changes in momentum in any context can and do have larger sensible impacts on the surface evolution when the flow is compressed and conserving a system through it. In this case... it is clear there is a subtle backing off on the amount of arctic air over the last several cycles. This is true up-down latitude from western Quebec to NYC... The whole region is slightly warmed ... We didn't start applying the cliche, 'threading the needle' for nothing... We were always looking to get lucky in some sense of it... (the non-scientific, holistic irony, this winter has been all about not getting lucky...) I suggest considering that insane push aloft is just perhaps strong enough (in the models ... I'm not saying it will verify this way) to overcome a cold low level that is subtly attenuated. It's real insidious too - it's very easily unnoticed and under the radar how in the last 24 hours of runs the magnitude of cold is just enough backed off... Because at a glance, it certainly still looks clad. Now... out here in reality... this is probably a ice storm and the models RGEM/NAM...etc... probably too liberal with the polar penetration of warmth at llvs anyway, because the standard BL correction should be applied. Even with a subtle almost imperceptible albeit all important backing off of llv cold momentum... it's not 0. And unless it is... it's like waiting on a warm front in April when the flags are wobbling from NE at dawn - regardless of the models... you ain't warm sectorin' that day y'all. Just take that typical correction and lop the 35 F off of it ... same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 28 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Should I be worried about sleet here at Killington tomorrow now? Really don’t want pellets hitting me in the face. That seems crazy but that warm layer keeps trending north every run. Starting to wonder if I should have gone further north to Bush Stowe or Smuggs. It's possible but just for avoiding crowds I'd hit Mount Ellen at Sugarbush. Cover all bases lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Trends are great in CT for anyone who ever wanted a skating rink in their yard. Flooding rain followed by a flash freeze. I always said I’d prefer a 50 degree rainstorm to a crushing ice storm...I guess I should be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Mr. Windcredible! said: Trends are great in CT for anyone who ever wanted a skating rink in their yard. Flooding rain followed by a flash freeze. I always said I’d prefer a 50 degree rainstorm to a crushing ice storm...I guess I should be happy. Not unhappy here. If we cant all snow sleet then wash it away before a yard skating rink sets up. Dogs could get injured. I would love to see mid 40s for 3 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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