Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT


40/70 Benchmark
 Share

Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

This is my latest map. I think the thump of snow should be pretty impressive. We should dump hard for a good 3-4 hours I would think and with rates of 1-3''/hour I don't see why we can't accumulate this much. 

Obviously the biggest question is with regards to the freezing rain. I don't think NW of 84 we get into the mid 30's but it's more of a question of do we get to 33-34 or stay more like upper 20's to around 30-31?

2123706126_snowicemap.jpg.b50f5ecf80c16e39a05f40152e900aaa.jpg

I hope I get 4 to 8 on the SW CT coast.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I hope I get 4 to 8 on the SW CT coast.

That's where my lowest confidence is, but I'm basing that off the degree of lift and the snow rates I am expecting. I would certainly say totals closer to 4'' than 8'' but there is always some type of surprise with these WAA/strong fronto bands of snow. You rip a good 2'' per hour for two hour (which I don't think is unreasonable) that's 4'' right there

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Nice map. We were a little more conservative at SCW with our snow and ice maps, but that ZR question looms large in my mind. I think there's a narrow swath of the state that's going to see a high impact ice event. Certainly one of the tougher forecasts I've grappled with. 

I agree...the swath will likely be more narrow (I was more concerned the other day for a much larger area). Yeah...this is a big challenge

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That's where my lowest confidence is, but I'm basing that off the degree of lift and the snow rates I am expecting. I would certainly say totals closer to 4'' than 8'' but there is always some type of surprise with these WAA/strong fronto bands of snow. You rip a good 2'' per hour for two hour (which I don't think is unreasonable) that's 4'' right there

I agree...the swath will likely be more narrow (I was more concerned the other day for a much larger area). Yeah...this is a big challenge

Thanks. I know the November 6.5 inches was a positive bust. Hopefully something similar happens again.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I pictureeveryoneat the GTG putting a reindeer sweater on the wall and throwing darts at it.

Just clobbered up here on the EURO.  Mid-level band pivot point.  Most of the NAM/GFS banding progs like a pivot near BTV and in N/C VT.   

Congrats. It’s the winter of PF’s revenge

 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Nice map. We were a little more conservative at SCW with our snow and ice maps, but that ZR question looms large in my mind. I think there's a narrow swath of the state that's going to see a high impact ice event. Certainly one of the tougher forecasts I've grappled with. 

Nice map, DIT gets his ice storm and I don't. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...