wxextreme Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, wxextreme said: The Northeast Regional Climate Center released this graphic earlier this month showing the Dec 1 - Jan 15 departures from normal showing a slight deviation from normal temperatures. With this, here is the departures from normal snow totals: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Regards to seasonal totals, just look at Blue Hills. Talk about a hockey stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I long ago accepted that GW is happening. It is near impossible to not accept it. JB is one of the last remaining deniers. JB can be an absolute tool sometimes, he still thinks we're entering a global cooling period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Sounds like we are getting a cutter in here.. cheer up everyone snow is coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, sbos_wx said: I'd be surprised if the majority here were climate deniers I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if many here are deniers. The majority here believes every winter is going to be cold and snowy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 This is awesome ... keep it coming.. On the eve of a half foot (at least) were F'ing winter ... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 47 minutes ago, powderfreak said: This snow map is the same one it's shown for like 4 days now. Euro does love the mid-level fronto up this way though. Looks like just some minor tweaks tomorrow to the first call from Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Grade F to date. We'll see what the rest of the winter has in store for us. Where are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: JB can be an absolute tool sometimes, he still thinks we're entering a global cooling period. And if we do you will say it's a reaction to GW anyway. You will never be the tool... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like just some minor tweaks tomorrow to the first call from Wednesday. Ray, What do the arrows represent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, West Mtn NY said: And if we do you will say it's a reaction to GW anyway. You will never be the tool... We won't so it's a moot point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 16 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Going in to today Bos was +3,5 for the month. And +2.6 for Dec. And as Eric Fisher pointed out there have been only 4 days since mid Jan last year that the temp has been under 30 for a high in Boston. It hasn't been exactly cold either. No one said that it was. But I don't see a connection between a +2.8F seasonal temp departure, and tomorrow nights major snow event. Call me crazy- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Models have temps near or below 0 midday Monday according to Ryan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: We won't so it's a moot point. So your expertise as a keyboard warrior says. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Ray, What do the arrows represent? They just delineate between disparate forecast snowfall ranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Where are you located? Methuen,Ma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Let's keep the GW remarks out of the storm discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 It’s been pretty chilly lately. Sea ice forming. Early month was a torch, it been steady chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Models have temps near or below 0 midday Monday according to Ryan Means nothing if it's not snowing. Just annoying cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Thanks for the response. The last 2 months(60 days) have averaged 0-2F above normal, so I'll concede that my point was not more concise when I said "warm". I meant relative to climo. I agree that we are at peak climo for snow for the next 30 days so you'd think that kicks in at some point. I'm just not sure this year is behaving like your typical weak ENSO state To the last point, I'm talking track deviations of 20-30 miles at most wrt to snow pack influences. Probably not even measurable to the impacts of the pressing high. Yea, its fair to question how much we are availing of this weak el nino at the moment. We'll just have to revisit when all is said and done. Good post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No one said that it was. But I don't see a connection between a +2.8F seasonal temp departure, and tomorrow nights major snow event. Call me crazy- And where did I say there was a connection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Methuen,Ma. Oh. You stand to do good from this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Let's keep the GW remarks out of the storm discussion. please. very distracting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: And where did I say there was a connection? You didn't. Bob implied it, which is whom my original reply that you quoted was aimed at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: They just delineate between disparate forecast snowfall ranges. Ok. I was not sure if the arrow direction had any significance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Can we start pulling down those 18-24" total now? what a hype storm. 9" modeled is a joke from where we were Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You would not be mistaken with that feel - it is empirical over about the last four decades to be just that. I believe the top five snowiest winters of all time have been sprayed along the last 30 years and most winters have been above the 100 years mean in that range. Will is the stat king with seasonal snow variance so .. Will? At the risk of going too off topic. Here's the chart for ORH with a 15 moving average in there....you can see the biggest winters are recently, but you can also see the variance is a bit higher. Though to be fair, the 1960s are kind of unprecedented in their lack of variance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Lava Rock said: Can we start pulling down those 18-24" total now? what a hype storm. 9" modeled is a joke from where we were Next BOX update will settle everything down I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Can we start pulling down those 18-24" total now? what a hype storm. 9" modeled is a joke from where we were And to think TWC had 3+ feet for part of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Models have temps near or below 0 midday Monday according to Ryan I'll take the over on the Euro 2m temps. MEX is 14F at BDL. Maybe shave a few off of that for the anomalous low level cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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