wxsniss Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The delayed reaction is how it will go done. Its not phasing early. That idea, which I always dispelled when by the boards a couple of days ago.Totally agree. Was responding to Tip raising earlier phase as a possible direction Euro might take. Under 96h, I’d think that would be an uncharacteristically big synoptic change for Euro.The delayed northern stream infusion, on the other hand, is gaining support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I would've respected the Weather Channel more had they at least put 20"-25" respectively and even that is a reach. But jeeze... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Ran the Genny, snowblower. Cut down a small damaged tree. Go time for full prep tomorrow Gas food cash just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Remember when you said the cold press this weekend wouldn’t force this south? Same exact deal next week. No different Rain for us, snow for NNE peepers. gradient winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 still a little concerned we see more amped mid/upper lvls while low lvl CAD remains similar .. I'd be wary of going much above 12" really anywhere until modeling is more consistent on the ANA front stuff later on Sunday. Also, how worried are we about last min NW ticks? Gulf source region + convection could def pump up downstream ridging .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 21 hours ago, NeonPeon said: 3" then 2" of rain during prime winter... meanwhile I've had 3 colds and now the flu. I may remember this winter for the wrong reasons the way it is going. Are there any thundersnow possibilities with this system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Gefs is really encouraging. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Ran the Genny, snowblower. Cut down a small damaged tree. Go time for full prep tomorrow Gas food cash just in case. Bought a new impeller for my snowblower, installed it, it ran well.......then I just tried it again and something in the gearbox for the blade axle seized up. Ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ran the Genny, snowblower. Cut down a small damaged tree. Go time for full prep tomorrow Gas food cash just in case. Pics of tree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Course I have a work meeting at 1pm. Gotta peek at 115 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Bought a new impeller for my snowblower, installed it, it ran well.......then I just tried it again and something in the gearbox for the blade axle seized up. Ugh. Shit, I had that problem in 15. Ended up with a shattered bearing, junked it gave the motor to my bro in law. A stupid question but did you check the belt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Bought a new impeller for my snowblower, installed it, it ran well.......then I just tried it again and something in the gearbox for the blade axle seized up. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Pics of tree? Amazing you survive this life so far. You understand how chainsaws work? Would you like a pic of my woodpile. Strange. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ran the Genny, snowblower. Cut down a small damaged tree. The accordion man believes it could of been saved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ran the Genny, snowblower. Cut down a small damaged tree. Go time for full prep tomorrow Gas food cash just in case. Ditto, stacking dry firewood. Cashed up. Topped gas tank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pics of tree? Not a great idea to ask for pics of wood online. Is the board getting slow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The s/w over Texas on the 12z Euro looks a couple tics stronger then the 06z run early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 About the only thing I'm gonna stock up on is some tall boys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 46 minutes ago, weathafella said: You don’t think hubb has a shot at 30+?...lol For the season maybe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Shit, I had that problem in 15. Ended up with a shattered bearing, junked it gave the motor to my bro in law. A stupid question but did you check the belt Belt is fine. I'm not junking it though since I already threw $120 into it for the new impeller. Probably the end of the worm shaft or gear worm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 13 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Totally agree. Was responding to Tip raising earlier phase as a possible direction Euro might take. Under 96h, I’d think that would be an uncharacteristically big synoptic change for Euro. The delayed northern stream infusion, on the other hand, is gaining support. It would be ...of course... but the model has inched toward sooner... I don't know when the inching stops. Frankly, I've been opposed to much phasing all along... I'm sort of speaking from within the framework of forced acceptance that there may be some ...however anomalous that would be in such a compressed/velocity sensitive flow... The phasing its self wasn't so much the problem... but the models were off and on with that, prior to being inside the mid range ... Phasing in can happen and just scoot right along... But at such tiem ranges like four and five days ago, a huge dose of skepticism to believe they could handle such a precision art... But, here we are .. a couple clicks away from go time and we'll see where the Euro goes on this run. As we get near and inside the Euro's 5 day window... okay - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: About the only thing I'm gonna stock up on is some tall boys. Keep them locked up in your basement? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: Ditto, stacking dry firewood. Cashed up. Topped gas tank. Still leaning to ct and ice? I’m in Ansonia on the Woodbridge border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Keep them locked up in your basement? What good are they there? Get out and shovel my glop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro is interesting. Low is a bit further n over plains and center of country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Spaizzo said: Still leaning to ct and ice? I’m in Ansonia on the Woodbridge border Yeah, think things could get ugly down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Srn stream was a bit elongated and maybe a hair faster. Didn’t see a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 It's closer now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Euro looks warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Pretty close to 06z. Looks slightly warmer at 72h but it's faster too which could make it a wash. Either way no real notable trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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