weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: International flights are rarely if ever cancelled unless you have some sort of catastrophic weather event. Those are by far the last flights to get axed Unless the airport is closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Unless the airport is closed. 2015 they did an incredible job keeping it open. I'm not sure I'd consider airport being closed a complete lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Unless the airport is closed. This doesn’t look like an event that would close Boston. I guess if they got severe FZRA maybe but it’s not likely to be a heavy enough snow event with enough wind issues for them to close other than brief periods 15-30 minutes where they need to clear the runways 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It will probably spit out 3.5 inches of QPF....3 feet of snow where its cold enough and an infrastructure-crippling historic ice storm where it's warm aloft. Speaking of warm aloft, the 12z GFS at 105 had both RUM and WVL with 2m temps 14C colder than at 850. (Both slightly above 0 at 850 - sleet fest? probably not.) Don't recall ever seeing that big a reverse split, at least not during a storm - maybe with mega radiational cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Violently Agree. Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gray ME 340 PM EST Wed Jan 16 2019 MEZ012>014-018>022-NHZ003>013-015-172045- Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York- Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo- Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll- Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough- Interior Rockingham-Western And Central Hillsborough- 340 PM EST Wed Jan 16 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine, southwest Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire, central New Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. A weak system will bring a period of light snow on Friday. Light accumulations are most likely in the morning, and may affect the morning commute. A winter storm is possible this weekend with widespread double digit snowfall accumulation possible across the region. Precipitation is expected Saturday night into Sunday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: This doesn’t look like an event that would close Boston. I guess if they got severe FZRA maybe but it’s not likely to be a heavy enough snow event with enough wind issues for them to close other than brief periods 15-30 minutes where they need to clear the runways Last March they closed the airport. Nothing came in. This might not be that level of storm (it probably won't be). Logan doesn't officially close, but it strongly encourages everyone to cancel flights, which allows them to clear runways and stands, and to reopen the airport, and to keep people from getting stranded on the tarmac or ramp. Logan rarely officially closes, but has had several instances in the past few years where no flights have landed in a day. This storm may not meet that criteria, but if it does, expect the flight to cancel. Luckily this time of year there's probably a lot of extra capacity to and from Europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: This doesn’t look like an event that would close Boston. I guess if they got severe FZRA maybe but it’s not likely to be a heavy enough snow event with enough wind issues for them to close other than brief periods 15-30 minutes where they need to clear the runways Of course, just because they're technically open doesn't mean anyone will actually be flying. With a well-hyped storm like this, airlines will preemptively cancel in droves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Gfs rolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I don’t think gfs is caving despite the rest of the guidance.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I don’t think gfs is caving despite the rest of the guidance.... It will cave on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 51 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol you are the new Jerry always bailing just before a fantastic storm It happens way more than it should but it’s a product of my professional life style. When I was a very young consultant and I was due to fly out the morning that the January 1996 storm started and I lived in Philadelphia, I actually lied to my client and told them that my flight had been canceled. Even for what then was a lot of money I did not want to miss the storm it cost me about five grand. 31 “ was more important than 5k that week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: I don’t think gfs is caving despite the rest of the guidance.... It honestly looks more amped than even 12z right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 That s/w in the southern stream in the SW is 4 mb stronger then 12z on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Actually GFS looks further south with the strongest energy in the southern stream. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Definitely more amped and further north down south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS will be NW me thinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 It's 2 Millibars stronger at the 66 hour than previous position at 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Definitely more amped and further north down south ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Modfan said: ???? Its going to come further NW up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Definitely more amped and further north down south Any less east out west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Zonked...prob gonna rip it through ALB. Tossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 No its further east at hour 84 than previous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Greg said: No its further east. Stop , not during a play by play 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 26 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: This doesn’t look like an event that would close Boston. I guess if they got severe FZRA maybe but it’s not likely to be a heavy enough snow event with enough wind issues for them to close other than brief periods 15-30 minutes where they need to clear the runways only thing that may "close" it is >2"/hr snow rates, which is possible in this storm but who knows where. typically hard for crews to keep up with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Stop New rule: no one posts posts with <12 words until the model is at least 12h past the passage of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 992mb low goes right up SNOW88 fanny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Greg said: No its further east. Its more amped...it's also a little faster which might give the appearance of being east. But the mix line gets further north this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Stop , not during a play by play Dude chill it's an 18Z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 back to 50's and shorts on that run for some of us tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 That is a furnace right into SNH, I would throw this as far as i can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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