HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Several model runs have shown the possibility of a light event for much of Southern New England for Friday Jan 18 Have at it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Per Jerry in the January thread, MEX scored an 8 at BOS. We snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Come on, Birthday Snow!!! No whammies, no whammies!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 8-0-8 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 How Ironic if this ends up better than the Weekend one.....we've all seen that happen before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: How Ironic if this ends up better than the Weekend one.....we've all seen that happen before. I could totally see a situation where this gives a surprise 6-7" of snow and then the weekend is 4" followed by a scalping and ZR. That's actually basically what happened in the Feb 1-2, 2011 storm. Everyone obsessed over the main wave on feb 2-3rd but it ended up being the front runner wave that produced the most snow. I had like 7.5 from the front runner wave and then 4.7 with sleet from the main wave. Slightly different setup this time but not drastically so. It's still an overrunning pattern wth two distinct waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I could totally see a situation where this gives a surprise 6-7" of snow and then the weekend is 4" followed by a scalping and ZR. That's actually basically what happened in the Feb 1-2, 2011 storm. Everyone obsessed over the main wave on feb 2-3rd but it ended up being the front runner wave that produced the most snow. I had like 7.5 from the front runner wave and then 4.7 with sleet from the main wave. Slightly different setup this time but not drastically so. It's still an overrunning pattern wth two distinct waves. Every single poster here would take that . There’s not one that wouldn’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I could totally see a situation where this gives a surprise 6-7" of snow and then the weekend is 4" followed by a scalping and ZR. That's actually basically what happened in the Feb 1-2, 2011 storm. Everyone obsessed over the main wave on feb 2-3rd but it ended up being the front runner wave that produced the most snow. I had like 7.5 from the front runner wave and then 4.7 with sleet from the main wave. Slightly different setup this time but not drastically so. It's still an overrunning pattern wth two distinct waves. Agreed. I missed that one in 2011 cuz I was up north Sledding. Might miss this one too due to sledding up north this weekend?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Every single poster here would take that . There’s not one that wouldn’t Maybe, but some of us would also prefer not to have an extended period of PL/FZRA into a fresh pack, however, beggars can't be choosers when not even crumbs have been offered since November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Every single poster here would take that . There’s not one that wouldn’t yeah, I'm Ok with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Euro looks juiced through 78h. This will be a bigger run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Kind of shit the bed at the last minute. Was def more juiced at 78 but ended up similar to 00z. 1-2" for most. Maybe a 3 lolli north or northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 yeap, looks pretty weak but there was some improvement from 0Z I think, that run gave me very little snow if any.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Euro gives a few pennies... 0.2" of precip on the high end, most to the west... so maybe 2" As said...just an appetizer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 That 12z Euro run was 2-3" here tops, To bad because it looked like it was going to be better that run too, But there is time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Going with a 70/30 Euro/GFS blend might be an advisory for some... not too bad. I would probably lean low for now... 1-3" seems ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1-3" Friday. I keep it at that prediction right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Kind of shit the bed at the last minute. Was def more juiced at 78 but ended up similar to 00z. 1-2" for most. Maybe a 3 lolli north or northeast. Why did it weaken after panel 78hr, what’s the issue . Shredded SW from tippy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Why did it weaken after panel 78hr, what’s the issue . Shredded SW from tippy Little critter with no teeth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Why did it weaken after panel 78hr, what’s the issue . Shredded SW from tippy Yeah it def weakens some. But it held together further east than previous run so we'll have to watch to see if that is a trend. If it is, then we may trend it juicier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Let’s grab 1-4” and track the beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s grab 1-4” and track the beast The beast of a shortwave is over the CONUS west coast around 78-84 hours from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 GYX has an accumulation map. 3-4" for their entire area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 16 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: GYX has an accumulation map. 3-4" for their entire area Bold at this lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Bold at this lead. Adjust up as needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: I could totally see a situation where this gives a surprise 6-7" of snow and then the weekend is 4" followed by a scalping and ZR. That's actually basically what happened in the Feb 1-2, 2011 storm. Everyone obsessed over the main wave on feb 2-3rd but it ended up being the front runner wave that produced the most snow. I had like 7.5 from the front runner wave and then 4.7 with sleet from the main wave. Slightly different setup this time but not drastically so. It's still an overrunning pattern wth two distinct waves. That's sort of what I asked last night...if the front runner wave becomes the bigger snow event but I think I phrased it as the "main event" (which it won't be). I always think it's the system that no one pays attention to that surprises and delights, but then the storm that was obsessed over for 9 days is a bit disappointing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That's sort of what I asked last night...if the front runner wave becomes the bigger snow event but I think I phrased it as the "main event" (which it won't be). I always think it's the system that no one pays attention to that surprises and delights, but then the storm that was obsessed over for 9 days is a bit disappointing. actually looking at the long range models, and ensembles, they both seem little compared to the January 24/25th miller A potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: actually looking at the long range models, and ensembles, they both seem little compared to the January 24/25th miller A potential. Yes I would ignore the next 2 systems and start to really put your eggs in the 24/25 potential basket. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The beast of a shortwave is over the CONUS west coast around 78-84 hours from now. Wrong storm James. Dial it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yes I would ignore the next 2 systems and start to really put your eggs in the 24/25 potential basket. Well that is not what I am doing right now, but if the current track stands within 72 hours, I might start thinking about that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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