weathafella Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Our 3 week winter is over and we start to dethatch? Let’s roll with the look. What is the epic look bringing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I thought an epic pattern is coming ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 29 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Thurs/Friday looks like a significant ice threat. Not at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will said very low chances Pope Watch the trends on this one closely over next 48 hrs. By that point I presume we will start to see some lower heights over eastern Canada and a potent surface HP begin showing up on guidance...Just my hunch right now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Let’s roll with the look. What is the epic look bringing? Scoots beginning to sound like Leo worrying about the far LR when the mid range looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: We just don’t know. But gives NAO like that and we enjoy 2007-08 style fun. I’d like to see more of that. Right now it’s kind of well north in NE Greenand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Our 3 week winter is over and we start to dethatch? Lol not quite. At least we have some bullets in the chamber. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 The day 8 storm has a 2007-style sleet bomb look to it, with the high back near Lake Winnipeg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: The day 8 storm has a 2007-style sleet bomb look to it, with the high back near Lake Winnipeg eps says it’s trackable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I thought an epic pattern is coming ? Epicness seems to have been pushed out by same ol same ol. From GYX: 500 MB pattern now seems to shift to a lower wave number across NOAM, with border troughs/ridges. Rex block setting up over the atlantic with braid troughing across Canada and the central CONUS. Looks like we will see smaller aves moving through this larger scale trough, and the polar vortex does shift equatorward toward James Bay during the period, so expect to the roller coaster ride of temps, and systems every or 2 or 3 days. Earlier model runs predictions of very cold outbreak not there any more although we will see some periods of below, and abv normal temps. The next chc of precip will be in the WEed-thu range, and looks like low will develop over the GReat Lakes and cross across the the CWA, rather than moving to our south. This will bring warmer in ahead of it, and there p-type, especially in the south could be mostly rain. I am not convinced of this yet, given the cold snowpack on the ground, it should at least start as something freezing or frozen, and may stay snow in the mtns. Still, will take the wait and see approach here, and keep p-type uncertain in the forecast for most of the area. Should see some colder air move in for Friday into next weekend, but it doesn`t look super cold, but probably a little below normal. Nothing epic. Now we fight for a little fun at some point in the next few weeks. I won't believe any modeled pattern any longer in the mid or long range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 27 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Not at all Potential is definitely there imo. We revisit in 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 There were actually two systems on the Euro... Well, three - but who's counting the near term rainer ...save Kevin, who's working the magic eight ball to turn that into an icer.. The D9.5/10 has a potential icing signal/mix to snow look to it... That flow is hellabit amped though ...as I was saying earlier.... too amped. I'd like to see some undulatory behavior with three less isohypsis everywhere... just sayn' But the western ridge is in tact at least in the operational run through D10. I will say I am personally > 50 % that the -EPO loss is transitory and it will flex again. The hemisphere is still reeling from last month's SSW and that tends to a solid month of modulation - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 This winter has been one big FU from mother nature. Whatever can go wrong will go wrong. Now I'm about 6 weeks away from it being the most disappointing, atrocious winter ever. If it wasn't for tonight's cold, November would still lead for the snowiest month with the coldest temps of the season. Just awful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 39 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This winter has been one big FU from mother nature. Whatever can go wrong will go wrong. Now I'm about 6 weeks away from it being the most disappointing, atrocious winter ever. If it wasn't for tonight's cold, November would still lead for the snowiest month with the coldest temps of the season. Just awful. 90% of the forum has snow otg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: This winter has been one big FU from mother nature. Whatever can go wrong will go wrong. Now I'm about 6 weeks away from it being the most disappointing, atrocious winter ever. If it wasn't for tonight's cold, November would still lead for the snowiest month with the coldest temps of the season. Just awful. What a melt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 My 1.1 inches is still on the ground! Watch Feb and March rock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 2 hours ago, jbenedet said: Potential is definitely there imo. We revisit in 36 hrs. Looks like crap to me...maybe a little frozen up here to start, but we’re going to need big changes to make this more wintry. That high is way east and is pumping in the deep southerly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like crap to me...maybe a little frozen up here to start, but we’re going to need big changes to make this more wintry. That high is way east and is pumping in the deep southerly flow. Based on the popes last couple posts My sources say the popes hiatus took him to a troubled young mans house in Harwich to exercise his snow demons . Seems instead of exercising those issues he acquired them. Treat his posts accordingly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like crap to me...maybe a little frozen up here to start, but we’re going to need big changes to make this more wintry. That high is way east and is pumping in the deep southerly flow. I think most significant icing events look like crap in terms of the synoptic setup and marginal temps. It’s almost a prerequisite to “look like crap”... 18z GEFS is already pretty cold at the surface and that’s obviously not reflecting any of the mesoscale cold tucks we get this time of yr... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 It’s a prerequisite to have a high pressure that can advect cold , unless that southerly flow is doing that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 4 hours ago, WinterWolf said: I’m In Northern Maine...and man what a raging Blizzard we are having currently... full blown blizzard conditions with about a foot already accumulated..and much more to come. Not everyday you see blizzard conditions/heavy heavy snow, and temps of -2F!! Big time storm here. how much was otg b4 this storm began? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer Trillium Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 3 hours ago, codfishsnowman said: how much was otg b4 this storm began? Well Over 3 feet. With this bomb coming through now, they’ll be pushing 5 feet. Place is buried. Yesterday the high was -8F. Thursday night at 8:30 pm, the truck temp was reading -22f lol. This place is in its own world...northern Aroostook County is definitely a place to be behold from a winter weather point of view. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 I know no one else cares, but a potent 500mb upper-level low looks to pivot through eastern MA tomorrow afternoon into the overnight hours Tuesday, it looks like it can produce a few inches of snow from Provincetown to Hyannis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 19 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I know no one else cares, but a potent 500mb upper-level low looks to pivot through eastern MA tomorrow afternoon into the overnight hours Tuesday, it looks like it can produce a few inches of snow from Provincetown to Hyannis. Start a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Start a thread. I will in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 I guess I did start the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 10 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Actually, that's not true. Sikorsky averages 29" per year, and they are on a peninsula in the Sound. But here is the real problem...I did a some research a number of years ago, and discovered that the NWS at Sikorsky, at least into the 1980s, measured snow by taking the liquid equivalent, and multiplying by 10....no matter what. The best example was February 1983. They recorded 13" of snow, when we all had to shovel 20". However, a check of the records shows they also recorded 1.3" of liquid equivalent, even though the temps were in the teens throughout the storm. I know someone who was an observer at White Plains in the 80s and 90s and said some guys didn’t want to go out to measure snow so they would estimate the depth from looking at foot prints in it thorough the window 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 So this Siberian cold under a lunar eclipse is winter’s climax...... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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