ApacheTrout Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Boston and NYC gets screwed again while DC gets a few inches. It's like the weather gods are pissed at NYC and Boston because of the playoffs. The weather gods are still exhausted after the epic pounding in 2015. They figure that should have satisfied you guys for a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We take We snow. I'm feeling a hit coming for the interior despite some possible taint issues. Still a decent glaciated wall to wall pack here. #snowonsnow #snowonglacier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Wouldnt the low want to tend to get tugged west into the pv? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 We lost yesterday most of what fell a few days back, But a solid pack remains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro has max there around -15F. Def could be some all time records with this one. That’s yore cold right there. Wish we could get that. I’d bring the birds inside and weenie out to -30F. Thy oxen frozen mid dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 27 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Want that thing to develop a bit earlier and farther south to get a nice cold conveyorbelt going for SNE. Mm, agreed ... I would hunch/add, in that look that there is an elevated warm tongue and very tall sleet column all the way almost back to the Capital District of eastern NY there. It just doesn't seem the secondary gets its act together fast enough to close off the 700 in time - maybe. Having said that ... this is an alarming trend that's actually been ongoing for several cycles of Euro camp ... possibly even led by the EPS ... It seems recent Euro oper. guidance has been ceding to it's ensemble mean... We'll see if it continues. Heh, the Euro cluster is kinda sorta on an island now but ...we got time. Obviously you know all this just sayn' for the general reader Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: That’s yore cold right there. Wish we could get that. I’d bring the birds inside and weenie out to -30F. Thy oxen frozen mid dump. Pissing freeze pops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Some good Reindeer Sweater panels in there. 973 low centered over RUM? Looks like a 4" deluge for the 'hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Probably starts as snow in that evolution... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Front end thump then a flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 21 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Want that thing to develop a bit earlier and farther south to get a nice cold conveyorbelt going for SNE. It looks to me like the EURO is more proficiently phasing the PV in with that southern SW off of the east coast, however the issue I see is that there is still nothing to prevent a more tucked track should it succeed in doing so. Maybe a decent front end job-taint-arctic blast? This current stretch would be Feb '15 if we had blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said: Because you need it to lol I just meant the more phased idea. Not that we get 2' in eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said: Because you need it to lol You also have to wonder how many lows can traverse near SNE with copious moisture before one of them rolls snake eyes and SNE finally gets an all-snow 0.5-1.0" QPF event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: That’s yore cold right there. Wish we could get that. I’d bring the birds inside and weenie out to -30F. Thy oxen frozen mid dump. Cuddling with the cocks? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 11 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Wouldnt the low want to tend to get tugged west into the pv? ... on a bald planetary interface with free-atmosphere, sure... But the cordillera west, along with having CAD'ed dense air over the coastal plain (...which is pretty pronounced with that high situated smartly up N) both offer resistance to a low summarily wrapping in I mean, it's the basic secondary model ... So as that exit region of the jet and curvature nose over and difluence approaches the lower viscosity of the near shore waters, the new low is conserved ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Pissing freeze pops? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 13 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Wouldnt the low want to tend to get tugged west into the pv? 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ... on a bald planetary interface with free-atmosphere, sure... But the cordillera west, along with having CAD'ed dense air over the coastal plain (...which is pretty pronounced with that high situated smartly up N) both offer resistance to a low summarily wrapping in I mean, it's the basic secondary model ... So as that exit region of the jet and curvature nose over and difluence approaches the lower viscosity of the near shore waters, the new low is conserved ... TIPPY TRANSLATION: "Not necessarily...………………." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 hour ago, weathafella said: He got 2 feet. Tip said he got 12 to 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ... on a bald planetary interface with free-atmosphere, sure... But the cordillera west, along with having CAD'ed dense air over the coastal plain (...which is pretty pronounced with that high situated smartly up N) both offer resistance to a low summarily wrapping in I mean, it's the basic secondary model ... So as that exit region of the jet and curvature nose over and difluence approaches the lower viscosity of the near shore waters, the new low is conserved ... Yea, that is sufficient resistance to a track over Albany, but I don't see how this tracks east of the CC cancel given a proficient phase....unless the whole axis shifts east, which is this range is unlikely. I'll tell you.....someone on the western edge is going to get a hellacious deformation with the +pp abutting explosive PV phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 53 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, you are thinking of Dec 2003 and PD II....I got 25" that storm.....I only had 18" going into the final 90 minutes, but the closing death band dropped a quick 7". It was a bonafide KU here....just not upper tier. Tip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Front end thump then a flip. 1.20" QPF of snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Looking at all the OP guidance, the EURO is the closest to something good for more people. The GGEM tracks it up over VT, and the GFS wasn't all that inspiring. It seems the models do want to pull the low back west towards the upper level trough....gotta keep that whole shebang to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: 1.20" QPF of snow here. Yeah, 1.30" here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Front end thump then a flip. That panel brings about 1.2" liquid with LP to our west - 6" front end followed by 2" RA ain''t what I hope for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Ray that's essentially true. The Euro is attempting more phase ... it also seems to have a subtly more conserved s/w in the southern stream ...helping some of the pallid tendency to subsume. I mean I'm not commenting on likeliness of all that happening but that does appear to be what it's going for - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 GFS was weaker east and later with the development, But its there, The problem is the trough is a little to far west so this will get tugged that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 34 minutes ago, dendrite said: Hey we did that. My son in law asked if we could set the picnic table on fire if he promised to build a new one. Why not, month later we had a beautiful 10 footer that's still there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, tamarack said: That panel brings about 1.2" liquid with LP to our west - 6" front end followed by 2" RA ain''t what I hope for. That's all i have seen here since Nov, They all have been slop storms.................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, that is sufficient resistance to a track over Albany, but I don't see how this tracks east of the CC cancel given a proficient phase....unless the whole axis shifts east, which is this range is unlikely. I'll tell you.....someone on the western edge is going to get a hellacious deformation with the +pp abutting explosive PV phasing. Yea. Its got a more subdued feb 2011 late jan 66 march 1888 look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 9 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: TIPPY TRANSLATION: "Not necessarily...………………." Yes point taken the cad from the high does influence the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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