J Paul Gordon Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Guess sober reality bites around here. Will probably get clobbered in February March. Then again, maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Warm cutter for New England, but NYC was in a narrow pocket of heavy snow. Nothing huh? Can’t catch a break this year! The +pna trough could produce though in my opinion! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 and I add... the unusual depth of that trough core is assisting in making that west... could be an amplitude bias in the Euro at work. It is day 6 in the Great Lakes and only coming together D5 over the high plains region so it may be susceptible to it's fantasies in that range. I could see that correcting "a little" flatter, and perhaps backing off a dose of SD ... my god. ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: A frigid air mass on the heels of the latest rainer..complete with a compressed flow just to make sure nothing pops while its cold. ..yup ... lasts for three weeks, then ...right on Kevin's favorite date, February 10 ... this rolls east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll be fine. Just needed to vent for once. Should get some NAO by February, so we won't be at the mercy of timing nuances, which haven't worked out. What I would give for last March's -NAO right now. The entire east coast would be swimming in snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 We have had great patterns without a good Atlantic before so what exactly is causing this snowless pattern with endless cutters?. A bad Pacific? The MJO that keeps going into the warm phases?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, leo2000 said: We have had great patterns without a good Atlantic before so what exactly is causing this snowless pattern with endless cutters?. A bad Pacific? The MJO that keeps going into the warm phases?. Have you ever been flogged by a cosmic dildo.... 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, leo2000 said: We have had great patterns without a good Atlantic before so what exactly is causing this snowless pattern with endless cutters?. A bad Pacific? The MJO that keeps going into the warm phases?. Yep. PAC has been controlling everything. Lack of HP over AK and PNA being either non-existent or ridge axis too far west have made for a great winter elsewhere, 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Warm cutter for New England, but NYC was in a narrow pocket of heavy snow. Not a cutter but........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, leo2000 said: We have had great patterns without a good Atlantic before so what exactly is causing this snowless pattern with endless cutters?. A bad Pacific? The MJO that keeps going into the warm phases?. Remember when some of us (esp Scooter and I) said how eventually we are going to pay if we keep rolling the dice without downstream blocking? Well this is a good example so far this year. We def could be doing ok but we aren't because we've had some unfortunate timing on nuances that instead gave Virginia a monster snowstorm in December and then gave DC a big snowstorm last week...and then gave a lot of SNE a sleet bomb instead of mostly snow a few days ago. You can easily picture a scenario where the longwave pattern is exactly the same but those nuances work in our favor instead of against it and we all have a lot more snow to date. Or...with some downstream blocking we probably could have morphed some of these other systems/cutters (like tomorrow) into snowstorms....storms like 1/12/11 would have sliced through Detroit if there was no blocking downstream...but instead we enjoyed a KU. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Congrats NNE on the eps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ..yup ... lasts for three weeks, then ...right on Kevin's favorite date, February 10 ... this rolls east your really talking about an event 17 days away lol? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Nice look for everyone EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Ji said: your really talking about an event 17 days away lol? Sonoran heat releases must be discussed early and often. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Congrats NNE on the eps. Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Nice look for everyone EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: He’s trying so hard, so so hard....to get it to snow south of the resorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He’s trying so hard, so so hard....to get it to snow south of the resorts. DaNile is a long a winding path to travel to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Where is this so called warmup today? 33.1 with sprinkles right now... I had to send my kids out with helmets because even the yard is a hazard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything is coming together. Big big snows starting Sunday for at least a month Can I bookmark this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Lava Rock said: Can I bookmark this? Bookmark bobs post at 3pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nice look for everyone EPS LOl....Drunk??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 The mean is fine . What a bunch of weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 EPS was some snow verbatim. Although the MSLP track wasn't exactly the most favorable, the antecedent airmass alows for some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Where is this so called warmup today? 33.1 with sprinkles right now... I had to send my kids out with helmets because even the yard is a hazard 43F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 7 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Where is this so called warmup today? 33.1 with sprinkles right now... I had to send my kids out with helmets because even the yard is a hazard 39 here. we thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: The mean is fine . What a bunch of weenies OK...just like last week when you said the cutters were over too???? Hey I get it, you're trying hard to convince yourself and others that everything is going to be alright...but sometimes that just isn't the case. Really good chance next week flops too unfortunately, but maybe we can just get lucky this year once, and it works out????? Hope so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: EPS was some snow verbatim. Although the MSLP track wasn't exactly the most favorable, the antecedent airmass alows for some snow. They drunk or didn’t see it or more likely both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Half out to sea and half cutters make a mean snowstorm. 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The mean is fine . What a bunch of weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 18 minutes ago, Ji said: your really talking about an event 17 days away lol? ... is this guy for real ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: They drunk or didn’t see it or more likely both. It's rather ugly and will probably go to rain verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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